Tanko - 2024 MLB Plays

[BMR Genie]

1-0 today +100
I kind of felt like the Padres game would be close. The SD relievers leave a lot to be desired in their performance.

YTD 119-104-9, +1323

Another winning day!

 

[phantom888]

Pads baby!!
Congrats!

 

[Tanko]

Kansas City -105

This line is strange. Almost everything points at the Royals yet the oddsmakers have it as a toss up. Starting pichers are Lugo (KC) vs Armstrong (TB). It's a reliever game for the Rays. Armstrong likely won't pitch more than an inning or two so we'll need to focus on TB bull-pen stats and that is where TB has a slight edge. TB has 2-3 very good middle/late relievers while KC has only 2 IMO but we hopefully, won't see the KC relievers unitl after the 6th.

KC Edge
Starting Pitching (Last 30 days: 1.57 vs 3.97 ERA)
❌️Bull Pen (1.38 vs 1.21 ERA) Both tms well rested.
✅️Batting (last 7 days: WRC 160 vs 74)
Scoring (Run Differential last 10 days: 27 vs -10)
Trend (6 game winning streak KC, 4 game losing streak TB)
Home/Away (KC is ~50% on road, TB is ~50% at home)


Kansas City F5 -0.5 +115

I'm throwing in a F5 RL play on KC as well. They have have been scoring early in the last few games.
4, 9, & 2 runs in the F5 over the last 3 games respectively. They are outscoring their opponents by an average of 5 runs over those 3 games in F5. Also YTD, KC is +5 units on F5 RL plays while TB is -10 units.

 

[Tanko]

Toronto F5 ML -115
Manoah (TOR) has 3 starts. His first was horrible but the last two were stellar. 0 ER in F5.
Manning (DET) has been trending worse since his first start. He's giving up 3-4 ERs in each outing.


San Francisco +130
All the boxes are checked on this one (except the bull-pen advantage). The biggest issue on this game is NYM bull-pen is very well rested. The Giants bull-pen is somewhat used up. IMO the line should be closer to even. I see +EV on this play.

 

[JDS]

Kansas City -105

This line is strange. Almost everything points at the Royals yet the oddsmakers have it as a toss up. Starting pichers are Lugo (KC) vs Armstrong (TB). It's a reliever game for the Rays. Armstrong likely won't pitch more than an inning or two so we'll need to focus on TB bull-pen stats and that is where TB has a slight edge. TB has 2-3 very good middle/late relievers while KC has only 2 IMO but we hopefully, won't see the KC relievers unitl after the 6th.

KC Edge
Starting Pitching (Last 30 days: 1.57 vs 3.97 ERA)
❌️Bull Pen (1.38 vs 1.21 ERA) Both tms well rested.
✅️Batting (last 7 days: WRC 160 vs 74)
Scoring (Run Differential last 10 days: 27 vs -10)
Trend (6 game winning streak KC, 4 game losing streak TB)
Home/Away (KC is ~50% on road, TB is ~50% at home)


Kansas City F5 -0.5 +115

I'm throwing in a F5 RL play on KC as well. They have have been scoring early in the last few games.
4, 9, & 2 runs in the F5 over the last 3 games respectively. They are outscoring their opponents by an average of 5 runs over those 3 games in F5. Also YTD, KC is +5 units on F5 RL plays while TB is -10 units.

Let’s get this money my daily grind partner in crime

 

[phantom888]

Royals!!
Congrats!!

 

[Tanko]

3-1 +228 Yesterday.
YTD 122-105-9, +1551

 

[JDS]

3-1 +228 Yesterday.
YTD 122-105-9, +1551

You’re on a sneaky heater

 

[BMR Genie]

3-1 +228 Yesterday.
YTD 122-105-9, +1551

Another winning day, Tank. Yahoo!

 

[Tanko]

You’re on a sneaky heater

Another winning day, Tank. Yahoo!

Thanks.....
3 days + money. Hoping to continue the trend.

 

[Tanko]

Beware.... I've only gone 4 +money days in a row once so far (first week of the season).

My performance seems to be two steps forward one step back. Might be a "step-back" day coming..... OR maybe we can breakthrough and make a little run.

 

[Wagerallsports]

3-1 +228 Yesterday.
YTD 122-105-9, +1551

Great work Tank

 

[JDS]

Beware.... I've only gone 4 +money days in a row once so far (first week of the season).

My performance seems to be two steps forward one step back. Might be a "step-back" day coming..... OR maybe we can breakthrough and make a little run.

View attachment 34821

2 steps forward one step back is a great texture for a season, but I wanna see you break character today let’s see

 

[Tanko]

Banking on the Royals today....

KC -103
KC F5 RL -0.5 +125

 

[JDS]

Banking on the Royals today....

KC -103
KC F5 RL -0.5 +125

 

[Tanko]

 

[Tanko]

Banking on the Royals today....

KC -103
KC F5 RL -0.5 +125

Lost the F5 play. Royals had it covered until bottom of 5th. SMH.
Hopefylly, we hit the ML on the game.

 

[phantom888]

Thanks for KC winner!

 

[Tanko]

1-1 +$0 yesterday....
YTD 123-106-9, +1551

 

[Tanko]

Early, early Sunday game today....

Toronto -127
Detroit has been slowly fading over the last several weeks after a decent start to the season. They've won the first two in the series vs TOR but I think today the Blue Jays get one back. Toronto seems to have lined itself out lately(not improving, not fading).

Kikuchi (TOR) is their best pitcher so far this year. Mize (DET) I would rank 4th on their rotation. It's tought to sweep a series and Mize has become more questionable in the last few weeks after starting the season with 5 excellent starts.

DET looks like a better bull pen as far as ERA and WHIP go but that is deceiving. The top of TOR bullpen (Richards, Garcia, Cabrera) are good and rested. The best in the DET bullpen is just average (except Holton - who pitched last night).


Starting pitching (Kikuchi 2.97 ERA > Mize 6.00 ERA over last 30 days)
Batting (WRC over last 7 days: WRC 124 vs 78)
Scoring (Run Differential last 10 days: 12 vs -4)
Bullpen (ERA: 1.31 vs 1.18)
Trends (both teams 4-6 in last 10).
Home/Away (DET 12-14 at Hm, TOR 11-16 on road)