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Tanko - CFB Plays 2024

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,475
Adding.....

BC +8.5 -108
Tailing about half the world on this one. Seems like everyone is on BC tonight.
I see this spread as -4.5 to -5 so we're getting a decent +10%EV on this play.

The key to this game is BC's defense. They lost a CB this week to ACL and hopefully can cover that position well. What will be most important is BC's rush-D. They are only giving up only 105 ypg, 25th in the country . Virg Tech runs the ball a decent amount so stopping them will be leveraging.

GL all.
Week 8 CFB
W. Kent +3 -108 (Win)
Buffalo +1 -105
Kansas St. -2.5 -108
New Mex -1 -108
NC State +10 -108
Kansas -6.5 -108
Texas -3.5 -110
Iowa -5 -112
Ohio +3.5 -108
Colorado State -6.5 -113
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,475
Adding.....

BC +8.5 -108
Tailing about half the world on this one. Seems like everyone is on BC tonight.
I see this spread as -4.5 to -5 so we're getting a decent +10%EV on this play.

The key to this game is BC's defense. They lost a CB this week to ACL and hopefully can cover that position well. What will be most important is BC's rush-D. They are only giving up only 105 ypg, 25th in the country . Virg Tech runs the ball a decent amount so stopping them will be leveraging.

GL all.
V. Tech has 175 yards rushing in the 1st half.... Even if you disregard the one run that was 83 yards, they are still running the ball over BC very very well.....

This doesn't look like its gonna pan out for the good tema tonight.
 

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
5,777
YTD 45-36-1, (56%)
+$619 (6.2 Units )
ROI 7.1%

View attachment 44736

I like the fact that you track your ROI. You once mentioned that stat as being the most significant , couldn't agree more. Only tracking wins & losses gives a false perspective ( I'm just over 50% yet down a fair bit ). Nice job in here , haven't had the time to follow much lately.
Keep it Rolling
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,475
Someone help me understand the line move on BYU/UCF (Saturday)...
I'm looking to bet on BYU +pts now that the line has moved but, why the huge move?????


It opened BYU -1.5 and reached -3 before dropping to +2.5 yesterday.
  • No injuries to note (am I missing them?).
  • Every statistic indicates BYU is the better team.
  • UCF is playing better last couple of weeks.
But, for the line to swing 4 points on no new information.... WTH?
 

RRsilver

RRsilver

Joined
Nov 2, 2021
Messages
5,789
Someone help me understand the line move on BYU/UCF (Saturday)...
I'm looking to bet on BYU +pts now that the line has moved but, why the huge move?????


It opened BYU -1.5 and reached -3 before dropping to +2.5 yesterday.
  • No injuries to note (am I missing them?).
  • Every statistic indicates BYU is the better team.
  • UCF is playing better last couple of weeks.
But, for the line to swing 4 points on no new information.... WTH?
I can't find anything for that kind of move.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,981
I see @JDS has BYU on his parlay. Maybe he has some insight?
I don’t really have any real depth insight BYU is clearly better. Overall the line should be where it opened. In my opinion I don’t understand the steam for UCF. The quarterback for UCF right now is a converted cornerback to quarterback, and I’m not high on him at all. If BYU can sustain the run the least bit they win this game by a touchdown or more. That’s the million dollar question.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
30,260
I don’t really have any real depth insight BYU is clearly better. Overall the line should be where it opened. In my opinion I don’t understand the steam for UCF. The quarterback for UCF right now is a converted cornerback to quarterback, and I’m not high on him at all. If BYU can sustain the run the least bit they win this game by a touchdown or more. That’s the million dollar question.
Oh wow.. check this out. Looks like they're going back to their original opening line.

1729800849933.png
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,475
Week 9

G. Southern +2.5-108
E. Mich -3-110 (2 UNITS)
Uconn -6 -114
Michigan -5.5 -106 (weak play)
Utah -3-108
Colorado St. -6-108
W. Virg +3-113
SJ State +6.5-108

GL all.
Kicking the week off w/ G. Southern tonight.
Feel pretty good about this one. The line has dropped to Ga. Southern -1 since yesterday. Lots of closing line value for us here at +2.5.
 
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