Analytics Capper's Picks of the Day Thread

[Bubbles]

1. In three previous games against the Heat this season, he’s averaging less than this 18.5 number. Good regression spot for a guy who usually shows up big in this rivalry.
2. Middleton’s play is trending up. He’s scored over 18 four of the last five games and I see that continuing tonight against a Miami team that will be focused on stopping Giannis. The total for the game is sitting at 224.5, I think there will be ample opportunity for Khris to get his points.

Pick: Khris Middleton over 18.5 points (-110)

Did you win? I haven't got the chance to watch the game.

 

[Tanko]

Middleton 26 pts last night.

 

[Bubbles]

Middleton 26 pts last night.

Nice! Thanks for the update.

 

[Analytics Capper]

1. Great regression spot. Both teams hit the under in their previous games. Both teams shot at or below 40 percent from the field in the previous games. The pace will be fast there will me ample opportunity for points.
2. Sacramento and San Antonio have a winning record to the over this season. The Spurs also haven’t played since February 28, which means they should be well rested for tonight’s game at home.

Pick: Kings v. Spurs over 240 (-110) (1 unit)

BMR Odds helps me grab the best price by line.

 

[Tanko]

GL ACapper.

 

[Florida Fever]

240 used to be a lot of points but not anymore. Good luck with the total.

 

[Bubbles]

240 used to be a lot of points but not anymore. Good luck with the total.

I kinda agree with this.

 

[Willthethrill73]

Thanks for the Middleton winner. I wasn't around yesterday. Looking forward to tonight's pick AC.

 

[Bubbles]

1. Great regression spot. Both teams hit the under in their previous games. Both teams shot at or below 40 percent from the field in the previous games. The pace will be fast there will me ample opportunity for points.
2. Sacramento and San Antonio have a winning record to the over this season. The Spurs also haven’t played since February 28, which means they should be well rested for tonight’s game at home.

Pick: Kings v. Spurs over 240 (-110) (1 unit)

BMR Odds helps me grab the best price by line.

The highest totals from yesterday's game and scores went under.

 

[Analytics Capper]

1. Denver is a tough place to play for road teams. Denver should leverage their home court advantage to a comfortable win tonight against a bad Houston team.
2. Great spot. Denver coming off a loss where they were double digit favorites. Houston coming off a nice cover in Overtime where they were double digit underdogs. I also lean the 1H and lean the over for the game, but riding with the side for this play.

Pick: Nuggets -13.5 (-105) v. Rockets (1U)

If you’re looking for a good sportsbook to use, check BMR’s Sportsbook Rating Guide.

 

[Bubbles]

1. Denver is a tough place to play for road teams. Denver should leverage their home court advantage to a comfortable win tonight against a bad Houston team.
2. Great spot. Denver coming off a loss where they were double digit favorites. Houston coming off a nice cover in Overtime where they were double digit underdogs. I also lean the 1H and lean the over for the game, but riding with the side for this play.

Pick: Nuggets -13.5 (-105) v. Rockets (1U)

If you’re looking for a good sportsbook to use, check BMR’s Sportsbook Rating Guide.

Denver will going to cover this comfortably.

 

[Analytics Capper]

Trusting the read here. This will be a tough fought battle between two Big 12 rivals. TCU has been better all year long but the spot is West Virginia. I think they will do enough to get it done today.

West Virginia -2 (-105) v. TCU

If you’re looking for a good sportsbook to use, check BMR’s Sportsbook Rating Guide.

 

[livinglegacy20]

Trusting the read here. This will be a tough fought battle between two Big 12 rivals. TCU has been better all year long but the spot is West Virginia. I think they will do enough to get it done today.

West Virginia -2 (-105) v. TCU

If you’re looking for a good sportsbook to use, check BMR’s Sportsbook Rating Guide.

I’m on the same play here was going to post as well like the let down from tcu finally

 

[Bubbles]

Thanks for the winning pick last night AC. Good luck for today.

 

[Willthethrill73]

GL today. Last night we had a nail bitter with all those points in the last minute. Happy we made our three, and they missed their 3 in the last 10 seconds.

 

[Analytics Capper]

I like Indiana as a team, especially coming off a loss to the Pistons. Porzingis is making his debut today for the Wizards and I don't think it'll be enough for them to win and cover tonight.

Pacers +3 (-105) v. Wizards
Units: 1

If you’re looking for a good sportsbook to use, check BMR’s Sportsbook Rating Guide.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Like it, no way I'd take Wiz period

 

[Willthethrill73]

Late to the party it seems. +2.5 -115 at Betonline. ML or pass for me now. TY

 

[Tanko]

Like it, no way I'd take Wiz period

I agree.
I can't see Pacers pulling this off but GL AC.

 

[Analytics Capper]

The Knicks will be missing all of their centers tonight. The lack of rim protection should help create easy opportunities for the Kings to get to the basket for easy lay ups or free throws. I believe the Knicks will be playing from behind for much of the game so they will try to keep their offensive pace up, which plays into the hands of the Kings pace. I also expect Sabonis to have a really big game tonight scoring and rebounding the ball. I see both teams getting into the 120s tonight.

Pick: Knicks v. Kings over 231.5 (-105) (1U)