📣🏈Thursday Ravens @ Bucs/All Sports *CHAT & IN-GAME 🗣️📣

[Tanko]

Just remembered we have a morning game in London Saturday

Anyone dare trust in the Jaguars again, this time -2 vs Denver?

Typo.... Sunday.

 

[Tanko]

Who's Denver backup QB?

Wilson is playing so he says. Rypien is B/U if Wilson is out.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Typo.... Sunday.

Yes sorry

 

[Wagerallsports]

Jags have screwed a lot of ppl lately

 

[stormtrooper8]

Jags have screwed a lot of ppl lately

Yeah. Should have covered last 2 weeks

There’s a reason Doug Pederson didn’t survive Philly despite a ring .

 

[Headsterx]

anyone playing nhl today?
i have kraken ml and blackhawks +1.5, already.

was eyeing st louis (+150) and senators (+105) ...any thoughts anyone?

All four of them looks good. Senators and Blackhawks are on nice winning streaks. Might take Hawks at +180 as Oilers playing back 2 back on the road.

Blues facing a Predators team that are losing badly. And Kraken at home against a winless Canucks team.

 

[Headsterx]

All four of them looks good. Senators and Blackhawks are on nice winning streaks. Might take Hawks at +180 as Oilers playing back 2 back on the road.

Blues facing a Predators team that are losing badly. And Kraken at home against a winless Canucks team.

Uh oh, but quantumleap has Preds based on some system that's 11-4.

 

[RRsilver]

A lot of line movement! I would assume a lot of public money on TB!

 

[Wagerallsports]

A lot of line movement! I would assume a lot of public money on TB!

Everywhere I look I see picks on Tampa

 

[Bubbles]

A lot of line movement! I would assume a lot of public money on TB!

85% of the public in on ravens - https://odds.bookmakersreview.com/

 

[stormtrooper8]

85% of the public in on ravens - https://odds.bookmakersreview.com/

Great sign

 

[venditto]

85% of the public in on ravens - https://odds.bookmakersreview.com/

Imagine thinking this is a reliable

 

[Bubbles]

was? did you see ck don best stem plays post? i'm looking for other actions but can't find his thread today.

 

[RRsilver]

I had two good years betting NHL knew nothing about teams I was basically playing high + ML"s. Knew my luck would run out so have not played but a few playoff games since that last 2 years!

 

[RRsilver]

Imagine thinking this is a reliable

Line movement is going the other way? That's crazy

 

[Bubbles]

Great sign

yap.

Imagine thinking this is a reliable

using this page is always a great help for me though still cannot wait for the result later. shit things always happen on mnf/tnf.

 

[stormtrooper8]

yap.

using this page is always a great help for me though still cannot wait for the result later. shit things always happen on mnf/tnf.

It is reliable enough

It’s true that reverse line movement exists here

 

[Enikk]

Lay high favorite odds on games that don't land often on the lose by 1 is a losing formula. Look at the data its a sucker bet. Insurance and the illusion of safety.

Great advise by a long-time gambler who actually gambles large sums and is one that continues to improve his gambling game and not stuck in a stubborn style.

I have not read any other posts yet but this post giving advice to Le. If anyone buys points regularly or playing the 1.5 line than they don't know what the fvck they are doing. Again, the key words is regularly.

Lets be honest, If you need to buy points(insurance) than you should not be betting the game thinking it will get that close. This isn't the pre-2000s anymore. You don't have to pre-bet a game. Wait for the fvcking live line and get you cheaper mL/extra pts for free. Anyone encouraging you to lay extra chalk has non fvcking clue.

 

[carolinakid]

I would say i lay large money here as well for over 25 yrs i have a proven way of doing games, everyone has their own way a lot of games dont have live lines on them too, the bottom line what may work for one may not work for the other, i hate putting a lot of games in a parlay, but if it work for you do it..

 

[stormtrooper8]

Great advise by a long-time gambler who actually gambles large sums and is one that continues to improve his gambling game and not stuck in a stubborn style.

I have not read any other posts yet but this post giving advice to Le. If anyone buys points regularly or playing the 1.5 line than they don't know what the fvck they are doing. Again, the key words is regularly.

Lets be honest, If you need to buy points(insurance) than you should not be betting the game thinking it will get that close. This isn't the pre-2000s anymore. You don't have to pre-bet a game. Wait for the fvcking live line and get you cheaper mL/extra pts for free. Anyone encouraging you to lay extra chalk has non fvcking clue.

That’s not true lol

If there was value in buying the ML over +1.5 long term, people would simply do that to the point where ML price becomes more expensive and the “value” would shift to the +1.5

That’s how markets work

Or course a lot of time the +1.5 hit ends up a ML winner as well

But probability wise the expected value/profit is basically identical. Market dynamics and history both show this

Winning in gambling is picking your spots and beating movement over the long run. Odds are always against you statically if you bet at market equilibrium because of price structure