Notre Dame (-2, 45) vs. Penn State (Orange Bowl, Thursday at Miami Gardens, Fla.)
Both have covered by double-digit margins in the first two playoff rounds, and all the games stayed under. The Fighting Irish are on an extended 21-6 run against the spread, including 12-2 this season. The Nittany Lions are on a 11-4 ATS run against non-Big Ten opponents, but are on a 1-7 ATS skid as underdogs. Penn State is on a 12-7 under run. Edge: Notre Dame and under.