JR's Plays of the Day thread

[Tanko]

12/25/24

NFL
Kansas City Chiefs ML -151 1.51u to win 1u

NBA
LA Lakers/Golden State u223.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Stephen Curry o35.5 P+R+A -108 1.08u to win 1u
Denver Nuggets -2 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Nikola Jokic o28.5 points -122 1.22u to win 1u

No action for me tonight as I didn't like that the number went up on that total for the game although I still think it goes over. Instead I'm focused on tomorrow's games as we have plenty of games to choose from.

First up I like Kansas City to somehow find a way to win tomorrow. I keep betting against them and they keep winning so I'm just going to go with them to win the game tomorrow against Pittsburgh. They need this game to wrap up the one seed and make next weeks game irrelevant so they can rest their starters to get ready for the playoffs. I think they get it done somehow so I'm playing Kansas City on the ML.

In the NBA I chose to play to play the two evening games. First I think the Lakers and Warriors game will stay under the total because the Warriors strength is their defense and I think they'll be amped for this game after dropping one last night to Indiana. I look for them to stifle LA and keep this one under the total. I also took Curry's P+R+A prop over because I think he will be able to find his stroke against an LA team that doesn't guard the perimeter well. Also I think Kerr will play him a little more than normal because Golden State needs this game and I expect Curry to play well tomorrow.

In the nightcap I'm taking Denver to cover against Phoenix. This is a rematch of the game last night except it's being played in Phoenix. Last night I know I was on Phoenix but what I didn't realize is they struggle when Booker is out. I think they will have trouble stopping Denver and Jokic so I'm on Denver and Jokic to score more than 28 points tomorrow against a team that offers little resistance on the interior.

Merry Christmas all and good luck on your plays today and tomorrow.

I’m with you on KC. Tired of watching them pull out wins and me losing.
Thanks for the write ups.

 

[Jrgum3]

I’m with you on KC. Tired of watching them pull out wins and me losing.
Thanks for the write ups.

I see a lot of people taking Pittsburgh on the spread but I don't like that it's under a field goal. I think if you like Pittsburgh look to take them in a teaser with another game happening later this week because I do expect this to be competitive with Pittsburgh playing at home and Kansas City continuing to not cover spreads despite winning all these games. Personally I think KC wins just because they need the rest after playing 3 games in 11 days so I feel they'll go all out to win this game and secure home field advantage so they can rest their players.

 

[Jrgum3]

I locked in my playoff plays early plus a couple of additional plays in college football so hopefully I find some winners.

NCAAF
Toledo Rockets +7 -107 1.07u to win 1u
BYU/Colorado o54.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Boise State +11.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Texas -13.5 -105 1.05u to win 1u
Oregon +2.5 -105 1.05u to win 1u
Notre Dame +2 -110 1.1u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

2-3 day today that could've been a winning day if Steph didn't hit a couple of incredible shots in that last minute. Funny he went way over his P+R+A but his three to tie the game sent the game over the total. Denver continues to be a tough team to figure out as they lose to Phoenix outright and Jokic comes close but doesn't go over 28.5 points. Hopefully tomorrow goes better as we get back to a bigger slate of games to choose from.

Overall record: 285-297-9 -33.29u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 40-35-1 +2.33u
NFL: 38-62 -28.64u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 44-46 -8.40u
NCAAB24-25: 29-24-2 +2.86u

 

[Jrgum3]

12/26/24

NBA
OKC Thunder -5.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

Just one additional play for me today as I took OKC to cover on the road against a pretty hot Indiana team. Despite playing good ball lately Indiana hasn't looked quite as good at home and I think OKC will cool them off in their building where they haven't played as well even against bad teams and now they have to face arguably the leagues best in OKC so give me OKC to cover.

 

[BMR Genie]

12/26/24

NBA
OKC Thunder -5.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

Just one additional play for me today as I took OKC to cover on the road against a pretty hot Indiana team. Despite playing good ball lately Indiana hasn't looked quite as good at home and I think OKC will cool them off in their building where they haven't played as well even against bad teams and now they have to face arguably the leagues best in OKC so give me OKC to cover.

Good luck today, JR.

LT has also the OKC for tonight.

 

[Jrgum3]

Good luck today, JR.

LT has also the OKC for tonight.

I saw that and I'm glad to be on the same side as him as he's been hot lately.

 

[Jrgum3]

2-0 night last night as Toledo wins a thriller in OT and OKC rallies to cover against Indiana thanks to SGA's 45 points.

