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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,606
I know this is a past post but everyone knows I would be nervous and don't count Uconn in the bag at all.

Especially since there is a modest probablity that Uconn/Florida will be a misleading game.

But have a small two pick with:

Uconn +9.5
Duke -11.5

Again, small, I'm just hovering today, looking for small strike scenarios as we reset for next week. I tried to game out a scenario even with the little info I had well before the day started. If Uconn wins the game outright, I will likely be hitting Duke, if the prices are right.

But again, they are tied at half and we all know what Florida can do. I would almost rather be trailing a few points here.

:+anxious-
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,606
But have a small two pick with:

Uconn +9.5
Duke -11.5

Again, small, I'm just hovering today, looking for small strike scenarios as we reset for next week.

But but but KVB I thought you didn't vary the unit size or risk?

Well, think of it this way. We were invested in the KVB NCAAB Tourney Fund, it went up, and now we are reducing our investment in that Fund, for today. So the unit size will be a little smaller.

We are market timing here, and I'm cool with it.

Just like in stocks. It's not what you make that counts. It's what you keep.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,606
If Uconn wins the game outright, I will likely be hitting Duke, if the prices are right.

Forgt to mention one thing about unit size...depending on how this first game plays out, I just might be hitting Duke with a unit the size of yesterday or more.

I have the green light to do whatever the fukk I want, lol. I just don't want to fukk up a good thing.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,606
I know there is a probability of this first game being misleading but in the interest of getting ahead of the market, I'm already nipping at Duke, picking up some where the line is and price are good, but yet to fill the position.

That line will move and a 12 point Duke win would be lame.

If I gamed this out wrong, then I gamed it out wrong.

:popcorn:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,606
Ok, rooting for Duke here but it's as shady as fukk.

Hoping for the blowout, it should be the blowout, and if I get got, I get got.

I've identified Baylor as the patsy and hopefully I'm right there.

Rooting for one of the best teams with one of, if not the, best player.

popcorn_gus.gif
 
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