Stormtrooper8 NFL 2022

[lemartinsports]

i liked chargers +4.5. feel like this should be closer than we expect. but if keenan is out, then it's definitely chiefs dub in my eyes.

i will say the chargers will most likely struggle running the ball and blocking the run game again. pass rush should put pressure on mahomes though which could result in running the ball more.

chargers d has improved from last year imo, and they have covered the spread 5 times in their last 7 games at arrowhead.

it's either fade public or no play for me.

i'll be rootin for a chiefs dub and chargers cover good luck my guy

 

[Tanko]

Record: 2-6 -4.35

The typical Week 1 shit show. Last couple years I have responded well, but we'll see how it goes. Got this one early but I would take anything really cheaper than -250 if it starts to climb more over next 36 hours

Week 1 & 2 are always tough. Youthink you have a read on the team from prior year or preseason but you never know. That's why we get surprises like last weekend.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Week 1 & 2 are always tough. Youthink you have a read on the team from prior year or preseason but you never know. That's why we get surprises like last weekend.

Yep exactly . I think with week 2 though you at least often get a chance to capitalize on an overreaction or two.

The books seem to trying to accommodate for that though. For example they have 49ers, Rams , Packers, Broncos all as double digit faves after a Week 1 loss

 

[stormtrooper8]

i liked chargers +4.5. feel like this should be closer than we expect. but if keenan is out, then it's definitely chiefs dub in my eyes.

i will say the chargers will most likely struggle running the ball and blocking the run game again. pass rush should put pressure on mahomes though which could result in running the ball more.

chargers d has improved from last year imo, and they have covered the spread 5 times in their last 7 games at arrowhead.

it's either fade public or no play for me.

i'll be rootin for a chiefs dub and chargers cover good luck my guy

God damn I don’t wanna be on opposite sides again

Chiefs by 2 for me an you

 

[stormtrooper8]

Grabbing a couple Sunday ones early


Bucs -2.5 -105

Laying points with a road dog coming off a significant road win (points wise, not playoff implications wise) is generally not a great thing to do, but I think there is a much bigger gap between these two teams than people seem to realize.

The Saints' defense could be one of the most overrated single units in the league this year. The Falcons absolutely shredded this unit on Sunday; I understand it's Week 1, but giving up 400+ yards and 200+ both through the air and on the ground to a team that has basically no weapons outside of a young tight end is a little bit alarming. The Bucs offense looks better than the 19 points they scored; they looked great moving the ball IMO. I expect them to clean up some things in the red zone/within 30 yards and execute better with Brady and the coaching staff making the right adjustments.

I also don't see the Saints having much success offensively. They looked pretty pathetic for majority of that game against a college-level defense -- seriously, probably the worst defense in the league. Maybe they tweak some things, but honestly I just don't think they are going to be able to establish any rhythm against a pretty stout Tampa Bay defense

I think the narrative about the Saints owning the Bucs is a little overblown. The Bucs aren't owned by the Saints, given that they won the game that actually mattered in the last couple years. Now I know this is a regular season game, but still.... people gotta put that shit aside


49ers -9 -105

Glad this got knocked down below 10, though I would have been willing to lay the 10 tbh. SF's injuries are really the only thing concerning about this to me, but they still should have enough playmakers to win this game comfortably.

Weather is going to obviously be a lot better than in Chicago this past weekend, and this is a nice defense to go against for the 49ers offensive line to get some things figured out. I think this is a bounce back spot for them

Seattle can do a little more damage offensively than I think people realize; when you have a wide receiving duo that can both get theirs in 1on1 matchups then you have a chance to put up points, but I think this is a natural let down spot for them; short week, big win against Wilson. Combine that with a bounce back spot for SF and this seems like an easy 49ers win. Maybe I'm getting hooked though



More later

 

[lemartinsports]

God damn I don’t wanna be on opposite sides again

Chiefs by 2 for me an you

right, when i saw chiefs i was like fuuuk. we got this. chiefs by a fg

 

[stormtrooper8]

right, when i saw chiefs i was like fuuuk. we got this. chiefs by a fg

LFG

 

[stormtrooper8]

Another Sunday one

Packers -10 -110

I hate the Packers, and enjoyed watching them get punked on Sunday in Minneapolis. I also have a soft spot for the Bears given I have a lot of friends who are fans. But head over heart, I think this is a blowout.

