Tanko's - CBB Plays 2025-2026

[Tanko]

Adding more.... Just because

Southern Miss +3.5 -110 Heritage
Pacific -5.5 -108 Heritage

 

[BMR Genie]

Looks like a winning day, Tank!

 

[Tanko]

Yesterday
6-3 +2.66 units That helped offsert some of the hit from Mon/Tues.

Week (Mon-Sun):
8-9-0, 47.1%, -1.8 units, ROI -10.0%

Season Total:
60-45-0, 57.1%, +11.6 units, ROI 10.2%

 

[Tanko]

Extremely small CBB card today....

We'll try this one.....

12/4/25
Utah St. -1.5 -108 Heritage

 

[Franz555]

Nice day yesterday Tanko

Good luck with Utah St today

 

[Tanko]

Nice day yesterday Tanko

Good luck with Utah St today

Thanks. Small CBB card. Not much to pick from.
GL to you.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Thanks. Small CBB card. Not much to pick from.
GL to you.

You’ll find something, Tanko.

Keep looking.

 

[Tanko]

You’ll find something, Tanko.

Keep looking.

View attachment 79740

Just the Utah St.....
Was leaning CS-Fullerton under177 but too risky. No defense on either team.

 

[Tanko]

Extremely small CBB card today....

We'll try this one.....

12/4/25
Utah St. -1.5 -108 Heritage

Wow. Maybe I've read this game wrong. The line has moved to Utah St. +2....
Screw it. I think the Aggies are the best team here. I'm jumping in with both feet and pounding it again.

Utah St. +2 -105 Bovada

 

[clyde]

LT is on South Florida, that is probably why You guys can both win now though

 

[Tanko]

Utah St. Selection:

Utah St. checks way more boxes than S. Florida. See table below.

• Adj Effic Margin: Utah St 18.6 vs 8.5 S. Florida.

Then comes these other factors in order of importance...

• Effective FG Shooting > Turnover %, Rebounding % > FT Rate

These factors for Offense (yellow) and Defense (olive green) for each team are shown below.
Utah St. has several more boxes checked than S. Fla.



Another variable I like to look at is how well a team has actually performed recently vs their predicted performance. You measure this by seeing if they win by more points or don't lose by as many points vs the model over the last couple of weeks.

• Utah St. in their last 3 games has outperformed expectations in two out of the three games and done so by a combined total of 25 points.
• S. Florida in their last 4 games has underperformed in every game by a combined total of 31 points.