Stormtrooper8 NFL 2023

[613tunit]

You started tailing me way too late LMFAO

Yup!! At least I’m learning quickly that winning at this isn’t going to be easy.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Yup!! At least I’m learning quickly that winning at this isn’t going to be easy.

Some might say that Sports-handicapping is tougher than Brain Surgery or Rocket Science. Very challenging.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Unlucky day. Felt it coming after CFB

Been lucky a lot this year so can't complain

 

[stormtrooper8]

Overall record: 32-13 +18.33
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23



Week 10

Patriots +113
49ers -3 -109
Saints -2.5 -118
Seahawks -6.5 +104
3-team/7-point teaser: Browns +13.5, Bengals +0.5, Packers +10.5 +120


Good luck

Bad beat day

1-4 -3.18 card

33-17 +15.15 overall

 

[Wagerallsports]

I had Bengals in a teaser too

That one hurt

 

[613tunit]

Sorry guys at the time I was betting this teaser BM was offering +8 points -105 so I took it Got super lucky.

 

[quantumleap]

Bad beat day

1-4 -3.18 card

33-17 +15.15 overall

They say "Misery loves company". I went 1-4 with my picks today too. Tough week.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Bad beat day

1-4 -3.18 card

33-17 +15.15 overall

You're havin a great year. Get em next time.

 

[Tanko]

+15 units after 10 weeks is outstanding.

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 80-52-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8


Week 10 ATS plays

View attachment 21753

Game notes...

CAR/CHI: What a wonderful primetime game. Don’t have much faith in either team, more playing the number. I’m not huge on Bryce Young, but this may be a bounce back spot for him against a crappy defense.

IND/NE: Not quite the Germany match-up of Week 9. Indy has been kind of plodding along, but I think their running game will get neutralized here by New England. Mac has been crappy but he may get some opportunities here. New England hasn’t been good to me, but I’ll be stubborn here.

GB/PIT: Don’t love this game either. Oof. I think the Packers are gonna put up a good enough defensive effort to keep this close, and I’ll take the points at this number. I just don’t trust the Steelers offense (not saying I really trust GB either lol).

NO/MIN: Interesting to see the hot Vikings getting points at home after a road win against a decent team with Dobbs. That said, I think the Saints are starting to figure some things out offensively. I also think they smell blood and feel a chance to try and separate themselves from the rest of the division.

HOU/CIN: Another tough game. I am high on Cincy in the big picture, but I am impressed with how Stroud has played. I do think, though, that the Texans defense is going to struggle here to keep the Bengals weapons in front of them. It’s a lot of points, but I will lay the touchdown with Cincinnati.

CLE/BAL: A lot of signs pointing to Baltimore here, but I’m gonna go the other direction. I think Cleveland will respond to a bad first meeting and make a lot of defensive adjustments to keep this thing tight. I also think Baltimore tends to be a little flat after a big performance. I think this may be that spot, despite it being a divisional game.

TEN/TB: Yeah this is another clusterfuck of a game. Tampa showed signs of life on offense, but think the new Levis Titans also have. Basically a coin flip. I think I’ll take slight underdog at home here, one last stand for Baker and the boys. Not much confidence.

SF/JAX: I think the Jaguars have been flying a bit under the radar, but I love the Niners in this spot. Both teams coming off a bye, but think it helped the Niners exponentially more because of health/the losing skid heading into the bye. Think they come out on fire and re-establish themselves as a serious Super Bowl contender.

DET/LAC: I really like the Lions here after the bye week, against a team on a short week. Think Lions are going to physically own the line of scrimmage and be able to run the ball down this shaky defense’s throat. I think they go into SoFi and get it done.

ATL/AZ: Number seems low, but Vegas has finally figured out that the Falcons are not very good. That said Arizona is just a total clusterfuck and I’m going to close my eyes and take the road Dirty Birds to somehow get to 5-5 here.

WAS/SEA: People will be low on Seattle after that terrible performance in Baltimore, and maybe even a little high on Washington, who may believe it’s truly in the playoff race now. But I think this is a nice bounce back spot for the Seahawks, who are still a solid bet to make the playoffs. Don’t trust Washington/Howell in back to back road games.

NYG/DAL: It’s a lot of points, but the Cowboys have had a lot of success in this division and against the Giants specifically. Maybe the New York defense keeps it respectable, but I just think they are going to be realllllly pressed to score here.

NYJ/LV: I think there is a newfound energy in this Vegas team. Credit to the Jets for staying competitive this season with a pretty bad QB, but I think they will regress a bit down the stretch. I think the Raiders get the win at home.

DEN/BUF: Denver has shown a little bit of life as of late, and Buffalo has looked pretty trashy. But this may finally be the “Bills roll inferior opponent at home” game. It’s a little more points than I like, but I’ll take the Bills here.

Shitty again

6-7-1 Week 10
86-59-5 overall

 

[613tunit]

Shitty again

6-7-1 Week 10
86-59-5 overall


View attachment 22061

No worries Storm we’ll get them back this week!!

Do you ever notice if you win more in different segments of the season like weeks 1-9 vs 10-18 or weeks 1-6 vs 7-12 vs 13-18 or not really? Thanks!!

