JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays

[Jrgum3]

12/2/23
Stephen Curry o30.5 points -104 1.04u to win 1u
Anthony Davis o24.5 points -130 1.30u to win 1u
Denver/Sacramento o232.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

First up I took Stephen Curry to go over his points prop today against the Clippers here. He will need to cook if the Warriors are going to win this game because a lot of their key guys are out so I expect him to try and put the team on his back to lead them to a win against their division rival.

Next up I took Anthony Davis to go over his points prop against the Rockets tonight. The Rockets have had trouble stopping Power Forwards and I think this is a spot where the Lakers will milk Davis in a game they should win at home.

Last up I took Denver and Sacramento to go over the total tonight. Denver is coming in off a back to back and I don't know if their defensive intensity will be there but they can still score at will against a rested Kings team and they should have most of their players avaiable tonight. The Kings meanwhile are rested and at home so they should play with pace and be able to make this a close game against Denver which should lead to a lot of points.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

GL, gummer. If it's asking Steph to pick up the scoring, I can say that he's capable. Such a gifted playmaker, GL.

 

[Jrgum3]

2-1 day as Steph doesn't clear his point total and even more disappointing the Warriors blow a 22 point lead. I'm a Warriors fan but I think they need to make a big trade at the deadline and I assume they will because they're going to make one last ditch effort to get Steph another ring while he's still the face of their franchise. At least the Denver/Sacramento game went way over the total and Anthony Davis cleared his points prop to give me a winning day even if the Warriors choked away a big lead.

No games Sunday as the league prepares for the Quarterfinals of the in season tournament. A welcome break to not have to cap any games so that I can come back ready to win on Monday.

Thread record: 45-47-2 -5.64 Units

 

[Wagerallsports]

We'll take the winning night

 

[Jrgum3]

12/4/23
Boston Celtics -5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -150 1.50u to win 1u

My first play is on Boston to cover the spread on the road against the Pacers. Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with an illness but even if he doe play I don't think the lackluster Pacers D will be able to stop a Boston offense that scored 155 points on them last time these two played. I also don't think the Pacers offense will be able to score at will against this Celtics Defense so I laid the 5 points with the Celtics.

My second play is on the Kings ML tonight against the Pelicans. I think the Kings will feed off their home crowd's energy and start strong tonight. I'm not sure they can cover 4 points against a feisty Pelicans team that might give them problems inside but I do like the Kings to win this game and advance in the tournament.

 

[BMR Genie]

12/4/23
Boston Celtics -5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -150 1.50u to win 1u

My first play is on Boston to cover the spread on the road against the Pacers. Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with an illness but even if he doe play I don't think the lackluster Pacers D will be able to stop a Boston offense that scored 155 points on them last time these two played. I also don't think the Pacers offense will be able to score at will against this Celtics Defense so I laid the 5 points with the Celtics.

My second play is on the Kings ML tonight against the Pelicans. I think the Kings will feed off their home crowd's energy and start strong tonight. I'm not sure they can cover 4 points against a feisty Pelicans team that might give them problems inside but I do like the Kings to win this game and advance in the tournament.

Good luck!

 

[Jrgum3]

Tough night tonight as both my plays lose. Maybe had something to do with these being in season tournament single elimination quarterfinal games. Both dogs played with an added intensity because nobody wants to go home with money on the line for the champions of this tournament. Of course that could just be me grasping at straws for why my plays lost but I think there's something to it because the players are playing these games as if they're win or go home playoff games which essentially they are thanks to this format. Two more in season tournament Quarterfinal games tomorrow so all I can do is try to win tomorrow.

Thread record: 45-49 -8.29 Units

 

[BMR Genie]

Tough night tonight as both my plays lose. Maybe had something to do with these being in season tournament single elimination quarterfinal games. Both dogs played with an added intensity because nobody wants to go home with money on the line for the champions of this tournament. Of course that could just be me grasping at straws for why my plays lost but I think there's something to it because the players are playing these games as if they're win or go home playoff games which essentially they are thanks to this format. Two more in season tournament Quarterfinal games tomorrow so all I can do is try to win tomorrow.

Thread record: 45-49 -8.29 Units

Tough loss, JR. Bounce back today.

 

[theriver55]

THX for the write-ups JR. Adds more value to your NBA Picks thread. Good Luck moving forward.

 

[jjgold]

Bucks ML tonight

I know Knicks are tough and best all around guard in league Brunson

Bucks seem to be playing much better as of late

 

[Tanko]

Tough night tonight as both my plays lose. Maybe had something to do with these being in season tournament single elimination quarterfinal games. Both dogs played with an added intensity because nobody wants to go home with money on the line for the champions of this tournament. Of course that could just be me grasping at straws for why my plays lost but I think there's something to it because the players are playing these games as if they're win or go home playoff games which essentially they are thanks to this format. Two more in season tournament Quarterfinal games tomorrow so all I can do is try to win tomorrow.

Thread record: 45-49 -8.29 Units

Tough day yesterday. GL today.
I may not post replies to your picks but I read every one, every day.
Keep them coming.

