JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays

[Jrgum3]

11/14/23
Philadelphia -5 -103 1.03u to win 1u
Denver -4 -111 1.11u to win 1u

First up tonight I like the Sixers to keep up their momentum against the visiting Pacers here. The Pacers play fast and this game will likely be high scoring but I don't see anybody on the Pacers team being able to slow down Embiid and Maxey in this one. I lean over here too but I instead laid the points because I think 5 is a reasonable number for the Sixers to cover at home.

My second play is another fade of the Clippers. I think it's safe to say at this point I'm going to keep doing this with good teams against the Clippers until they get things figured out and this Nuggets squad will probably play angry tonight coming off a tough loss on the road against the Rockets last time out. I think Denver should be favored by more than 4 here at home so I laid the small number with the Nuggets to cover at home tonight.

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL tonight Jr

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Gum, you have great knowledge. GL.

 

[JDS]

Gum, you have great knowledge. GL.

He break downs the games he bets on very well, always a good read when it comes to Jr.

 

[Jrgum3]

Well guys it looks like Embiid is a game time decision. Good old NBA with their last minute Game Time decisions for star players. I think the Sixers still win and cover here but I don't feel as good about it with Embiid maybe limited if he plays at all.

 

[JDS]

Well guys it looks like Embiid is a game time decision. Good old NBA with their last minute Game Time decisions for star players. I think the Sixers still win and cover here but I don't feel as good about it with Embiid maybe limited if he plays at all.

This is the main reason why I do not like to bet on the NBA. It’s a total waiting game until tip off.

 

[Jrgum3]

Embiid is in but we'll see if he's limited in any way. Hopefully the other Sixers pick up the slack if he is but I like how this team is playing right now so we'll find out if they keep it going.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Embiid is in but we'll see if he's limited in any way. Hopefully the other Sixers pick up the slack if he is but I like how this team is playing right now so we'll find out if they keep it going.

Embiid did play full minutes (38). Definitely frustrating.

These NBA players are not exactly Ironmen. They'll take a Mental Health day when they want. What do they care, as long as the check cashes?

 

[Jrgum3]

Ugh yeah tough beat with the Pacers upsetting the Sixers but really I don't know if its a big upset because I think the dogs in these in season tourney games might be worth betting since the players are playing for "something." The Nuggets also didn't cover the 4 in a close game against the Clippers but at least they won. Didn't help my bottom line but they're still very tough to beat in Denver and most of the time they cover just missed it tonight by one bucket so very frustrating 0-2 night for me.

Thread Record: 25-31 -8.50 Units

 

[Wagerallsports]

Get em tonight bud

 

[Jrgum3]

11/15/23
Boston -4 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Toronto +5 -110 1.10u to win 1u
De'Aaron Fox o26.5 points -125 1.25u to win 1u

First up I like the Celtics in a revenge spot here against the Sixers on the road. Last week I was on the Sixers to win against their rivals but circumstances have changed surrounding that team. For starters Kelly Oubre being out takes away one of their best perimeter defenders and outside shooters. Also they played the Pacers last night so they'll have some tired legs in this one and they won't have all their guys so depth will come into play. Boston didn't play last night so they should be rested and motivated to bounce back with a statement win against the Sixers.

Next up I like Toronto tonight at home plus the points vs the Bucks. It's hard to believe this as good as the Bucks are on paper they're 1-9 ATS this year. They shouldn't be favored by this many on the road with Giannis potentially missing this game. Even if he plays I think this will be a close game that could either way so I took the 5 points.

Last up I took De'Aaron Fox o26.5 points scored tonight. He usually plays well against the Lakers and I can see this being a track meet to end the night. I lean Kings here because they're fully healthy now and their offense is better with Fox on the floor but I think the better play is Fox's points prop over the number.

