Samford at W. Carolina
Western Carolina should cover this spread easily today so I made it a 2X play.
- Samford is on the nations longest winning streak at 15 games. They are 15-2 on the season. But W. Carolina is no slouch. They are also 15-2 on a 9 game streak. Both teams strength of schedule is weak but Samford's is actually weaker than almost every team in NCAA.
W. Carol SOS #242 out of 362
Samford SOS #349 out of 362
That indicates Samford's rankings are likely a little too elevated and the public will over-react.
- W. Carolina doesn't lose at home while Samford has only played 5 out of their 17 games on the road and lost 2 of them.
- Most importantly Jermaine Marshall (forward for Samford is out of the game). He was involved in 20-25% of their possessions and averaged 12 ppg and 6 rpg.
IMO the +1.5 or even +2 isn't enough for Samford to cover today.