 

[Jrgum3]

12/5/23
New York Knicks +5 -105 1.05u to win 1u
New York Knicks ML +175 0.5u to win 0.87u
Phoenix Suns ML +105 1u to win 1.05u

I like the Knicks tonight to keep it close against the Bucks. I think they match up well with this team and can hang around at least. I do think they're live to win the tournament and that starts with tonights game against the Bucks so I took a stab with them on the ML. The Bucks are good we all know that but their defense leaves something to be desired and I think New York can steal this one on the road.

My next play I took the Suns ML because I think they're better than the Lakers. The only thing that concerns me is the Lakers are taking this pretty seriously with a trip to Vegas on the line as are most of the teams so they're approaching this as a win or go home game 7 on their home floor. I still went with Phoenix because all things considered I'd take them over the Lakers in a win or go home game with Booker playing this time around.

 

[Jrgum3]

Another rough night as I go 0-3 in the in season tournament to make it 0-5 in my last 5 plays. I like the in season tournament from a fans perspective but as a handicapper its been tough on me. Hopefully with the normal schedule back tomorrow I do a little bit better and find some winners.

Thread record: 45-52 -10.84 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

12/6/23
Joel Embiid o32.5 points -130 1.3u to win 1u
Cam Thomas o20.5 points -124 1.24u to win 1u
Toronto Raptors -3.5 -115 1.15u to win 1u

First up tonight I like Joel Embiid to completely dominate the Washington Wizards and score more than 32.5 points tonight. He dominates this matchup historically and had 48 against them the last time they played in just 31 minutes of action. Gafford can't stop him plus he's well rested so I'm quite confident trusting him to go over his points prop tonight.

Next up I like Cam Thomas of the Nets to go over 20.5 points against the Hawks tonight. He has been plenty of run lately and the Hawks have one of the worst defenses in the league so I expect this game to be high scoring. I look for Thomas to take plenty of shots and go over his points prop against the Hawks.

Lastly I like Toronto to protect home court tonight against an ailing Heat team that will sorely miss Bam Adebayo tonight. Without their big man I expect the Heat offense to struggle on the road against a pretty solid Toronto defense enough for the Raptors to get the cover at home here tonight.

 

[Jrgum3]

Went 1-2 tonight with Embiid doing what I expected and dominating Washington to the tune of 50 points. He's scored 98 points against them in 2 games this year which is just incredible. Unfortunately I wasn't so fortunate with my Cam Thomas prop tonight as he went way under 20.5 points with only 6 points because he couldn't hit anything tonight in the first half and stayed cold in the second half. Sometimes you just got to chalk it up as a bad game by a player and Cam was terrible tonight even though the Nets did win. My last play on Toronto didn't hit as Miami got the win on the road despite being shorthanded. Hopefully tomorrow I do better but I don't know what to expect from the two semi-final In season tournament games in Vegas so we'll see what happens.

Thread record: 46-54 -12.23 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

12/7/23
Tyrese Haliburton o45.5 P+R+A -130 1.3u to win 1u
Lebron James o43.5 P+R+A -102 1.02u to win 1u

I think today's games are extremely difficult to cap so I stayed off the side and total for the games and went the player prop route. I think Tyrese Haliburton is going to go off today whether that be scoring the ball or creating easy baskets for his teammates. I expect this game to be close and high scoring so plenty of chances for Haliburton to go over this modest number.

I expect the same for Lebron whom I think will be plenty motivated to win this in season tournament so it's hard for me to bet against him. This will be a back and forth game so I see Lebron trying to take over down the stretch and will his guys to the championship game on Saturday.

 

[Jrgum3]

1-1 day that probably should've been 2-0 if Lebron and the Lakers didn't just obliterate New Orleans so much that Lebron could rest up for Saturday and finish under his P+R+A prop by the hook. Tomorrow is a new day with a big slate so plenty of opportunity to find some winners.

Thread Record: 47-55 -12.25 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

12/8/23
Philadelphia 76ers 1H -5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Memphis Grizzlies +6 -115 1.15u to win 1u

First up tonight I like the Sixers to cover the 1H number against the Hawks in Philadelphia tonight. The Hawks are scrappy so I don't particularly want to lay 9 points for the full game tonight because I feel like the Hawks can get a backdoor cover but I do like the Sixers to at least take a big enough lead into halftime to cover the 5 points.

My next play is on Memphis at home against the T Wolves. Minnesota actually has the best record in the league because they've been doing it with the league's best defense but I think Memphis can hang around here at home especially since they've been in better recent form after a bad start to the season.

 

[Jrgum3]

Tough 0-2 night as the Sixers blow a 12 point 1H lead and go into the break trailing the Hawks and Memphis got run out of their gym against the Wolves. Tough to bet on Memphis I probably shouldn't have gone there for one of my plays tonight because they're still not a good team even though they've been playing better lately. Tomorrow I might take the day off since I've not had success betting on the in season tournament but if I have anything I'll be sure to post it here in the thread.

Thread record: 47-57 -14.50 Units

 

[theriver55]

Keep plugging away JR. GL moving forward