📣🏈Thursday Ravens @ Bucs/All Sports *CHAT & IN-GAME 🗣️📣

[Enikk]

I've occassionally done DOG RL's but its rare. I think in general, if you want Dog RL just take the ML. There are no absolute rules in betting.

Wish I had the source that taught me that years ago. I guess we can check via back-testing data to see if the results have changed.

Short term as in the Last Capper Standing Contest where every game matters needing a win it can be a valuable tool. Real cash overtime will get hammered. No getting around it. Posters that post games like that routinely should be faded and are just trying to pad their win/loss stats so they can stay they hit that sport at a higher percentage. Tout move and honestly probably not even betting real cash. Probably a HeadsterX wet dream fade scenario.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Short term as in the Last Capper Standing Contest where every game matters needing a win it can be a valuable tool. Real cash overtime will get hammered. No getting around it. Posters that post games like that routinely should be faded and are just trying to pad their win/loss stats so they can stay they hit that sport at a higher percentage. Tout move and honestly probably not even betting real cash. Probably a HeadsterX wet dream fade scenario.

Over last 10 seasons PL has been more profitable in 6, though very close all 10 years

That is for both faves and dogs (combined) for what it’s worth

Overall profitability very close

 

[Enikk]

On this we are in 100% agreement. Beating the closing line is an important measure over time of how you are performing. If you're not beating the closing line (or line movement) you are a losing bettor.

This should be intuitively obvious. If your bets are on the wrong side of the line movements or closing line, you've given up opportunity/value. We all know the public, in general loses, so if you're behind the public, as far as line movement, you're an even bigger loser (so to speak).

Agree, but at the end of the day you have to be able to pick fvcking winners and not just beat the number. You have to know the teams and narrow down the board/sport. You have to plan ahead and know what you will be pouncing on or you will never get the best number.

CK had a great post in last night's WAG's daily thread. He shared his plan of "hoping" something were to happen than he was ready to pounce. I work in a similar style. That style involves a lot of work stalking games and most times never having a bet like what happened with CK last night BUT he knows how to pick winners as it did win. The value wasn't there on the pre-game line. I love that CK does a lot of 1st half bets. Do anything you can to avoid having a bet based on the opening/closing line. Think outside the box on getting the line you want without having to pay for it. In the end, you can steam all you want but if you can't pick winners and narrow it down than you just have a slight edge over the average Joe Schmoe because you are getting a better number than them.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Agree, but at the end of the day you have to be able to pick fvcking winners and not just beat the number. You have to know the teams and narrow down the board/sport. You have to plan ahead and know what you will be pouncing on or you will never get the best number.

Yeah very true. Though point being, all of this contributes your ability to beat the line. That's why being good at this is challenging

We'd be a lot more profitable if we looked ahead more IMO

 

[Seahawkharry]

Utah Utes -6

 

[carolinakid]

thanks for the nice words Enikk, this is what so great about this group we are all here to share a piece of the puzzle so we can all win.gl there tonite.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Utah Utes -6

I love the Utah Utes and want to bet on them every week harry lol

But I don't obviously

I think I will follow you here

 

[Seahawkharry]

So for tonight we have
Ravens +8/over 39 teaser
Lamar Jackson over 62.5
NBA NETS +3.5 Thanks legacy
NBA KINGS +3.5 Thanks legacy
Utah Utes -6

Busy night

 

[gauchojake]

Utes line is fishy af

 

[Wagerallsports]

Utes line is fishy af

What's the story on Washington St?

 

[gauchojake]

Other than it's a tough place to play on the road I have no idea. The line went from 8.5 to 7 though with the public betting the Utes so there's something happening.

 

[sharpsquare]

Ravens/Bucs Over 46
Predators -105 (3way)

Best of luck tonight everyone!

 

[sharpsquare]

Ravens/Bucs Over 46
Predators -105 (3way)

Best of luck tonight everyone!

add:

Wash Caps +165 (3way)

 

[Wagerallsports]

add:

Wash Caps +165 (3way)

Go Caps!

 

[doofy]

Tampa & Baltimore over 46
NC State -13

 

[stormtrooper8]

The over 46's are interesting

 

[doofy]

Tampa is hurt physically and mentally.

 

[Bettor Days]

This is a tough NFL game tonight but I'm on Baltimore + 2.

 

[Florida Fever]

Everyone is on the bucs.

 

[Over Under]

Tampa Bay/Baltimore Over 46