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Tanko's - CBB Plays 2025-2026

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
59,891
Utah St. Selection:

Utah St. checks way more boxes than S. Florida. See table below.
  • Adj Effic Margin: Utah St 18.6 vs 8.5 S. Florida.

Then comes these other factors in order of importance...
  • Effective FG Shooting > Turnover %, Rebounding % > FT Rate

These factors for Offense (yellow) and Defense (olive green) for each team are shown below.
Utah St. has several more boxes checked than S. Fla.

1764891997419.jpeg

Another variable I like to look at is how well a team has actually performed recently vs their predicted performance. You measure this by seeing if they win by more points or don't lose by as many points vs the model over the last couple of weeks.
  • Utah St. in their last 3 games has outperformed expectations in two out of the three games and done so by a combined total of 25 points.
  • S. Florida in their last 4 games has underperformed in every game by a combined total of 31 points.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
59,891
12/5/25
Xavier -1.5-109 Bookmaker
Canisius +9.5-108 Betonline


I feel like a complete degen betting the Canisius game. Barely met any criteria but the card is small so WTH.
Yesterday
1-1 -0.08

Week (Mon-Sun):
9-12-0, 42.9%, -4.1 units, ROI -17.9%

Season Total:
61-48-0, 56.0%, +9.3 units, ROI 7.9%

Not too good for the week but today is a big day of basketball so hopefully we recover a little.
 
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