Thanks hopefully I have another good night. 3 plays feels like a lot for a 4 game slate but I feel good about my process right now so hopefully I grind out another winning night.
JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays
- Thread starter Jrgum3
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Wagerallsports
- Joined
- Mar 6, 2018
- Messages
- 53,104
I think you're right about Curry tonight
I almost pulled the trigger on his points prop but the books made it o29.5 so he has to have 30 tonight. I think that he gets it but without Draymond to set him up with passes and screens I don't like him nearly as much as a scorer. This is a showcase game though so he'll want to play well and that usually means he's going to ball out and 30 is nothing for him.
I'm going to tail on this one. Couldn't get +6 straight up (not on wagerweb) so I bought the half.
GL Jrgum... I like the logic.
Yeah only WagerWeb and Bovada are dealing +6. Everybody else is dealing +5.5. Boston has been a wagon this season so that's my only concern but the thing about that is most of those games where they covered were at home. Now they're beginning their west coast road trip and they play Sacramento tomorrow. I think the Warriors are live to steal this one but I didn't play the ML because obviously the Celtics are better than them this year and it wouldn't surprise me if they do just enough to win this game but not cover the spread.
Just a quick update guys Kristaps Porzingis will not play tonight due to a calf injury. My play on him will be graded a push and I like my Warriors play even more because the line is now +4.5 but that doesn't always mean I'll win just that I got a great number with +6 in my pocket.
Ok I'm very happy to go 1-1-1 on the short Tuesday night card. The Pelicans blew a 20 point lead at home and lost outright to a Grizzlies team that clearly is energized with the return of Ja Morant who hit the game winning shot and scored 34 in his debut tonight. Luckily for me Steph had a huge 4th Quarter and led the Warriors back from down big to arguably the Warriors biggest win of the year. Say what you want about the Warriors but Steph still comes up huge in big games like this one against Boston who is arguably the best team in the league.
Thread record: 59-66-1 -12.31 Units
Thread record: 59-66-1 -12.31 Units
Thanks for the Warriors winner.
It was dead and then.... it wasn't. What a 4Q and OT.
You're welcome Tanko! Yeah the NBA is full of outcomes like that. You always have a chance when you can shoot the 3 ball well and luckily the Wariors were hitting their shots in the 4th Quarter.
12/20/23
Orlando Magic -5 -113 1.13u to win 1u
Houston Rockets -3 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -138 1.38u to win 1u
First up I like the Magic to bounce back at home against Miami. Miami will be without Jimmy Butler in this one and I think the Magic can take advantage of a shorthanded Heat team here at home where they play better both defensively and offensively.
My second play is on the Rockets to cover the short number at home against the Hawks. I think the Rockets are the better team and they are a team that is a different animal at home. Their play defense while the Hawks do not so I see the Rockets getting out to a lead and clamping down on the Hawks enough to cover this short number.
My last play is on the Kings against a tired Celtics team. You have to think the Celtics will be tired tonight after losing in Overtime last night against the Warriors. The Kings are rested and should run the Celtics out of the gym. Another thing working in our favor is Tatum will not play due to an ankle injury but the Celtics do get Porzingis back tonight as I think they were saving him for this matchup but after Tatum played 40+ minutes last night they are sitting him and Horford. None of this really matters to me as what does matter is the Kings play great at home and they have the rest advantage which will be huge in this matchup.
Orlando Magic -5 -113 1.13u to win 1u
Houston Rockets -3 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -138 1.38u to win 1u
First up I like the Magic to bounce back at home against Miami. Miami will be without Jimmy Butler in this one and I think the Magic can take advantage of a shorthanded Heat team here at home where they play better both defensively and offensively.
My second play is on the Rockets to cover the short number at home against the Hawks. I think the Rockets are the better team and they are a team that is a different animal at home. Their play defense while the Hawks do not so I see the Rockets getting out to a lead and clamping down on the Hawks enough to cover this short number.
My last play is on the Kings against a tired Celtics team. You have to think the Celtics will be tired tonight after losing in Overtime last night against the Warriors. The Kings are rested and should run the Celtics out of the gym. Another thing working in our favor is Tatum will not play due to an ankle injury but the Celtics do get Porzingis back tonight as I think they were saving him for this matchup but after Tatum played 40+ minutes last night they are sitting him and Horford. None of this really matters to me as what does matter is the Kings play great at home and they have the rest advantage which will be huge in this matchup.
