🏈49ers vs Chiefs Super Bowl 58 *PRE-GAME/IN-GAME LIVE DISCUSSION THREAD*🗣️

[Pimike]

I took Deebo Samuel Anytime TD at +129. I think he features more heavily into the game plan this week because I can see the Chiefs double teaming Aiyuk and forcing Purdy to utilize Deebo. Not that Aiyuk can't get into the end zone but I feel more confident in Deebo scoring.

Both will

 

[KingKolzig]

like one bet only and thats 49ers winning. Simply the better team.

Healthier and 8 of the top 10 players

 

[Wagerallsports]

Kansas City has heated up at the right time

But let’s be honest, they were very fortunate against Baltimore

The Ravens should have scored a guaranteed 14 more points with the fumble on the goal line five and Lamar’s INT in the end zone

 

[sharpsquare]

Good Morning BMR!





Happy Superbowl Sunday! Should be a great game along with a sprinkle of hoops and hockey.

With no shortage of ways to get down on the big game etc let's land a winner or three.

Best of luck today everyone!

 

[sharpsquare]

Oh wait, could someone just merge this thread in with the one from Yesterday? Thanks

Sorry just noticed it!

 

[Wagerallsports]

Best bets for Super Bowl 58; line moves toward Chiefs​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Patrick Mahomes is 10-1-1 against the spread as an underdog and has led the Chiefs to three straight outright wins in that role in the playoffs, including last year’s 38-35 victory over the Eagles in the Super Bowl.

The betting public is banking on Mahomes to extend that trend in the first Super Bowl in Las Vegas on Sunday as a 2-point underdog to the 49ers.

But Westgate SuperBook vice president Jay Kornegay, who has picked NFL winners at a 70 percent clip this season (62-26-6 ATS, including 3-1 in playoffs) in the Review-Journal, is siding with San Francisco.

“It’s always tough to go against Mahomes and (Chiefs coach Andy) Reid in these situations,” he said. “But I don’t think (Niners coach Kyle) Shanahan is going to get outcoached. San Francisco has a few more weapons that they can utilize, namely Deebo Samuel. I think he’s going to play a big part in this game.

“I’m picking the Niners to win, but I can’t say I’ve got full confidence in it. It’s going to be a tight game with a couple big plays deciding the winner.”

Less than 24 hours before kickoff at Allegiant Stadium, the 49ers were consensus 2-point favorites. But the line dipped to 1½ on Saturday at Circa Sports, Caesars Sportsbook and Boyd Gaming.

The vast majority of six-figure or higher bets confirmed by sportsbooks have been on the Niners, but the betting public is all over the Chiefs.

“The ticket count is a Kansas City runaway at this point,” Kornegay said. “I think that we are going to need San Francisco when it’s all said and done.”

The consensus total is 47½, though 90 percent of the money at the SuperBook is on the over.

“I can see it moving up to 48,” Kornegay said “You can start to see that the general public has arrived in town, as the majority of the bets are on the over. I don’t see that changing.”

Best prop bets

— Mahomes (-4½) more completions than Brock Purdy


Pro sports bettor Bill Krackomberger bet on this prop, which is now -5½ (-110).

“I think San Francisco may be sticking to a ground game more than people think,” said Krackomberger (@BillKrackman).

— Travis Kelce under 73½ receiving yards

“I will be waiting till closer to kickoff for all the Swifties to bet this, (so) I may even get a better number,” Krackomberger said.

— Christian McCaffrey over 89½ rushing yards, over 34½ receiving yards

VSiN host Matt Youmans likes McCaffrey’s chances to go over his rushing and receiving totals.

“I’ll bet both props, and if he falls short in one category, no harm is done,” said Youmans (@mattyoumans247). “McCaffrey is the horse the 49ers need to ride to the winner’s circle, and you can bet coach Kyle Shanahan knows it. The Chiefs’ run defense is vulnerable — the Bills, who rushed for 182 yards against Kansas City, wisely took that path before the Ravens lost their way in the AFC title game.

“In the playoffs, McCaffrey had 20 carries for 90 yards and four receptions for 42 yards versus Detroit after totaling 17 carries for 98 yards and seven receptions for 30 yards versus Green Bay.”

— Chiefs to make longest field goal

Youmans and WagerTalk handicapper Ralph Michaels like this prop, which is -130 at the South Point.

“Harrison Butker is about as good as it gets,” Youmans said. “Butler is 33-for-35 on field-goal attempts this season, converting all 12 tries from 40 yards or more, including five of 50 yards or more.”

