Tanko's Conf Tourny and NCAA Unders Tracking Thread

[Tanko]

Today's Conf Tourny Unders.....

We start with the MVC...... This relates to RDalerts thread on the topic from 2023 and carried into 2024.
The first 4 are MVC games.

https://forum.bookmakersreview.com/threads/mvc-unders.40104/

Belmont/Valpo U 154.5 -110 (bet)
S. Illinois/Ill Chicago U139 -108 (bet)
Murray St./Missouri St. U 143.5 -107 (bet)
Illinois St/ Evansville U 138 -110 (bet)

Purdue-FW/Oakland U145.5 -110 (bet)
Marshall/Georgia St. U151.5 -108 (bet)
N. Kentucky/Wright St. U161 -113 (bet)
Texas St./S. Mississippi U136 -108
Georgia Southern/S. Ala. U153 -110 (bet)
N. Ala/Austin Peay U148 -108 (bet)
Milwaukee/Green Bay U145.5 -108 (bet)
Tenn St./W. Illinois U133 -108
Lehigh/Lafayette U137 -110
Clev St./Youngstown St. U151.5 -105 (bet)
Bucknell/American U128.5 -108
Jacksville/Stetson U136 -108
SIU/Morehead U136.5 -110
Navy/Boston Univ U132.5 -110
Coastal/Louisiana U150.5 +100 (bet)
Pacific/Pepperdine U151 -108 (bet)
Holy Cross/Colgate U142 -108 (bet)

 

[Tanko]

Whole lotta plays today.
The one's I'm betting (bet) are the ones that have a total >= 140 and the line has not moved a lot from the open..

 

[RRsilver]

Today's Conf Tourny Unders.....

We start with the MVC...... This relates to RDalerts thread on the topic from 2023 and carried into 2024.
The first 4 are MVC games.

https://forum.bookmakersreview.com/threads/mvc-unders.40104/

Belmont/Valpo U 154.5 -110 (bet)
S. Illinois/Ill Chicago U139 -108 (bet)
Murray St./Missouri St. U 143.5 -107 (bet)
Illinois St/ Evansville U 138 -110 (bet)

Purdue-FW/Oakland U145.5 -110 (bet)
Marshall/Georgia St. U151.5 -108 (bet)
N. Kentucky/Wright St. U161 -113 (bet)
Texas St./S. Mississippi U136 -108
Georgia Southern/S. Ala. U153 -110 (bet)
N. Ala/Austin Peay U148 -108 (bet)
Milwaukee/Green Bay U145.5 -108 (bet)
Tenn St./W. Illinois U133 -108
Lehigh/Lafayette U137 -110
Clev St./Youngstown St. U151.5 -105 (bet)
Bucknell/American U128.5 -108
Jacksville/Stetson U136 -108
SIU/Morehead U136.5 -110
Navy/Boston Univ U132.5 -110
Coastal/Louisiana U150.5 +100 (bet)
Pacific/Pepperdine U151 -108 (bet)
Holy Cross/Colgate U142 -108

Murry st game 41 total points at half time

 

[phantom888]

Thanks for all the work Mr T!!

Be lucky!

 

[Tanko]

Good start to the day with the first 4 games complete.
4-0 +400

Long way to go yet with 17 games left to play (10 with bets on them).

Belmont/Valpo U 154.5 -110 (bet) (Winner)
S. Illinois/Ill Chicago U139 -108 (bet)
Murray St./Missouri St. U 143.5 -107 (bet) (Winner)
Illinois St/ Evansville U 138 -110 (bet)

Purdue-FW/Oakland U145.5 -110 (bet)
Marshall/Georgia St. U151.5 -108 (bet)
N. Kentucky/Wright St. U161 -113 (bet)
Texas St./S. Mississippi U136 -108
Georgia Southern/S. Ala. U153 -110 (bet) (Winner)
N. Ala/Austin Peay U148 -108 (bet)
Milwaukee/Green Bay U145.5 -108 (bet)
Tenn St./W. Illinois U133 -108
Lehigh/Lafayette U137 -110
Clev St./Youngstown St. U151.5 -105 (bet)
Bucknell/American U128.5 -108
Jacksville/Stetson U136 -108
SIU/Morehead U136.5 -110
Navy/Boston Univ U132.5 -110
Coastal/Louisiana U150.5 +100 (bet) (Winner)
Pacific/Pepperdine U151 -108 (bet)
Holy Cross/Colgate U142 -108 (bet)

 

[Tanko]

Pacific is doing everything it can to help make this game an under.
9 minutes into the game and they've score 2 points.

Pepperdine leads 32-2 at the 11 min mark of the first half.

 

[piratealew]

Great start, keep it up. Good luck tonight, I'm glad i pounded Pepperdine, easiest bet all year probably

 

[Tanko]

Great start, keep it up. Good luck tonight, I'm glad i pounded Pepperdine, easiest bet all year probably

I actually feel sorry for Pacific. I mean this is an a$$-kicking.

 

[Tanko]

Thank god Pacific played so poorly. Pepperdine damn near caused the over to hit.
Pepperdine was up by 50 and still popping 3s.

That makes it 5-0 +500 so far today.

 

[Tanko]

Results of games from yesterday.
W/L/units tables shown separately.