Wagerallsports
- Joined
- Mar 6, 2018
- Messages
- 53,104
I was contemplating the magic
I'll give it a go since you were on them
GL tonight
I'll give it a go since you were on them
GL tonight
Sorry guys just a brutal night in the association for me tonight as every single bet I made loses and none were particularly close. The Magic seem to struggle shooting the ball and a good shooting team like the Heat will beat them more often than not because the Magic are inconsistent from the perimeter. The Rockets are still young so there will be ups and downs with that team but I like what they're doing they just lost tonight to the Hawks. Boston salvaged a split by blowing out Sacramento tonight in a game that was never really that close. I think if you're Boston you can be satisfied with splitting back to back games against Golden State and Sacramento especially since you were without key players in both games. Boston is a train that I probably should've stayed away from stepping in front of twice in consecutive days but I thought the spot was good for Sacramento and boy I couldn't be more wrong.
Thread record: 59-69-1 -16.90 Units
Thread record: 59-69-1 -16.90 Units
12/21/23
Oklahoma City -4.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Just 2 plays for me tonight on a fairly big card. I like Oklahoma City tonight to end the Clippers winning streak at home. This is a tough spot for the Clippers they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and its the second game of a back to back on the road. I think they finally wear out against a young and hungry Thunder team looking for a signature win.
My play on the Wolves is similar in that its a fade of the Lakers. Both teams are on the second leg of a back to back but Minnesota is at home and I think they come out strong and really jump on an older Lakers team that played a lot of their guys including AD and Lebron a lot of minutes last night against the Bulls. I look for Minnesota to cover -6.5 and win going away tonight.
Oklahoma City -4.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Just 2 plays for me tonight on a fairly big card. I like Oklahoma City tonight to end the Clippers winning streak at home. This is a tough spot for the Clippers they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and its the second game of a back to back on the road. I think they finally wear out against a young and hungry Thunder team looking for a signature win.
My play on the Wolves is similar in that its a fade of the Lakers. Both teams are on the second leg of a back to back but Minnesota is at home and I think they come out strong and really jump on an older Lakers team that played a lot of their guys including AD and Lebron a lot of minutes last night against the Bulls. I look for Minnesota to cover -6.5 and win going away tonight.
2-0 day last night as the Thunder blow out the Clippers and the Wolves do just enough to cover against the Lakers who put up a fight without Lebron. I think the Clippers were content to punt last nights game as they held Kawhi out on the second night of back to back and the Thunder rolled last night against a Clippers team that kind of figured it would be a spot where their winning streak ended so they didn't even play their best player. The Lakers also took a chance to rest Lebron and almost won on the road against Minnesota but they lost a close battle and at least Minnesota covered by the hook to give me a 2-0 night.
Thread record: 61-69-1 -14.90 Units
Thread record: 61-69-1 -14.90 Units
12/22/23
Houston Rockets 1H -4.5 1.1u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -160 1.6u to win 1u
First up I really like the Houston Rockets tonight against the Mavs. This is a shorthanded Mavs team without Luka and Kyrie among a number of other guys all out for this game. I think Houston jumps on them early and is leading going into halftime by a comfortable margin. I don't know if they can cover 8.5 but they might be able to with all these key players out for Dallas.
Next up in the game of the night I like the Kings to bounce back at home and beat the Suns. I think this game will be close but I like this Kings offense at home to score at will against a Suns team that struggles to defend. I leaned over the total in this one as well but I it's 243.5 which is pretty high so I didn't take it. I still think this one goes over though because this will be a back and forth battle between two good offensive teams that don't play great defense. I think Sacramento wins a close one though so I took them on the ML instead of laying the 3.5 tonight.
Houston Rockets 1H -4.5 1.1u to win 1u
Sacramento Kings ML -160 1.6u to win 1u
First up I really like the Houston Rockets tonight against the Mavs. This is a shorthanded Mavs team without Luka and Kyrie among a number of other guys all out for this game. I think Houston jumps on them early and is leading going into halftime by a comfortable margin. I don't know if they can cover 8.5 but they might be able to with all these key players out for Dallas.
Next up in the game of the night I like the Kings to bounce back at home and beat the Suns. I think this game will be close but I like this Kings offense at home to score at will against a Suns team that struggles to defend. I leaned over the total in this one as well but I it's 243.5 which is pretty high so I didn't take it. I still think this one goes over though because this will be a back and forth battle between two good offensive teams that don't play great defense. I think Sacramento wins a close one though so I took them on the ML instead of laying the 3.5 tonight.
chuckythegoat2
- Joined
- Sep 26, 2023
- Messages
- 1,685
Merry xmas, gummer. Hope you have a nice holiday.
Thanks Chucky same to you and yours.
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