Tampa 2023-2024

[rdalert447]

You need something big

The wins will come. They always do. Just have to weather the storm.

 

[rdalert447]

Former Tampa trainer Schistl has one going at Gulf in about 15 mins.

Gulf Race 1
$20 win #3 Free Charging 8-1
$2 DD 3,7/1,7
.50c tri 3,7/ALL/3,7

Tampa card looks good too. Will burn some money there as well…

Risked $33, -$1637

Let’s recap this sequence.
Race 1, the 7 wins for fun. Just need the 3 to run second or third to catch ex or tri. Unfortunately, 3 breaks terribly ruining all chance.
BUT, was alive to the 1 and 7 in double, for $250 and $190.
7 runs out, 1 runs second.
Fun sport….

 

[theriver55]

Let’s recap this sequence.
Race 1, the 7 wins for fun. Just need the 3 to run second or third to catch ex or tri. Unfortunately, 3 breaks terribly ruining all chance.
BUT, was alive to the 1 and 7 in double, for $250 and $190.
7 runs out, 1 runs second.
Fun sport….

Tough Game RD. How do you cap? I see you mention the trainers a lot. I don't cap too much by trainer angles but do look at the pertinent Metrics for the trainer from BRIS.

 

[rdalert447]

Tampa Race 6
$20 win #6 Grainger County 10-1
$2 exbx 6-7
.50c tri 6,7/ALL/6,7
$2 DD 6/1,2,9
.50c P3 6/ALL/9
Allen an old-school Tampa trainer with decent ROI here. She flies under the radar these days so that’s when I get on board.

Risked $39, -$1670

 

[rdalert447]

Tough Game RD. How do you cap? I see you mention the trainers a lot. I don't cap too much by trainer angles but do look at the pertinent Metrics for the trainer from BRIS.

I handicap trainers using meet-specific stats. For example, A trainer could hit 6% nationwide on turf, but if they hit 25% on turf at Tampa, that’s when I jump in.

I also exclude horses in that manner. For example, for years Bruce Levine would hit 25% combined at all NYRA tracks, but only like 4% at Saratoga. Would help me toss his faves at Saratoga.

That’s just a general overview. I look at more specific scenarios such as class level moves, surface switches, layoffs, etc.

Started this years ago when I found Jim Mazur’s Progressive Handicappping books. Have continued on with it since he discontinued Tampa.

 

[rdalert447]

Tampa Race 6
$20 win #6 Grainger County 10-1
$2 exbx 6-7
.50c tri 6,7/ALL/6,7
$2 DD 6/1,2,9
.50c P3 6/ALL/9
Allen an old-school Tampa trainer with decent ROI here. She flies under the radar these days so that’s when I get on board.

Risked $39, -$1670

Another wonderful sequence. 6 and 7 run third and second. When you are going good, you cash half of these “stretch coin-tosses.” When you are running bad, you get blanked.

-$1709

 

[theriver55]

I handicap trainers using meet-specific stats. For example, A trainer could hit 6% nationwide on turf, but if they hit 25% on turf at Tampa, that’s when I jump in.

I also exclude horses in that manner. For example, for years Bruce Levine would hit 25% combined at all NYRA tracks, but only like 4% at Saratoga. Would help me toss his faves at Saratoga.

That’s just a general overview. I look at more specific scenarios such as class level moves, surface switches, layoffs, etc.

Started this years ago when I found Jim Mazur’s Progressive Handicappping books. Have continued on with it since he discontinued Tampa.

OK RD thx for the run down. I am more of a pace, speed, class capper. One reason why this is a great game is the various ways players handicap. Good luck rest of the TB Meet.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Hang in there, rd. Hope things are good for you.

 

[rdalert447]

Hang in there, rd. Hope things are good for you.

Doing well, Chuck! You?

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Doing well, Chuck! You?

Ya, very well. Knock on wood

 

[rdalert447]

Race 7
Went with Spieth. When she wins, usually at nice balloons. Her husband the jockey has a habit of finding traffic, but comes with the package unfortunately.

$20 win #9 Magnus Effect 12/1
$2 exbx 9/1,2
$2 DD 1,2,9/12
.50c P3 9/ALL/4,7

Risked $46

 

[rdalert447]

Added:
$1 P3 1,2,9/12/4,7

$6

 

[rdalert447]

On cue, Scott Spieth finds trouble.

-$1761

 

[rdalert447]

Spieth has two more. I’m in trouble.

Race 8
$20 win #12 Miss Claudette 12-1
$2 exbx 4-12
.50c tri 4,12/ALL/4,12
$2 DD 4,12/4,7

 

[rdalert447]

Race 9
Last swing for the day, last hope for Spieth.

$20 win #4 Epic Luck 20-1
$2 exbx 4-7
.50c tri 4,7/ALL/4,7

Caught this horse earlier in meet at 27-1 when it got put up via DQ. Can lightning strike twice?

Risked $30, -$1805

 

[rdalert447]

Spieth runs a great 4th at 44-1, after getting pinched at break. 7 runs second. Par for the course.
At least I have corned beef and beer!

-$1835

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Spieth runs a great 4th at 44-1, after getting pinched at break. 7 runs second. Par for the course.
At least I have corned beef and beer!

-$1835

You beat me. I couldn't find any Corned Beef.

 

[rdalert447]

Ochoa caught me sleeping today, boys. He won race 6 at 27-1, while I was busy with other endeavors.

I have faith that he has some more magic left in him.

 

[fiftycint]

Ochoa caught me sleeping today, boys. He won race 6 at 27-1, while I was busy with other endeavors.

I have faith that he has some more magic left in him.

Thats tuff.shit

 

[jjgold]

It never fails