Tanko's Conf Tourny and NCAA Unders Tracking Thread

[Tanko]

we got some games today, but I don’t know if it’s going to meet the criteria

I'm sure there will be a few.

 

[Tanko]

Unders for today's Conf Tourny Games

A number of games met the >140 total criteria but the lines have already dropped so much, I am not making bets on them.


Bets for today:
Gonzaga/San Francisco 149 -110 (Bet)
James Madison/Arkansas St. 150.5 -112 (Bet)
Hofstra/Stony Brook 140 -108 (Bet)
Samford/East Tennessee St. 147.5 -110 (Bet)
Milwaukee/Northern Kentucky 152.5 -110 (Bet)
Montana/Portland St. 146.5 -110 (Bet)

Not betting but will track:
Saint Mary's/Santa Clara 135.5 -108
Charleston/Towson 139.5 -108
Nicholls St./Texas A&M Commerce 137 -110
South Dakota St./St. Thomas 140 -108 (line dropped 3 from open)
Oakland/Cleveland St. 144.5 -108 (line dropped 3 from open)
Nebraska Omaha/Denver 154.5 -108 (line dropped 4 from open)
Weber St./Montana St. 140 -108 (line dropped 3 from open)

 

[jjgold]

OK might have to put a few bucks on these games

 

[Tanko]

Some deeper data on how the system is tracking.

Beat or tie the close 79%
Beat the close 48%

Beat the close by average of 0.5 pts.
Highest edge beating the close 5.5 pts
Highest pts behind the close 4 pts.

 

[Tanko]

All unders yesterday 6-7 -166
Under bets 2-4 -242
All unders w/ Tot >= 140 4-6 -258

 

[Tanko]

Onward we tread. Hopefully towards the light and not the darkness.
Unders for games today.

Fordham/Davidson 135.5 -108 A10
UCF/Oklahoma St. 136.5 -108 B12
La Salle/George Washington 146.5 -110 A10 (dropped 4 from open)
Notre Dame/Georgia Tech 131 -110 ACC
Cincinnati/West Virginia 144.5 -108 B12 (BET)
Rhode Island/Saint Louis 156 -108 A10 (dropped 4.5 from open)
N.C. State/Louisville 149 -110 ACC (BET)
Vermont/New Hampshire 137.5 -108 AE
Mount St. Mary's/Canisius 136.5 -108 MAAC (dropped 2 from open)
UMass Lowell/Bryant 159 -110 AE (BET)
McNeese St./Lamar 140.5 -108 Slnd (dropped 4.5 from open)
Oakland/Milwaukee 151.5 -108 Horz (BET)
Boston College/Miami FL 147.5 -108 ACC (dropped 2 from open)
Merrimack/Wagner 119 -108 NEC
Charleston/Stony Brook 151 -108 CAA (BET)
Iona/Manhattan 136.5 -108 MAAC (dropped 5 from open)
Montana St./Sacramento St. 135 -108 BSky
Jacksonville St./FIU 140.5 -110 CUSA (BET)
Saint Mary's/Gonzaga 138.5 -108 WCC
Texas A&M Corpus Chris/Nicholls St. 137.5 -108 Slnd
South Dakota St./Denver 157 -110 Sum (dropped 3 from open)
Niagara/Siena 131 -108 MAAC (dropped 3 from open)
Montana/Idaho St. 139.5 -108 BSky

6 bets as noted above.

 

[Tanko]

Todays games.
I may selectively bet a few of these but the list is shown mainly for tracking purposes to see how well the unders play out and how well the >=140 Total system works in 2024.

