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KVB

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KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738
Bought SMU to comeback and win LIVE.

I bought it at and around -120.

They have already started the comeback.

Rooting for SMU to just win that game, they do not need to cover a spread for me.

:popcorn:

This was quite the past post. I just couldn’t post it in a timely manner.

SMU took a lead already, and close to when I posted. I didn’t realize it, lol.

Full disclosure there.

Go SMU!!!!
 

KVB

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KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738
Ok, so we're looking to accumulate Illinois, but notice I'm not the only one. Pressure moving that line to -2.5.

I think I understand why.

May be looking at the moneyline there on Illinois, but still consolidating info.

This post is likely -EV as I am disclosing potential strikes before making them and that can erode value.

After all, posting plays is -EV.
 

KVB

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KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738

KVB

-

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738
SMU making me worry. There chances to trade out of that, too. I even had them up, but passed. I can see the scenario they lose.

Fuk.

Common Duke, we need a win by 13. Those bets aren't LIVE, so obviously much more can be put down on those.

The LIVE have limits and it can be a rush to get down at multiple spots, that gets me busy trying to get down, and numbers tend to vary a little.

Might still be able to get out of SMU and we could see OT in that one.

:popcorn:
 

KVB

-

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738
Bought SMU to comeback and win LIVE.

I bought it at and around -120.

I sold this back with OK St+410 and +385 when SMU was ahead 79-76.

I am in a position to profit regardless of who wins, I have no position so it is equal, but it's not the trade I had hoped to have.

I smell overtime here, and I might open another trade. Market really is swaying towards SMU, a lot inefficiency there.
 

KVB

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KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,738
I am not worried about a Kentucky lead here. In fact I regret not taking a dog price to sell back.

This game has a pretty good probability of being misleading.

So, for now, being down 13-5 means we got 'em right where we want 'em.

Otherwise..

 
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