Michaels noted that Butker is a veteran and 49ers kicker Jake Moody is a rookie.

“Butker has a career long 62-yarder and also is 28 of 31 in the playoffs since 2018,” said Michaels (@CalSportsLV).

Moody is 1-for-3 on kicks of 40 to 49 yards in the playoffs, though he did make a 52-yarder against Green Bay.

— Purdy to throw an interception

Pro sports bettor Cris Zeniuk wagered on Purdy to throw a pick at -110 (now -135 at South Point).

“Facing a much better defense than he has been facing,” said Zeniuk (@lasvegascris). “And he’s been having some fortunate luck with too many of his throws recently.”

— Noah Gray over 1½ receptions

Zeniuk also bet on Gray, who eclipsed that total at Baltimore and Buffalo, at even money at the SuperBook.

“His role has grown recently, and this feels safe,” Zeniuk said.

 

[Wagerallsports]

The San Francisco 49ers superstar running back was only 2 years old when he was photographed joyfully running around the field in Miami as confetti rained down at the Super Bowl in 1999.

Christian wore a tiny No. 87 Broncos jersey in support of his father, Ed, a standout wide receiver for Denver who had just won back-to-back Super Bowls.

 

[Archie]

better opportunities with college hoops

pass

 

[sharpsquare]

On Paper the 49ers are def the better team but as we all know it's the NFL and the best team only wins 25% of the time, more times than not the hot team gets it done. I think KC in the playoffs has played better football. Makes this one a hard one to get a handle on side wise.

We know L'Jarius Sneed a top 10 corner roams the KC defense and will rotate between Aiyuk and Deebo. They are pretty solid in the defensive backfield overall. The weaker parts seem to be in the LB core/safties coverage wise. In the last 5 games Chiefs gave up the 9th-most schedule-adjusted FPPG in the NFL to TEs. So going to take a shot and lay into some Kittle props.


George Kittle anytime TD +190
George Kittle Over 60 Rec Yards +146
George Kittle 5+ Receptions +122
George Kittle 2+ TDs +1500

 

[carolinakid]

Thanks SS as always, great job you do sir bol forum for a geat Super Sunday!!

 

[Archie]

better opportunities with college hoops

pass

NVM

northwestern -8 and under 145

over 8.5 players to get a rushing carry +142

 

[easy_street]

How many people bet on kc due to this conspiracy

https://www.npr.org/2024/02/02/1197954661/the-taylor-swift-super-bowl-conspiracy-theory

 

[Wagerallsports]

How many people bet on kc due to this conspiracy

https://www.npr.org/2024/02/02/1197954661/the-taylor-swift-super-bowl-conspiracy-theory

Not me

But some ppl ‘predicted’ it would happen right after Swift & Kielce became a thing and it started during the games

 

[easy_street]

I think a lot of people are betting kc cause of the circus around them

 

[Wagerallsports]

I think a lot of people are betting kc cause of the circus around them

Oh I agree no doubt

 

[209life]

KC wins

 

[Archie]

first usher song

Yeah!

 

[sharpsquare]

Oh I agree no doubt

I think this is esp true for so many people who are betting today who normally don't. the vast majority of that money seems to be KC money because of the craziness

 

[Tanko]

On Paper the 49ers are def the better team but as we all know it's the NFL and the best team only wins 25% of the time, more times than not the hot team gets it done. I think KC in the playoffs has played better football. Makes this one a hard one to get a handle on side wise.

We know L'Jarius Sneed a top 10 corner roams the KC defense and will rotate between Aiyuk and Deebo. They are pretty solid in the defensive backfield overall. The weaker parts seem to be in the LB core/safties coverage wise. In the last 5 games Chiefs gave up the 9th-most schedule-adjusted FPPG in the NFL to TEs. So going to take a shot and lay into some Kittle props.


George Kittle anytime TD +190
George Kittle Over 60 Rec Yards +146
George Kittle 5+ Receptions +122
George Kittle 2+ TDs +1500

I am actually a distant relation to Kittle.
I've mentioned it on the forum before. @DiggityDaggityDo knows.

He's married to one of my cousins.
I met him once for like 10 seconds.

 

[sharpsquare]

I am actually a distant relation to Kittle.
I've mentioned it on the forum before. @DiggityDaggityDo knows.

He's married to one of my cousins.
I met him once for like 10 seconds.

nice.

I think he has one of the best matchup edges I could find on either side. It may not work out because it's the NFL and but has to be worth a shot.