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Tanko - CFB Plays 2023

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,979
Looking at the straight-up win record, I'm actually surprised that they're favored in this game. Are they good at home, Tank?
Their record is poor due to the very good competition they've been playing.

All but two of their opponents have been rated much higher than W. Mich. In the two games versus teams that were rated at or lower than W. Mich (Ball St. and E. Mich), they won by 18 and 24 points.

Central Michigan is rated similar to Ball St. and E. Mich. Hoping for similar results.

Also liked them:
  • Playing at home
  • Biggest weakness is pass-D, but C. Mich biggest weakness is pass-O so it matches up well.
  • 6-3 ATS vs C. Mich at 3-6 ATS
  • Much better head coach than C. Mich.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
32,804
Their record is poor due to the very good competition they've been playing.

All but two of their opponents have been rated much higher than W. Mich. In the two games versus teams that were rated at or lower than W. Mich (Ball St. and E. Mich), they won by 18 and 24 points.

Central Michigan is rated similar to Ball St. and E. Mich. Hoping for similar results.

Also liked them:
  • Playing at home
  • Biggest weakness is pass-D, but C. Mich biggest weakness is pass-O so it matches up well.
  • 6-3 ATS vs C. Mich at 3-6 ATS
  • Much better head coach than C. Mich.
Thanks, Tank! I'm rooting for you on this one. Good luck.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,979
@209life Help me understand this Fresno St. line move this weekend.
Opened at -1 and now at +1 vs San Jose St.

I see this as a clear pick for Fresno St.. All my projections have Fresno St. winning by TD or more.
I don't see any "new" injury issues for Fresno.

Sherrod is rushing the ball well.
Keene is throwing well the last two games (too many INTS but still decent).

What am I missing here?
 

209life

209life

Joined
Feb 13, 2023
Messages
1,350
@209life Help me understand this Fresno St. line move this weekend.
Opened at -1 and now at +1 vs San Jose St.

I see this as a clear pick for Fresno St.. All my projections have Fresno St. winning by TD or more.
I don't see any "new" injury issues for Fresno.

Sherrod is rushing the ball well.
Keene is throwing well the last two games (too many INTS but still decent).

What am I missing here?
2 things

1. Away game (in San Jose)

2. Rivalry game (even the shittiest Sharta team will play hard against Fresno St)
 
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