Stormtrooper8 NFL 2023

[Tanko]

Gonna drop the ATS card soon. Will give some brief rationale for each pick too

 

[613tunit]

interesting, u might be right about DAL,
line wise, if we dont see PHI -3.5, then DAL might be the play.

Guy has not even broke even any week, let alone lose ATS.
unreal. A+ for record keeping effort.

on a side note, come to think of it..
@613tunit , check-in pal

Me? I’m clueless LOL

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 74-44-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8


Week 9 ATS plays




Brief notes on each game:

TEN/PIT: This one is pretty close to a true coin flip for me. Think Steelers offense is too much of a mess, and like Vrabel as a dog – especially against a limited offense.

MIA/KC: Don’t love the line movement, but think this is a correction game for KC. Reid will have a good scheme against a so-so defense, and think this is generally a “get right” game even though I’m generally high on Miami.

MIN/ATL: I don’t trust Atlanta, but I really don’t trust Minnesota more with their QB situation. Weird number but I’ll lay it with the home team with more to play for.

SEA/BAL: This is another tough game, but the Seahawks have done really well with the early game slot going East. They are a tough team that matches up well, so I’ll take the points.

CHI/NO: This game sucks. Don’t like laying this many points with New Orleans, but think their defense is just going to be too much for the Bears offense. No money either way, though Saints likely my survivor pick

AZ/CLE: First time taking Cleveland all year! And it’ll probably backfire. Just don’t like the QB situation for Arizona, especially on the road against the Browns defense. Shouldn’t be a lot of scoring here.

TB/HOU: Really torn on this one, but think the Bucs defense will give them a chance to win. Houston coming back down to Earth a bit.

WAS/NE: The Patriots are pretty crappy, but they tend to be able to “take out the trash”, and this is a good opportunity to. Would have loved 2.5 or 3 though.

LAR/GB: Rams QB situation is iffy, but I think they’re simply a better team all-around and Packers look very lost on both sides of the ball right now. I’ll take the points.

IND/CAR: Kind of an interesting late afternoon game lol. Don’t like either of these teams, but think Carolina is gonna struggle to contain the Colts running game. I’ll take the “slightly” better team.

DAL/PHI: More in depth analysis a couple posts above, but think this is a great match-up for Cowboys and opportunity for them to take driver’s seat in the division

NYG/LV: For me, I’ll take the “interim coach first game” angle and lay the 1.5. Not much to love about either team. Both struggling a lot offensively.

BUF/CIN: Torn, because it is naturally a good spot for Buffalo. But Bengals only laying 2 as the better team, at home is too good to pass up.

LAC/NYJ: Can’t lay points on the road with the Chargers against a great defense like this. Weird game though, as not sure Jets will take full advantage of bad LA defense.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Trends for Week 9:

• First time picking the Browns to cover all season (4-3 fading them)
• I have picked the Chiefs to cover every week this season (5-3); picking them again this week
• I have faded the Vikings every week this season (3-4-1); fading them again this week
• I am 5-0 when I pick the Seahawks to cover, and 7-0 overall in games involving them; picking them this week
• I am 5-0 fading both the Giants and Packers; fading them both this week
• I am 3-0 fading the Bills this year, and fading them this week

 

[Tanko]

Does the QB change at LV impact your thoughts on that play?

 

[BMR Genie]

Great job, Storm! Now I am wondering why you didn't join the BMR NFL contest. You are killing it.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Week 9 NFL card

Cowboys +141 (from above)
Chiefs -122
Seahawks +6 -105
Patriots -2.5
Bengals -127


Good luck

 

[stormtrooper8]

Week 9 NFL card

Cowboys +141 (from above)
Chiefs -122
Seahawks +6 -105
Patriots -2.5
Bengals -127


Good luck

Price for Patriots -2.5 is -118 BTW

 

[pete0]

GL u stud, u ..

but then again, u dont need it. lol

 

[stormtrooper8]

GL u stud, u ..

but then again, u dont need it. lol

Hope we can keep it going

 

[chuckythegoat2]

GL, stormy. Hope you continue your torrid pace.

Re: the Wash/NewEng game, I know there is talk of Coach Bill leaving. But that surely will be at his discretion. Rivera, meanwhile, is on very thin ice.

The Def Line trades were telling. The Defense isn't working. So, the HC/DC could be next.

