Semifinal (Orange Bowl)
Penn State +1 -108
This is a tough game, but I'm going to side with the underdog Nittany Lions here (somewhat surprisingly, given my James Franklin views).
The big difference for me is going to be Penn State front 7. I think they have the ability to disrupt Notre Dame a bit, and force Leonard into situations where he has to use his arm -- which is not good for Notre Dame. I also think Penn State should be able to have some success here running the ball and controlling the clock.
Overall, I think Penn State has the better players and, despite their coach's shortcomings, that may be enough to pull out a win in a close game. So I'll take the point, as that's where I think the value is.