Analytics Capper's Picks of the Day Thread

[Wagerallsports]

 

[Analytics Capper]

The Hawks have been disappointing this series. Getting completely outplayed in the first two games in Miami and then laying a complete dud at home in Game 4. Now the series shifts back to South Beach and the Heat have a commanding 3-1 lead. I think this is where we'll see Atlanta, with their backs against the wall, actually show up and make this game competitive similar to what we saw in the Raptors last night. The Heat justifiably are very confident that they have this series in the bag, so they are not going to risk anything with Lowry's injury and may even sit out PJ Tucker tonight as well. I don't see Atlanta getting blown out again, so give me the Hawks and I see a big game from DeAndre Hunter with the some of Atlanta big men ailing, Hunter will be in line for heavy minutes and could get you a double double.

Hawks +7 (-105) v. Heat

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[treetop24]

The Hawks have been disappointing this series. Getting completely outplayed in the first two games in Miami and then laying a complete dud at home in Game 4. Now the series shifts back to South Beach and the Heat have a commanding 3-1 lead. I think this is where we'll see Atlanta, with their backs against the wall, actually show up and make this game competitive similar to what we saw in the Raptors last night. The Heat justifiably are very confident that they have this series in the bag, so they are not going to risk anything with Lowry's injury and may even sit out PJ Tucker tonight as well. I don't see Atlanta getting blown out again, so give me the Hawks and I see a big game from DeAndre Hunter with the some of Atlanta big men ailing, Hunter will be in line for heavy minutes and could get you a double double.

Hawks +7 (-105) v. Heat

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Still playable at +4.5? Jimmy Butler news scares me

 

[Wagerallsports]

Good call on Atlanta

 

[Analytics Capper]

After a tough loss yesterday, it’s a great bounce back spot for Tampa Bay today. Rasmussen had a poor outing last time out and is sitting at 0-1 but this is a prime spot to buy low.

Rays ML (-140) v. Mariners

 

[uh_uh_eugine]

gl, AC

 

[Wagerallsports]

Nice call on Tampa Bay

 

[uh_uh_eugine]

Good call, AC

 

[Analytics Capper]

Dallas has been the better team the entire series and with Luka in his third game back, the Mavericks look to finish off the Jazz tonight. A pick em on the road is a tiny bit worrisome, but just going to trust the recent form of each team. Dallas' defense has shown they can stop the Jazz, and they are getting wide open three point shots.

Mavericks PK (-105) v. Jazz

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[uh_uh_eugine]

GL, AC

 

[Analytics Capper]

New York will be going against the Phillies ace, but I think they'll get to Nola early and often. Mets being a favorite is a lot of respect since the Phillies have been playing much better baseball as of late. Give me New York tonight.

Mets ML (-115) v. Phillies

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[uh_uh_eugine]

Yeah....good price at -115. Megill's a money maker. gl

 

[Wagerallsports]

New York will be going against the Phillies ace, but I think they'll get to Nola early and often. Mets being a favorite is a lot of respect since the Phillies have been playing much better baseball as of late. Give me New York tonight.

Mets ML (-115) v. Phillies

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Winner!

 

[Analytics Capper]

Both pitchers are a bit overrated and I see both line ups getting to them early and often. There will be a lot of hard hit balls tonight and I'm going to take the bait on this low number.

Phillies v. Mets over 7.5 (-115)

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[uh_uh_eugine]

GL, AC

 

[Analytics Capper]

Sandy Alcantara is one of the best valued starting pitchers in the majors, from a handicapping perspective. I will ride that wave and the team's white hot wave today until they finally lose a game. Seattle is very hit or miss and when they are hot they can produce runs as well as anyone, but I think we're going to see a flat game from them as they head off from Miami after the game.10:44

Marlins ML (-125) v. Mariners

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[Analytics Capper]

Unders have been doing very well so far in the young MLB season. I think the adjustment from the hitters have been slow, as seen by their low batting average. I think this continues after an over weekend, but I personally like the edges found in the F5 innings first with starting pitching.

D-Backs v. Marlins F5 under 3.5 (-130)

 

[Analytics Capper]

The Rangers have been the better team all year long. They've been dominant at home, and sport a 34-13 record when they are favored. Pittsburgh does have the experience and the previous playoff success, but New York has the edge in talent and speed. The Rangers have an elite power play attack and I think that will be difference in this game, and in this series.

Rangers ML (-135) v. Penguins

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[Analytics Capper]

Toronto dominated the first round and I would assume people would expect a bounceback by Tampa Bay tonight, but I lean the other way. The Leafs have been better all year, and their team has been playing more together all year. I think they win again tonight and get to a 2-0 lead in the series.

Maple Leafs ML (-130) v. Lightning

 

[Analytics Capper]

Let's go Leafs!