 

[Jrgum3]

All right hopefully a 2-1 night tonight gets me back on track. Boston took care of business on the road down two starters against a Philly team that actually had Joel Embiid who once again was a GTD but played anyway. I thought I was in trouble when the line moved two points against me with the news that Porzingis and Brown would sit this one out but it didn't matter as the Celtics played great for the most part and outlasted a gritty Philly team tonight.

I probably should have stayed away from the Milwaukee game because Giannis sat this one out but again it didn't matter as Dame seems to play better with him off the floor. This one closed Milwaukee -1 because Giannis was out so I actually bet a good number but Milwaukee is just better than Toronto even without their best player available.

Thankfully Fox scored three points in the final minute of a blowout game against the Lakers to score more than 26.5 points. He could have gotten anything he wanted tonight because he had 21 at half but he just finished with 28 points. I'll take it because I haven't been on the right side of many bets this week.

Thread record: 27-32 -7.60 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

11/16/23
Brooklyn Nets +4 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Just the one play for me tonight on a small 2 game slate. The Nets visit the Heat who are coming back home after a lengthy road trip. I think the Nets will keep this one close against the Heat who have been treading water without Tyler Herro. The Heat may win this one but I'll take the 4 points with a healthier Nets team because I see this being a close game tonight.

 

[Jrgum3]

Brooklyn did what they could tonight but the Heat were scorching hot tonight at home. Butler in particular was too much for the Nets to handle. That's how it goes sometimes I'd make this play again but sometimes teams just shoot too well and beat you whether its college or pro basketball and that's what happened here. Tomorrow is a full slate so hopefully I find some winners and bounce back.

Thread record: 27-33 -8.70 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

11/17/23
Sacramento Kings Team Total o123 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Nikola Jokic o54.5 Points +Rebounds+Assists -120 1.2u to win 1u

Just two plays for me on today's big 11 game card. First I like Sacramento tonight against the Spurs. I don't think they have much of a problem dispatching this Spurs team even on the road so I lean Kings but I don't want to lay 8.5 points on the road here. Instead I played Kings Team total over 123 because De'Aaron Fox as I have highlighted in this thread has changed their offensive outlook since he's been back and also the Spurs are horrible defensively. I think this one goes over 238 but I just isolated the Kings here because I don't know if I trust the Spurs to score enough to help send this total over 238.

My second play is on Nikola Jokic's o54.5 P+R+A. This one is pretty high and its fairly juiced but I expect Jokic to have a big game here against the Pelicans. It's hard to bet against Jokic in any matchup and I'm not doing it here even against Jonas Valanciunis who is a pretty good big in his own right.

 

[BMR Genie]

Get it, JR!

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Good Luck, Gum. Good insights, per usual.

 

[Jrgum3]

All right 2-0 night as things went pretty much how I anticipated them to go. Sacramento won and covered the point spread as well both the Sacramento team total over and full game over 238 hit in a back and forth game between two teams that play fast. As for Jokic what can I say except that guy is incredible even when the team loses. I think without Murray on the floor I would consider his triple double prop if the number the books hang is at plus money like the books had it at today. It was only +120 so I just took his P+R+A over and he got there with room to spare.

Thread record: 29-33 -6.70 Units

 

[JDS]

All right 2-0 night as things went pretty much how I anticipated them to go. Sacramento won and covered the point spread as well both the Sacramento team total over and full game over 238 hit in a back and forth game between two teams that play fast. As for Jokic what can I say except that guy is incredible even when the team loses. I think without Murray on the floor I would consider his triple double prop if the number the books hang is at plus money like the books had it at today. It was only +120 so I just took his P+R+A over and he got there with room to spare.

Thread record: 29-33 -6.70 Units

Good job

 

[Jrgum3]

I am going to take it easy today guys its a grind betting NBA every day and I don't want to force plays. I lean Mavericks +2.5 today because it is a step up in class for Milwaukee in terms of who they've been playing lately in their mini 3 game winning streak and despite Giannis probably playing tonight I think the Mavs are live here. I didn't bet it though I'm just telling you guys what I lean BOL if you decide to play it.