Analytics Capper's Picks of the Day Thread

[Analytics Capper]

The over since the trade for Haliburton has hit in every game except one for the Pacers. The 3 guard line up of Haliburton, Duarte, Hield is an extremely high scoring trio with their propensity to get a lot of 3s up. Indiana also welcomes back Malcolm Brogdon tonight which will only increase their efficiency. Their pace is quick with Coach Rick Carlisle assessing who wants to play his style for the remainder of the year and next year. This is a back to back for the Thunder, so the defense will struggle as both teams will play very quickly tonight and shoot a lot of threes. The absence of Lu Dort and Myles Turner, who both are the only ones that play any semblance of defense also will help push this total over. I see this number continue to rise so please get it in as soon as possible.

Pick: Thunder v. Pacers over 224.5 (-105)

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[Wagerallsports]

 

[Analytics Capper]

The Spurs don't play much defense, and they play a style of offense that really promotes an up and down game. Their focus is space and they'll get a lot of 3s up. Miami, being one of the more efficient teams in the league will feast on their opportunities and with Herro back they should hit this number pretty easily. Let's hope for another no sweat winner.

Heat Team Total Over 116.5 (-115) 2u

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[Wagerallsports]

The Spurs don't play much defense, and they play a style of offense that really promotes an up and down game. Their focus is space and they'll get a lot of 3s up. Miami, being one of the more efficient teams in the league will feast on their opportunities and with Herro back they should hit this number pretty easily. Let's hope for another no sweat winner.

Heat Team Total Over 116.5 (-115) 2u

Find the best odds for tonight’s game in BMR’s Odds page.

Let's get it

 

[Analytics Capper]

Let's go for 5 in a row! I'm staying with the NBA and a total I see a great edge with. Detroit is a really bad team but they don't get enough credit with their play as of late, as well as their ability to cover. The Hornets play very quickly and do not prioritize defense. I think this will open things up for the Pistons role players to produce in this game. Look for either Bey or Hayes or Diallo toto step up and have a big game tonight. Let's keep this thing rolling.

Pistons Team Total Over 108.5 (-115)

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[mikesmith99]

Let's go for 5 in a row! I'm staying with the NBA and a total I see a great edge with. Detroit is a really bad team but they don't get enough credit with their play as of late, as well as their ability to cover. The Hornets play very quickly and do not prioritize defense. I think this will open things up for the Pistons role players to produce in this game. Look for either Bey or Hayes or Diallo toto step up and have a big game tonight. Let's keep this thing rolling.

Pistons Team Total Over 108.5 (-115)

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Im liking the over in general for this game and a couple of player props. BOL. Let's get it.

 

[Analytics Capper]

Pick: Grizzlies Team Total Over 121.5 -110

1. Memphis hasn’t hit this number in 4 games and they are juiced to the over tonight. A big tell the books expect a lot of scoring.
2. San Antonio doesn’t play any defense and have an extremely quick game pace. They’ve given up 133, 153, 106, 120, and 114 points in their last 5 games. Memphis is a very efficient offense that should score a lot tonight.

Find a sportsbook for tonight’s game using the BMR Sportsbooks Rating Guide.

 

[carolinakid]

gl tonite sir

 

[Analytics Capper]

We're going to ride the Detroit team total until it doesn't hit. They are going up against a really bad team in Washington who has mailed it in for the season. Although the Pistons' record is worse, they are showcasing their young talent and actually looking to develop their players. The Pistons' offensive rating has taken a significant jump in their last 10 games and their pace ranks in the top half of the league. I think the game total will go over but I like the Pistons team more. With Cade and Grant, Detroit has the two best players on the court and I think they will feast tonight and get into the 110s.

Pick: Pistons Team Total over 105.5 (-110)

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[Over Under]

Agreed Texas needs this one.

 

[Willthethrill73]

TY. Detroit looked great on Sunday.

 

[Tanko]

Great record ACapper. GL on Piston Total.
Ride it till she drops.

 

[Willthethrill73]

TY for Detroit last night AC

 

[Analytics Capper]

1. In three previous games against the Heat this season, he’s averaging less than this 18.5 number. Good regression spot for a guy who usually shows up big in this rivalry.
2. Middleton’s play is trending up. He’s scored over 18 four of the last five games and I see that continuing tonight against a Miami team that will be focused on stopping Giannis. The total for the game is sitting at 224.5, I think there will be ample opportunity for Khris to get his points.

Pick: Khris Middleton over 18.5 points (-110)

 

[Tanko]

1. In three previous games against the Heat this season, he’s averaging less than this 18.5 number. Good regression spot for a guy who usually shows up big in this rivalry.
2. Middleton’s play is trending up. He’s scored over 18 four of the last five games and I see that continuing tonight against a Miami team that will be focused on stopping Giannis. The total for the game is sitting at 224.5, I think there will be ample opportunity for Khris to get his points.

Pick: Khris Middleton over 18.5 points (-110)

Great information ACapper.

 

[Bubbles]

1. In three previous games against the Heat this season, he’s averaging less than this 18.5 number. Good regression spot for a guy who usually shows up big in this rivalry.
2. Middleton’s play is trending up. He’s scored over 18 four of the last five games and I see that continuing tonight against a Miami team that will be focused on stopping Giannis. The total for the game is sitting at 224.5, I think there will be ample opportunity for Khris to get his points.

Pick: Khris Middleton over 18.5 points (-110)

Middleton is a key player in getting Giannis a ring.

 

[MarkyMark]

Record in your signature is worthless without units and looking at average odds placed.

 

[Analytics Capper]

Record in your signature is worthless without units and looking at average odds placed

Hi MarkyMark! Look at the actual posts for the plays. Almost all are -110.

 

[MarkyMark]

Hi MarkyMark! Look at the actual posts for the plays. Almost all are -110.

That shows me right there all I need to know. Good luck champ.

 

[Analytics Capper]

That shows me right there all I need to know. Good luck champ.

Thank you man! Everything is 1 unit always. Flat betting is always the most advantageous long term.