 

[quantumleap]

Week 9 NFL card

Cowboys +141 (from above)
Chiefs -122
Seahawks +6 -105
Patriots -2.5
Bengals -127


Good luck

The league had to make the Chiefs/Dolphins game interesting at the end there. They couldn't have a game played with so many Germans looking on having the Chiefs lead 21-0. Wouldn't be a good promotion for the league.

Glad we finally got this one.

Thanks again for posting.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Week 9 NFL card

Cowboys +141 (from above)
Chiefs -122
Seahawks +6 -105
Patriots -2.5
Bengals -127


Good luck

ROUGH week

Brutal loss on Cowboys, kind of on Patriots too

Seachickens just shit the bed

2-3 -1.23 Week 9 (Patriots were -118)

32-13 +18.33 overall

 

[Wagerallsports]

Not that bad really

One win away from being in the green

You survived

And still fantastic record overall

 

[613tunit]

ROUGH week

Brutal loss on Cowboys, kind of on Patriots too

Seachickens just shit the bed

2-3 -1.23 Week 9 (Patriots were -118)

32-13 +18.33 overall

Can’t win them all but your record speaks for itself

Chin up

 

[stormtrooper8]

Not that bad really

One win away from being in the green

You survived

And still fantastic record overall

Yeah, just thought the Dallas one should've cashed

 

[renegade]

No matter how well Dak plays, he will never make the plays to win vs good teams. He had a great gm but when it mattered most he had hershey squirts in his shorts. First and goal from the 5. Takes a 15 yd sack because he was afraid to throw it

 

[renegade]

Tua and Dak are the same

 

[stormtrooper8]

No matter how well Dak plays, he will never make the plays to win vs good teams. He had a great gm but when it mattered most he had hershey squirts in his shorts. First and goal from the 5. Takes a 15 yd sack because he was afraid to throw it

Not all his fault tbh

Offensive line needs to hold up there

Cowboys can still win the division IMO

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 74-44-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8


Week 9 ATS plays

View attachment 21413


Brief notes on each game:

TEN/PIT: This one is pretty close to a true coin flip for me. Think Steelers offense is too much of a mess, and like Vrabel as a dog – especially against a limited offense.

MIA/KC: Don’t love the line movement, but think this is a correction game for KC. Reid will have a good scheme against a so-so defense, and think this is generally a “get right” game even though I’m generally high on Miami.

MIN/ATL: I don’t trust Atlanta, but I really don’t trust Minnesota more with their QB situation. Weird number but I’ll lay it with the home team with more to play for.

SEA/BAL: This is another tough game, but the Seahawks have done really well with the early game slot going East. They are a tough team that matches up well, so I’ll take the points.

CHI/NO: This game sucks. Don’t like laying this many points with New Orleans, but think their defense is just going to be too much for the Bears offense. No money either way, though Saints likely my survivor pick

AZ/CLE: First time taking Cleveland all year! And it’ll probably backfire. Just don’t like the QB situation for Arizona, especially on the road against the Browns defense. Shouldn’t be a lot of scoring here.

TB/HOU: Really torn on this one, but think the Bucs defense will give them a chance to win. Houston coming back down to Earth a bit.

WAS/NE: The Patriots are pretty crappy, but they tend to be able to “take out the trash”, and this is a good opportunity to. Would have loved 2.5 or 3 though.

LAR/GB: Rams QB situation is iffy, but I think they’re simply a better team all-around and Packers look very lost on both sides of the ball right now. I’ll take the points.

IND/CAR: Kind of an interesting late afternoon game lol. Don’t like either of these teams, but think Carolina is gonna struggle to contain the Colts running game. I’ll take the “slightly” better team.

DAL/PHI: More in depth analysis a couple posts above, but think this is a great match-up for Cowboys and opportunity for them to take driver’s seat in the division

NYG/LV: For me, I’ll take the “interim coach first game” angle and lay the 1.5. Not much to love about either team. Both struggling a lot offensively.

BUF/CIN: Torn, because it is naturally a good spot for Buffalo. But Bengals only laying 2 as the better team, at home is too good to pass up.

LAC/NYJ: Can’t lay points on the road with the Chargers against a great defense like this. Weird game though, as not sure Jets will take full advantage of bad LA defense.

Crappy week. Gotta clean this shit up

6-8 Week 9
80-52-4 overall ATS