George Mason/Saint Joseph's 138.5 -110 A10
Virginia Tech/Florida St. 153 -110 ACC
BYU/UCF 146 -108 B12
Wichita St./Rice 140 -109 Amer
VCU/Fordham 133.5 -101 A10
Wyoming/Fresno St. 138 -110 MWC
Wake Forest/Notre Dame 136.5 -104 ACC
TCU/Oklahoma 146 -110 B12
Washington/USC 153 -108 P12
Temple/UTSA 150.5 -108 Amer
Alcorn St./Alabama A&M 139.5 -108 SWAC (line dropped 3.5 from open)
Butler/Xavier 151 -108 BE
Colorado St./San Jose St. 138.5 -108 MWC
St. Bonaventure/La Salle 137 -108 A10 (line dropped 6.5 from open)
McNeese St./Nicholls St. 136 -110 Slnd
UCLA/Oregon St. 125 -108 P12 (lined dropped 3.5 from open)
Norfolk St./Coppin St. 129 -108 MEAC
Maryland/Rutgers 125.5 -108 B10
Quinnipiac/Canisius 144.5 -108 MAAC
Providence/Georgetown 142.5 -108 BE
Sam Houston St./FIU 146 -110 CUSA
Texas/Kansas St. 142 -108 B12
Syracuse/N.C. State 151 -108 ACC (line dropped 3 from open)
Arkansas/Vanderbilt 149 -110 SEC
Colgate/Lehigh 134.5 -108 Pat
New Mexico/Air Force 144.5 -102 MWC
Duquesne/Saint Louis 146.5 -108 A10
North Carolina Central/Maryland Eastern Shore 133.5 -108 MEAC (line dropped 3 from open)
California/Stanford 150.5 -108 P12
Penn St./Michigan 149.5 -110 B10
Utah Valley/Cal Baptist 127 -103 WAC
Fairfield/Iona 145.5 -110 MAAC
UC Riverside/Cal St. Bakersfield 132 -108 BW
Louisiana Tech/Middle Tennessee 132 -108 CUSA
Villanova/DePaul 136.5 -108 BE
Kansas/Cincinnati 139.5 -108 B12
Clemson/Boston College 145.5 -108 ACC
Georgia/Missouri 147 -108 SEC
Grambling St./Alabama St. 129 -108 SWAC
Utah/Arizona St. 144 -108 P12
Stephen F. Austin/Abilene Christian 139 -108 WAC
UC Santa Barbara/Cal St. Northridge 149.5 -108 BW
Montana/Montana St. 144 -108 BSky

 

[Tanko]

Still positive but regression is occurring.

 

[Tanko]

Today's tracking for unders.



Toledo/Kent St. 151.5
Richmond/Saint Joseph's 139.5
Michigan St./Minnesota 135.5
Connecticut/Xavier 148
North Carolina/Florida St. 154
Texas Tech/BYU 153.5
East Carolina/Tulsa 140
LSU/Mississippi St. 145
Central Michigan/Bowling Green 131
Massachusetts/VCU 138
Pittsburgh/Wake Forest 144.5
Wisconsin/Maryland 131.5
St. John's/Seton Hall 142.5
Memphis/Wichita St. 154
Houston/TCU 137.5
Arizona/USC 157
Texas Southern/Jackson St. 140
Utah St./Fresno St. 141.5
South Carolina/Arkansas 143
Akron/Miami OH 135
Loyola Chicago/St. Bonaventure 137.5
UNLV/San Diego St. 133
Oregon/UCLA 130
Howard/Morgan St. 148.5
Iowa/Ohio St. 153
Liberty/UTEP 132.5
Marist/Niagara 127.5
Ohio/Western Michigan 146
Creighton/Providence 141.5
Texas A&M/Mississippi 141
Iowa St./Kansas St. 132
Duke/N.C. State 148.5
North Texas/Tulane 141.5
Dayton/Duquesne 138
South Carolina St./Delaware St. 135.5
Nevada/Colorado St. 139.5
Indiana/Penn St. 150
Washington St./Stanford 141
Seattle/Cal Baptist 127
Hawaii/Cal St. Northridge 139
Rider/Saint Peter's 129
SMU/Temple 141.5
Western Kentucky/New Mexico St. 147.5
Baylor/Cincinnati 140.5
Marquette/Villanova 141
Virginia/Boston College 124.5
Florida/Georgia 155
Southern/Bethune Cookman 131
Boise St./New Mexico 153
Colorado/Utah 153
UT Arlington/Stephen F. Austin 141.5
Long Beach St./UC Riverside 150.5

 

[Tanko]

Unders record through yesterday.

 

[Tanko]

Updated stats for unders through Thursday.
Unders are still + money but a whole lot of plays.

 

[carolinakid]

BOL Tanks with your friday action, let nail this weekend

 

[Tanko]

Here are the results for betting all the unders in conference tournys.
Then 2nd table is limiting these bets to totals >=140.

+money but not fantastic results. But for all games, it was about the same as in 2023 53.2 vs 53.3%.
For the Totals >= 140 it was not as profitable. 52.7% this year vs 58.5% in 2023.