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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
Bought SMU to comeback and win LIVE.

I bought it at and around -120.

They have already started the comeback.

Rooting for SMU to just win that game, they do not need to cover a spread for me.

:popcorn:

This was quite the past post. I just couldn’t post it in a timely manner.

SMU took a lead already, and close to when I posted. I didn’t realize it, lol.

Full disclosure there.

Go SMU!!!!
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
Ok, so we're looking to accumulate Illinois, but notice I'm not the only one. Pressure moving that line to -2.5.

I think I understand why.

May be looking at the moneyline there on Illinois, but still consolidating info.

This post is likely -EV as I am disclosing potential strikes before making them and that can erode value.

After all, posting plays is -EV.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
SMU making me worry. There chances to trade out of that, too. I even had them up, but passed. I can see the scenario they lose.

Fuk.

Common Duke, we need a win by 13. Those bets aren't LIVE, so obviously much more can be put down on those.

The LIVE have limits and it can be a rush to get down at multiple spots, that gets me busy trying to get down, and numbers tend to vary a little.

Might still be able to get out of SMU and we could see OT in that one.

:popcorn:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
Bought SMU to comeback and win LIVE.

I bought it at and around -120.

I sold this back with OK St+410 and +385 when SMU was ahead 79-76.

I am in a position to profit regardless of who wins, I have no position so it is equal, but it's not the trade I had hoped to have.

I smell overtime here, and I might open another trade. Market really is swaying towards SMU, a lot inefficiency there.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
Duke is in the bag.

tiger-woods-yes.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,616
I am not worried about a Kentucky lead here. In fact I regret not taking a dog price to sell back.

This game has a pretty good probability of being misleading.

So, for now, being down 13-5 means we got 'em right where we want 'em.

Otherwise..

 
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