Overall record: 287-297-9 -31.29u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 41-35-1 +3.33u
NFL: 38-62 -28.64u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 45-46 -7.40u
NCAAB24-25: 29-24-2 +2.86u

 

[Jrgum3]

12/27/24

NBA
Orlando Magic +7.5 -109 1.09u to win 1u
Houston Rockets ML -118 1.18u to win 1u
Andrew Wiggins o16.5 points -114 1.14u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

0-3 night in the association that could've been a 1-2 night but Houston blew a 15 point lead with 7 minutes left somehow. I didn't watch the end so I didn't see the sickening beat but that's how it goes sometimes. Onto tomorrow where I have one play pending with the BYU/Colorado o54 and I'll probably have a couple more plays lined up with plenty of action across NFL, NBA and college hoops going on.

Overall record: 287-300-9 -34.70u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 41-35-1 +3.33u
NFL: 38-62 -28.64u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 45-49 -10.81u
NCAAB24-25: 29-24-2 +2.86u

 

[BMR Genie]

Good luck today, JR.

 

[Wagerallsports]

0-3 night in the association that could've been a 1-2 night but Houston blew a 15 point lead with 7 minutes left somehow. I didn't watch the end so I didn't see the sickening beat but that's how it goes sometimes. Onto tomorrow where I have one play pending with the BYU/Colorado o54 and I'll probably have a couple more plays lined up with plenty of action across NFL, NBA and college hoops going on.

Overall record: 287-300-9 -34.70u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 41-35-1 +3.33u
NFL: 38-62 -28.64u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 45-49 -10.81u
NCAAB24-25: 29-24-2 +2.86u

Love the record-roundup JR

Turn it around today

 

[Jrgum3]

12/28/24

NCAAB
San Jose State +8.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

NBA
Phoenix/Golden State u219.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
LA Lakers/Sacramento o223 -108 1.08u to win 1u

NHL
New York Rangers/Tampa Bay 1P o1.5 -128 1.28u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

We go 4-1 today as my only loser was on the over in the Colorado game. Bowl games are so tough to predict which is why I've stuck to playing primarily the playoff games but this one I felt good about because most of the primary players for both sides were playing. Colorado just didn't show up in the first half so it stayed under 54.5 for the game.

Overall record: 291-301-9 -31.80u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 41-36-1 +2.23u
NFL: 38-62 -28.64u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 47-49 -8.81u
NCAAB24-25: 30-24-2 +3.86u

 

[Jrgum3]

12/29/24

NFL
Carolina Panthers +9.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Dallas Cowboys +8 -120 1.20u to win 1u
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 -111 1.11u to win 1u

 

[Tanko]

12/29/24

NFL
Carolina Panthers +9.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u
Dallas Cowboys +8 -120 1.20u to win 1u
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 -111 1.11u to win 1u

Love these dog plays Jrgum. I need some winners. The Falcons feel like the best one of the bunch. Thoughts?

 

[krit]

GL really like Falcons as well today.

 

[Jrgum3]

Love these dog plays Jrgum. I need some winners. The Falcons feel like the best one of the bunch. Thoughts?

Yeah I'm going to make that my best bet. Falcons need to win to control their own destiny in the NFC South and Washington is in a prime letdown spot coming off a huge win against Philadelphia.

 

[Jrgum3]

12/29/24

NBA
Indiana Pacers +11 -108 1.08u to win 1u

Adding the Pacers to my action today. They just played the Celtics and got smoked by 37 but I'm going right back to them here for a few reasons. First that last game was a tough spot for Indiana who was coming into that one off of beating OKC and they probably had nothing left for Boston so they got destroyed. I like them in this one though to at least cover the double digit spread because they have been playing better lately and covering spreads while Boston has not been covering spreads and in this situation I think we get a much closer game where Boston has to fight for a win.

 

[Jrgum3]

Man I went 0-3 in NFL today so that damn league continues to bury me but at least I got a winner with Indiana against the Celtics in a game they won outright. Onto tomorrow where we have Monday Night Football and a pretty nice slate of college hoops as well as NBA so I'll try to bounce back from a rough Sunday.

Overall record: 292-304-9 -34.19u
MLB: 109-95-4 +9.69u
WNBA: 17-28-2 -13.25u
NHL23-24: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 41-36-1 +2.23u
NFL: 38-65 -32.03u
NHL24-25: 11-5-1 +7.41u
NBA24-25: 48-49 -7.81u
NCAAB24-25: 30-24-2 +3.86u