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Tanko - CFB Plays 2024

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shamrockexpress

shamrockexpress

Joined
Aug 25, 2024
Messages
153
Big card for CFB this week.....

Spent a ton of time the last two days going over the data and lines.... It was good to get back into the rhythm of rewiewing all the football stats.

Hopefully, we come out +money.

Duke -2.5 -104
Army +4 -105
Iowa -2.5 -110
Maryland -8.5 -105
UTSA +1 -108
CMU -6.5 -108
San Jose St. +6.5 -108
Tulsa +7.5 -108
Tenn -8 -108
Mississippi St. -6.5 -103



GL all.
Looks like a good card there I can dig it! Good stuff Tanko
 

shamrockexpress

shamrockexpress

Joined
Aug 25, 2024
Messages
153
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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
Big card for CFB this week.....

Spent a ton of time the last two days going over the data and lines.... It was good to get back into the rhythm of rewiewing all the football stats.

Hopefully, we come out +money.

Duke -2.5 -104
Army +4 -105
Iowa -2.5 -110
Maryland -8.5 -105
UTSA +1 -108
CMU -6.5 -108
San Jose St. +6.5 -108
Tulsa +7.5 -108
Tenn -8 -108
Mississippi St. -6.5 -103



GL all.
As I look over my card, I see have a couple typos.
Duke is +2.5
and Miss St is +6.5

If anyone wants to check line history they can and see that I put the wrong +/- sign in front of these numbers.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
I measure how well I beat the closing lines to see if I'm doing well.
I also check during the week to see how the lines on games I've already bet have moved.

So far, I'm on the + side of 8 out of 10 of those lines. Hopefully, that is a positive sign of things to come.


TeamOrig LineCurrent LineBeating the Current Line?
Army4.03.01.0
Central Michigan-6.5-5.5-1.0
Duke2.52.00.5
Iowa-2.5-3.00.5
Maryland-8.5-9.51.0
MIssissippi State6.55.51.0
San Jose State6.53.53.0
Tennessee-7.5-9.01.5
Texas-San Antonio1.00.50.5
Tulsa7.58.5-1.0
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
I don't normally add a game late in the week as the season progresses since by that time the line has been beaten to death by the sharps. But, WSU line opened at 0 moved to +1.5 --> -1.5 and back to +1 so I think we're seeing sharp money on both sides. Early sharp money coming in on WSU and late sharp money coming in on Texas Tech.

Regardless, I like WSU at home in this matchup.
 

RRsilver

RRsilver

Joined
Nov 2, 2021
Messages
5,792
Duke +2.5 -104
Army +4 -105
Iowa -2.5 -110
Maryland -8.5 -105
UTSA +1 -108
CMU -6.5 -108
San Jose St. +6.5 -108
Tulsa +7.5 -108
Tenn -8 -108
Mississippi St. +6.5 -103

Adding:
Washington State +1 -108
like these on your card.
Duke
SJST
MISS ST
UTSA

To, early for me on Tennessee. I want to see how they do this week against better a team.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
like these on your card.
Duke
SJST
MISS ST
UTSA

To, early for me on Tennessee. I want to see how they do this week against better a team.
I'm usually better at picking dogs than favs so if I had to rank the list from best to last....

Tennessee is at the bottom. I hate giving up the hook but didn't want to buy it at the time.
Tennessee is now at -9 at most books so maybe it will work out OK.


Tulsa7.5
MIssissippi State6.5
Army4.0
San Jose State6.5
Duke2.5
Texas-San Antonio1.0
Washington State1.0
Iowa-2.5
Maryland-8.5
Central Michigan-6.5
Tennessee-7.5
 
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