Stormtrooper8 NFL 2023

[stormtrooper8]

Philly revenge game

Reid off a bye at home though

 

[Jrgum3]

I know I said earlier in the week that I leaned Baltimore and the under but I decided to take Cincy and Joe Burrow +4. The injuries don't help and it's a short week but Burrow is healthy and I'll trust him tonight in prime time to keep it close at least.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Overall record: 33-17 +15.15
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23
Week 10: 1-4 -3.18


Week 11

Steelers +110
Packers +3 -108
49ers -11.5 -115
Bears/Lions over 47 -114
Raiders/Dolphins under 46.5 -107


Good luck

 

[Jrgum3]

I'm on Steelers ML and Packers ATS too but I was able to get Packers +3.5 at BetUS for -120. I like your other plays even though I'm not on them good luck this week bro.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Overall record: 33-17 +15.15
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23
Week 10: 1-4 -3.18


Week 11

Steelers +110
Packers +3 -108
49ers -11.5 -115
Bears/Lions over 47 -114
Raiders/Dolphins under 46.5 -107


Good luck

4-1 +3.00 card

37-18 +18.15 overall

 

[Wagerallsports]

Nice work

 

[613tunit]

4-1 +3.00 card

37-18 +18.15 overall

Well done Strom. Very impressive.

 

[jjgold]

Outstanding work like usual

 

[BMR Genie]

4-1 +3.00 card

37-18 +18.15 overall

 

[Tanko]

4-1 +3.00 card

37-18 +18.15 overall

Wow. EXCELLENT bounce back.
Now roll the books for the rest of the season.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Thank you

Let’s keep the momentum into this week

Don’t love a lot tbh

 

[edawg]

4-1 +3.00 card

37-18 +18.15 overall

What team kept you from going 5-0

 

[stormtrooper8]

What team kept you from going 5-0

More reason to hate Shitsburgh

 

[JDS]

More reason to hate Shitsburgh

I was surprised you picked Pittsburgh because last week you said the Browns are probably better off without D. Watson. Nonetheless another great week for you almost perfect.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

I was surprised you picked Pittsburgh because last week you said the Browns are probably better off without D. Watson. Nonetheless another great week for you almost perfect.

I thought it was a tricky game:
1) You know there's a QB adjustment. But WATSON hadn't been that good.
2) DTR was really PRESSED into starting the first time w/o any practice reps.
3) QB adjustment around 3 is tricky b/c 3 is such a key number.

 

[Jrgum3]

I thought it was a tricky game:
1) You know there's a QB adjustment. But WATSON hadn't been that good.
2) DTR was really PRESSED into starting the first time w/o any practice reps.
3) QB adjustment around 3 is tricky b/c 3 is such a key number.

I wish I bet Pittsburgh when the line was +4.5. I won taking Pittsburgh in the pick 7 contest but I lost betting them with real money because with the line at +1.5 or 1 everywhere I decided to take them ML. Hard to believe that team is 6-4 because their offense is awful.

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 86-59-5
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8
Week 10: 6-7-1


Week 11 ATS plays

View attachment 22163

Game notes

CIN/BAL: This is a very tough game, as there are a couple of key injuries on both sides. I think my mind would be different if this game was on a Sunday, but unfortunately it’s on a short week. Both teams coming off a loss, I expect them both to play hard, but I lean the home team as I think it’s a major advantage situationally.

DAL/CAR: I’m going with the Panthers here at home. While this seems like a classic spot for Dallas to roll an inferior opponent, I think Carolina is going to hang around with a great defensive effort. Dallas will still win the game, but this could be an interesting one late still.

PIT/CLE: This is one of those cases where I wish the Watson news came after the posted line, but either way I still like the Steelers here. I would’ve liked Pittsburgh with or without Watson most likely; just think Cleveland is really going to struggle to finish off drives in a game like this, even if they move the ball. Pickett will make just enough plays to get them a victory.

