JR's 2025 All Sports thread

[Tanko]

1-2-1 in the NFL today but I learned a valuable lesson as far the 49ers are concerned not to get involved with any more of their games. Their defense is awful and with a lot of guys hurt it's only going to get worse. I will still watch the games but I'm going to be glad in December when I start working Sundays again because I get the feeling that the Niners know their not contenders this year because if they were they would have made a move at the deadline to shore up their non existent pass rush which got no pressure today and basically got exposed again by an elite Rams offense.

NBA: 182-159-1 -1.48u
NCAAB24-25: 105-98-5 -3.28u
MLB: 184-157-9 +10.53u
NBA playoffs 24-25: 84-63 +10.05u
WNBA: 51-44-1 +2.11u
NCAAF: 27-19-1 +6.66u
NFL: 30-30-2 -3.18u
NHL: 17-13 +4.13u
NBA25-26: 14-14-2 -1.24u
NCAAB25-26: 4-2 +1.95u

49ers injuries killing them.

 

[Jrgum3]

49ers injuries killing them.

Yes it is wise to either fade them or do what I'm doing and not bet their games. I don't want to bet against my team but I can't bet on them anymore because I don't trust them. They can't get any pressure on the Quarterback and their secondary suffers as a result. Just a mess that I am going to avoid as a bettor and save my bankroll.

 

[Jrgum3]

11/10/25

NFL
Jordan Love u234.5 passing yards -109 1.09u to win 1u

NBA
Chicago Bulls +4.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

NCAAB
Mississippi State/Iowa State u150.5 -109 1.09u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

2-1 night and i should have went with my instinct and played Iowa State on a neutral floor against Mississippi State because I leaned ISU tonight but I went with the total because I thought the netural floor would bring about a more defensive struggle since that is ISU's style and MSU doesn't shoot well. Naturally the game flew over the total but it's all good can't win em all in sports betting.

NBA: 182-159-1 -1.48u
NCAAB24-25: 105-98-5 -3.28u
MLB: 184-157-9 +10.53u
NBA playoffs 24-25: 84-63 +10.05u
WNBA: 51-44-1 +2.11u
NCAAF: 27-19-1 +6.66u
NFL: 31-30-2 -2.18u
NHL: 17-13 +4.13u
NBA25-26: 15-14-2 -0.24u
NCAAB25-26: 4-3 +0.86u

 

[Jrgum3]

11/11/25

NCAAB
Kentucky Wildcats +6.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

I will drop the rest of my plays later as I go over the NBA and NHL card but I wanted to lock in my college basketball plays early because we've seen some massive line movement. I took Kentucky here because I honestly don't understand this line. I make it closer to UL -3 since they're at home so I think I'm getting massive value taking Kentucky at +6.5. This is going to be a competitive game so I don't think either team is going to blow the other one out. I'm a little biased in that I think Kentucky will once again win this game so maybe that's clouding my handicap but I think +6.5 is wild especially since most of the handle and the bets are on Kentucky yet the line keeps getting wider.

 

[Franz555]

11/11/25

NCAAB
Kentucky Wildcats +6.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5 -108 1.08u to win 1u

I will drop the rest of my plays later as I go over the NBA and NHL card but I wanted to lock in my college basketball plays early because we've seen some massive line movement. I took Kentucky here because I honestly don't understand this line. I make it closer to UL -3 since they're at home so I think I'm getting massive value taking Kentucky at +6.5. This is going to be a competitive game so I don't think either team is going to blow the other one out. I'm a little biased in that I think Kentucky will once again win this game so maybe that's clouding my handicap but I think +6.5 is wild especially since most of the handle and the bets are on Kentucky yet the line keeps getting wider.

Will check out the Kty play

BOL with the card today

 

[Jrgum3]

I think if you're playing the Kentucky game and you don't want to take the points with Kentucky and you feel uncomfortable laying the points with UL then I would take a look at the over 174. I'm adding this to my plays and to be honest I feel stronger about this then I do the side because I'm not sure what to expect in this game other than it will be played at an extremely fast tempo with lots of threes being shot by both teams. UL has eclipsed 100 in both their games this season albeit against weaker competition and UK did the same last time out against Valpo. This game screams a game that ends up being like last years game which wound up a 93-85 final in favor of UK. So give me the over 174 here that can found everywhere on the marketplace.

NCAAB
UK/UL o174 -105 1.05u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

11/11/25

NBA
Tyrese Maxey o41.5 P+R+A -124 1.24u to win 1u
Golden State +7.5 -105 1.05u to win 1u

NHL
San Jose/Minnesota u6.5 -107 1.07u to win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

Well I nailed the total and my analysis of the UK/UL rivalry game but unfortunately UL was the better team tonight and covered the spread in a game that ended up being a lot closer than it really was. I think UK will be all right but this was a true road game in the third game of the season so that's why there was a lot of UL love tonight especially with some question marks about UK's team. The rivalry is back now that UL is legit again under Pat Kelsey so there's that. Anyway on to tomorrow where I hopefully do better than 2-4 with my bets.

NBA: 182-159-1 -1.48u
NCAAB24-25: 105-98-5 -3.28u
MLB: 184-157-9 +10.53u
NBA playoffs 24-25: 84-63 +10.05u
WNBA: 51-44-1 +2.11u
NCAAF: 27-19-1 +6.66u
NFL: 31-30-2 -2.18u
NHL: 18-13 +5.13u
NBA25-26: 15-16-2 -2.53u
NCAAB25-26: 5-5 -0.32u

 

[Tanko]

Well I nailed the total and my analysis of the UK/UL rivalry game but unfortunately UL was the better team tonight and covered the spread in a game that ended up being a lot closer than it really was. I think UK will be all right but this was a true road game in the third game of the season so that's why there was a lot of UL love tonight especially with some question marks about UK's team. The rivalry is back now that UL is legit again under Pat Kelsey so there's that. Anyway on to tomorrow where I hopefully do better than 2-4 with my bets.

NBA: 182-159-1 -1.48u
NCAAB24-25: 105-98-5 -3.28u
MLB: 184-157-9 +10.53u
NBA playoffs 24-25: 84-63 +10.05u
WNBA: 51-44-1 +2.11u
NCAAF: 27-19-1 +6.66u
NFL: 31-30-2 -2.18u
NHL: 18-13 +5.13u
NBA25-26: 15-16-2 -2.53u
NCAAB25-26: 5-5 -0.32u

That game could have went easily to the Wildcats. Better to lose a game like that this early in the season rather than in the Tourny. Two very very good teams.

I thought when they got within 4 with 4 min left, they would catch them for sure.

 

[Jrgum3]

That game could have went easily to the Wildcats. Better to lose a game like that this early in the season rather than in the Tourny. Two very very good teams.

I thought when they got within 4 with 4 min left, they would catch them for sure.

That surprised me but I could only watch the first half at work and UK's defense was attrocious last night. Louisville's guard play is excellent and Mykel Brown is a bonafide star. UL looks awesome and looks to be a team on the rise. I am not down on the Cats after that game because I have confidence Pope will figure some things out but they cannot play defense like that and expect to win too many games.

 

[Jrgum3]

11/12/25

NCAAB
Mississippi State/Missouri o156.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u

NBA
Memphis +7.5 +100 1u to win 1u
Sacramento +4.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u

Just a quick note about the MSU/Mizzou total play it is now 159.5 but I bet it this morning when it was 156.5. I feel the move is justified and if I were betting now I'd still lean to the over because Mizzou loves to run and gun under Dennis Gates and this is another game that is going to be played at a fast pace so I can't see it staying under.