 

[JDS]

No worries Storm we’ll get them back this week!!

Do you ever notice if you win more in different segments of the season like weeks 1-9 vs 10-18 or weeks 1-6 vs 7-12 vs 13-18 or not really? Thanks!!

I always think the middle of the season is the hardest & you should bet more contrarian, easier said than done though.

 

[Tanko]

I always think the middle of the season is the hardest & you should bet more contrarian, easier said than done though.

I think end of the season is tougher. You basically have to stay away from some games at the end since many players are mailing it in.

 

[JDS]

I think end of the season is tougher. You basically have to stay away from some games at the end since many players are mailing it in.

You make a valid case for that shit, but betting on the NFL in general is fucking hard bro not for stormy tho lol.

 

[stormtrooper8]

God these lines fucking suck lol

f*** this shit

 

[Wagerallsports]

Stick with it

Solid record

Clear your head & don't overthink your selections

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 86-59-5
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8
Week 10: 6-7-1


Week 11 ATS plays



Game notes

CIN/BAL: This is a very tough game, as there are a couple of key injuries on both sides. I think my mind would be different if this game was on a Sunday, but unfortunately it’s on a short week. Both teams coming off a loss, I expect them both to play hard, but I lean the home team as I think it’s a major advantage situationally.

DAL/CAR: I’m going with the Panthers here at home. While this seems like a classic spot for Dallas to roll an inferior opponent, I think Carolina is going to hang around with a great defensive effort. Dallas will still win the game, but this could be an interesting one late still.

PIT/CLE: This is one of those cases where I wish the Watson news came after the posted line, but either way I still like the Steelers here. I would’ve liked Pittsburgh with or without Watson most likely; just think Cleveland is really going to struggle to finish off drives in a game like this, even if they move the ball. Pickett will make just enough plays to get them a victory.

CHI/DET: My survivor pick for the week, so watch the Bears win outright! Chicago may not be quite as bad as people think, but this is more about Detroit shoring some things up defensively after a pretty bad showing at SoFi last week. I think they will bounce back and get a pretty comfortable win at home.

AZ/HOU: This is definitely one of the tougher games on the board. Some initial reverse line movement towards the Cardinals. I think this may be a minor letdown spot for the Texans after a huge road win. Even against Arizona, I think they will be a little flat offensively. Plus Cardinals have fought hard on defense most games this year, and I think Murray looks pretty good. I’ll take the birds.

LV/MIA: This is a lot of points, but I will lay nearly two touchdowns here. I’ve been higher on the Raiders than most and it’s pretty admirable that they’re 5-5, but Miami’s versatility offensively is going to give this team some problems. Strong team at home, coming off a bye. I think they cruise here.

NYG/WAS: Honestly, f*** this game. This is flipping a coin basically. The Giants are very bad, but I think they will fight a little bit harder than they did in Dallas. Washington is not as good as their record. Maybe they win, but I’m not laying more than a TD with this team.

LAC/GB: There have been some signs of progress for this Green Bay team, and I think you can’t trust a team like the Chargers – who are streaky on offense and just not a good defensive team. I don’t love the game, but I will take points with the home dog at that key number. Could be a push here.

TEN/JAX: I like Jacksonville to win, but think this is too many points. As bad as the Titans looked in Tampa, I think Vrabel will have his team ready to fight this time around and Levis will have a nice bounce back game. Another tough one though, perhaps another push.

TB/SF: Kind of a weird number. I think Tampa is a feisty team, but I think the 49ers defensive line is just going to destroy Tampa’s offensive line here. I feel like Baker is going to struggle quite a bit, and that should be enough to let the 49ers cover here if Purdy can avoid making mistakes.

NYJ/BUF: Is this the wrong pick? Probably. But I’m going with the Bills to finally figure out a way to get a somewhat comfortable home win. I don’t think they’re true contenders, but they gotta find a way to win one of these….right?

SEA/LAR: This is somewhat of a match-up issue. I think the Rams will find a way after a bye to get this done and keep any distant wildcard hopes alive. They’re a little better than their record indicates.

MIN/DEN: Will I ever pick Minnesota? Honestly this is a very tough game. I think the Broncos may struggle to move the ball against a somewhat under the radar Vikings defense. On the other hand, I think the Dobbs magic runs out here and this turns into a slog of a game. Probably Broncos by a field goal.

PHI/KC: Credit to the Eagles for repeatedly finding ways to win, and I’m not counting them out here. But I think Kansas City will be dialed in offensively after the bye week and Mahomes will exploit the weak Philly secondary. They also have the offensive line that can pass-protect against that Philly rush. I will take the champs.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Unfortunately think you're right about tonight

Baltimore will make sure to go all out the entire game after the collapse against Cleveland

 

[stormtrooper8]

Unfortunately think you're right about tonight

Baltimore will make sure to go all out the entire game after the collapse against Cleveland

The Bengals will show up and put up a good effort, but I think it's just a very tough position to be in.

I've accepted that they're probably gonna lose this one.

The Burrow calf, rough start is unfortunately going to finally cost them the division this year, most likely

If they do win tonight though, then I'll be optimistic about their chances there

 

[Pimike]

Philly revenge game