CHI/DET: My survivor pick for the week, so watch the Bears win outright! Chicago may not be quite as bad as people think, but this is more about Detroit shoring some things up defensively after a pretty bad showing at SoFi last week. I think they will bounce back and get a pretty comfortable win at home.

AZ/HOU: This is definitely one of the tougher games on the board. Some initial reverse line movement towards the Cardinals. I think this may be a minor letdown spot for the Texans after a huge road win. Even against Arizona, I think they will be a little flat offensively. Plus Cardinals have fought hard on defense most games this year, and I think Murray looks pretty good. I’ll take the birds.

LV/MIA: This is a lot of points, but I will lay nearly two touchdowns here. I’ve been higher on the Raiders than most and it’s pretty admirable that they’re 5-5, but Miami’s versatility offensively is going to give this team some problems. Strong team at home, coming off a bye. I think they cruise here.

NYG/WAS: Honestly, f*** this game. This is flipping a coin basically. The Giants are very bad, but I think they will fight a little bit harder than they did in Dallas. Washington is not as good as their record. Maybe they win, but I’m not laying more than a TD with this team.

LAC/GB: There have been some signs of progress for this Green Bay team, and I think you can’t trust a team like the Chargers – who are streaky on offense and just not a good defensive team. I don’t love the game, but I will take points with the home dog at that key number. Could be a push here.

TEN/JAX: I like Jacksonville to win, but think this is too many points. As bad as the Titans looked in Tampa, I think Vrabel will have his team ready to fight this time around and Levis will have a nice bounce back game. Another tough one though, perhaps another push.

TB/SF: Kind of a weird number. I think Tampa is a feisty team, but I think the 49ers defensive line is just going to destroy Tampa’s offensive line here. I feel like Baker is going to struggle quite a bit, and that should be enough to let the 49ers cover here if Purdy can avoid making mistakes.

NYJ/BUF: Is this the wrong pick? Probably. But I’m going with the Bills to finally figure out a way to get a somewhat comfortable home win. I don’t think they’re true contenders, but they gotta find a way to win one of these….right?

SEA/LAR: This is somewhat of a match-up issue. I think the Rams will find a way after a bye to get this done and keep any distant wildcard hopes alive. They’re a little better than their record indicates.

MIN/DEN: Will I ever pick Minnesota? Honestly this is a very tough game. I think the Broncos may struggle to move the ball against a somewhat under the radar Vikings defense. On the other hand, I think the Dobbs magic runs out here and this turns into a slog of a game. Probably Broncos by a field goal.

PHI/KC: Credit to the Eagles for repeatedly finding ways to win, and I’m not counting them out here. But I think Kansas City will be dialed in offensively after the bye week and Mahomes will exploit the weak Philly secondary. They also have the offensive line that can pass-protect against that Philly rush. I will take the champs.

The midseason struggles continue. It could have been worse I guess


6-7-1 card

92-66-6 overall

 

[Tanko]

The midseason struggles continue. It could have been worse I guess


6-7-1 card

92-66-6 overall


View attachment 22443

Thought for sure it would be + week on these plays. KC losing at home after a bye week was surprising.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Record ATS picking in games involving each team:


Giants 10-1

Bucs 8-2
Jaguars 8-2
Seahawks 8-2

Bills 8-3
Ravens 8-3

49ers 7-3
Colts 7-3
Jets 7-3
Packers 7-3

Commanders 7-4

Chargers 6-3-1
Falcons 6-3-1

Browns 6-4
Chiefs 6-4
Cowboys 6-4
Rams 6-4

Bears 6-4-1
Cardinals 6-4-1

Lions 5-4-1

Bengals 5-5
Steelers 5-5

Texans 4-4-2

Raiders 5-6

Broncos 4-5-1
Panthers 4-5-1

Dolphins 4-6

Eagles 3-6-1
Saints 3-6-1

Vikings 3-7-1

Patriots 3-7
Titans 3-7

 

[Wagerallsports]

Nice breakdown