Belmont/Valpo U 154.5 -110 (bet) (Winner)
S. Illinois/Ill Chicago U139 -108 (bet) (Loser)
Murray St./Missouri St. U 143.5 -107 (bet) (Winner)
Illinois St/ Evansville U 138 -110 (bet) (Winner)
Purdue-FW/Oakland U145.5 -110 (bet) (Winner)
Marshall/Georgia St. U151.5 -108 (bet)(Loser)
N. Kentucky/Wright St. U161 -113 (bet)(Loser)
Texas St./S. Mississippi U136 -108 (Winner)
Georgia Southern/S. Ala. U153 -110 (bet) (Winner)
N. Ala/Austin Peay U148 -108 (bet) (Push)
Milwaukee/Green Bay U145.5 -108 (bet)(Loser)
Tenn St./W. Illinois U133 -108 (Winner)
Lehigh/Lafayette U137 -110 (Push)
Clev St./Youngstown St. U151.5 -105 (bet)(Loser)
Bucknell/American U128.5 -108(Loser)
Jacksville/Stetson U136 -108(Loser)
SIU/Morehead U136.5 -110(Loser)
Navy/Boston Univ U132.5 -110 (Winner)
Coastal/Louisiana U150.5 +100 (bet) (Winner)
Pacific/Pepperdine U151 -108 (bet) (Winner)
Holy Cross/Colgate U142 -108 (bet)(Loser)

 

[Tanko]

Updated Table of results

• All Games: Betting every tournament game under
• Tot >=140: Betting every tournament game under with a total of 140 or higher.
• Tracking Bets: Games bet on (typically Tot>=140 and line is "close" to the open line).

 

[Franz555]

A couple of questions regarding these Conference games :

How much weight does one put into H/H games , Getting a 1st game bye vs playing 3 games in 5 days ?

Using last night's play as my example ; Stetson - 5.5

Stetson beat Jacksonville by 13 away and 16 at home
Stetson played on the 5th of March and progressed to last nights game on the 7th. Jacksonville won on Mar 4th , 5th and played last night

Stetson seemed a no brainer but had to rally late to steal a 1 pt win ( 88 - 87 )

 

[Tanko]

A couple of questions regarding these Conference games :

How much weight does one put into H/H games , Getting a 1st game bye vs playing 3 games in 5 days ?

Using last night's play as my example ; Stetson - 5.5

Stetson beat Jacksonville by 13 away and 16 at home
Stetson played on the 5th of March and progressed to last nights game on the 7th. Jacksonville won on Mar 4th , 5th and played last night

Stetson seemed a no brainer but had to rally late to steal a 1 pt win ( 88 - 87 )

Not much weight put into anything on this tracking.

I am just tracking unders for Conf Tourny and NCAA games (separaretly) since it seems +money the last few years and especially last year. Its strictly looking at all unders, no other review or overlay added except for the >=140 total part. This seemed to improve the +money on unders the last couple of years.

Its not very sophisticated in that its reviewing individual team performances either against each other or vs their team statistics.

 

[Tanko]

Today's tourny games. I've noted the MVC games since that conf seems to go under and create +money over the last few years.

Northern Iowa/Belmont 151.5 -110 MVC
Indiana St./Missouri St. 150 -110 MVC
Winthrop/Longwood 144.5 -108
San Diego/Pepperdine 153 -108
Tennessee Martin/Morehead St. 147.5 -110
Little Rock/Western Illinois 135.5 -108
Mercer/The Citadel 139 -110
Bradley/Illinois Chicago 135.5 -109 MVC
Gardner Webb/Presbyterian 143.5 -108
Oral Roberts/South Dakota 152 -108
Drake/Evansville 142.5 -108 MVC
Elon/Hampton 147 -110
North Carolina A&T/William & Mary 139 -110
Portland/Loyola Marymount 143 -110
High Point/Radford 151.5 -105
UNC Asheville/Charleston Southern 142 -108
East Tennessee St./VMI 147.5 -105

 

[Tanko]

High Point/Radford 151.5 -105 is about ready to start and it'll be a bet.

 

[Tanko]

Bets made are listed below.

Northern Iowa/Belmont 151.5 -110 MVC
Indiana St./Missouri St. 150 -110 MVC
Winthrop/Longwood 144.5 -108
San Diego/Pepperdine 153 -108
Tennessee Martin/Morehead St. 147.5 -110
Bradley/Illinois Chicago 135.5 -109 MVC
Gardner Webb/Presbyterian 143.5 -108
Oral Roberts/South Dakota 152 -108
Drake/Evansville 142.5 -108 MVC
Elon/Hampton 147 -110
Portland/Loyola Marymount 143 -110
High Point/Radford 151.5 -105
UNC Asheville/Charleston Southern 142 -108
East Tennessee St./VMI 147.5 -105

 

[RRsilver]

High Point/Radford 151.5 -105 is about ready to start and it'll be a bet.

Didn't realize the Radford game started this early.

Back when I was younger and drove a Big Truck on the Big Road, I used to the deliver to Radford back in the late 1990's and early 2000's.
Ever heard of Mean Genes Burgers or Hot Stuff Pizza, Maybe Eddie Peppers?

 

[Tanko]

Didn't realize the Radford game started this early.

Back when I was younger and drove a Big Truck on the Big Road, I used to the deliver to Radford back in the late 1990's and early 2000's.
Ever heard of Mean Genes Burgers or Hot Stuff Pizza, Maybe Eddie Peppers?

I've not heard of those places RR. The closest I've been to Virginia is New Jersey (not a pretty place).

 

[RRsilver]

I've not heard of those places RR. The closest I've been to Virginia is New Jersey (not a pretty place).

They are nationwide just spread out. Mostly they are restaurants in truck stops and convince stores but not exclusively. I'm guessing you know who Mean Gene Okerlund was?

 

[Tanko]

Results were pretty good yesterday.
11-3 +775 on bets.

Since the >=140 totals were pretty much matching the bets I've made, I'm just showing the record for the bets placed with the overall O/U record.

By eliminating plays with totals <140, the results are significantly better. Yesterday 3 of the 4 Unders that were < 140 total, lost. The only winner was of course the MVC tournament game.