Chicago played a gutsy game to pull out that win in the monsoon over a superior team, and they deserve a lot of credit for that. Fields stepped up in the 2nd half and made some plays when his offensive line was getting absolutely demolished all afternoon. But at the end of the day, this team lacks talent and is going on the road against an angry team that has owned them, is better than them, and has a defense that can expose a lot of their weaknesses.

Classic bounce back spot for Regular Season Rodgers to have a nice stat line and right the ship in a way.

 

[lemartinsports]

Another Sunday one

Packers -10 -110

I hate the Packers, and enjoyed watching them get punked on Sunday in Minneapolis. I also have a soft spot for the Bears given I have a lot of friends who are fans. But head over heart, I think this is a blowout.

Chicago played a gutsy game to pull out that win in the monsoon over a superior team, and they deserve a lot of credit for that. Fields stepped up in the 2nd half and made some plays when his offensive line was getting absolutely demolished all afternoon. But at the end of the day, this team lacks talent and is going on the road against an angry team that has owned them, is better than them, and has a defense that can expose a lot of their weaknesses.

Classic bounce back spot for Regular Season Rodgers to have a nice stat line and right the ship in a way.

what talent do the packers have rn though? rodgers has no key weapons. plus this is a new hc for the bears that is going to come hot and ready to shove a fat stick up rodgers ass. i'm waiting for the second half adjustments again cause it was impressive against the niners. this is honestly the first time in a while where i feel like the bears have a chance against gb. i'm not saying theyre superbowl worthy, but i think this game should be closer than most expect. i got bears +10 lmao

 

[stormtrooper8]

what talent do the packers have rn though? rodgers has no key weapons. plus this is a new hc for the bears that is going to come hot and ready to shove a fat stick up rodgers ass. i'm waiting for the second half adjustments again cause it was impressive against the niners. this is honestly the first time in a while where i feel like the bears have a chance against gb. i'm not saying theyre superbowl worthy, but i think this game should be closer than most expect. i got bears +10 lmao

He's still a top QB, their offensive line should be a lot better this week, they have a great backfield with Dillon and Jones, and their defense is pretty loaded -- top 5 in NFL. That's enough for me to beat a bad team at home, whom they own. The receiving corp is a weakness but it's not a liability to the point where I think they can lose this game.

I don't think GB gonna light up the scoreboard or anything that, but I think Chicago is gonna realllllly struggle to put points up here. Packers offense is gonna take time to gel, but it's good enough to beat the Bears by double digits at home. They probably only need to get to 21 or so

Also a bounce back spot for Packers, plus probs a letdown for the Bears unfortunately

We'll see if the books adjusted this year though for the bounce back angle....lot of heavy faves this week for good teams that struggled Week 1

 

[stormtrooper8]

plus this is a new hc for the bears that is going to come hot and ready to shove a fat stick up rodgers ass.

LMAO almost spit out my coffee

In all seriousness though -- y'all will hate Eberflus a little after Halloween I think

 

[lemartinsports]

He's still a top QB, their offensive line should be a lot better this week, they have a great backfield with Dillon and Jones, and their defense is pretty loaded -- top 5 in NFL. That's enough for me to beat a bad team at home, whom they own. The receiving corp is a weakness but it's not a liability to the point where I think they can lose this game.

I don't think GB gonna light up the scoreboard or anything that, but I think Chicago is gonna realllllly struggle to put points up here. Packers offense is gonna take time to gel, but it's good enough to beat the Bears by double digits at home. They probably only need to get to 21 or so

Also a bounce back spot for Packers, plus probs a letdown for the Bears unfortunately

We'll see if the books adjusted this year though for the bounce back angle....lot of heavy faves this week for good teams that struggled Week 1

a loaded defense that allowed 4 sacks in week1!!

i can see your point, i just hope you are wrong

 

[lemartinsports]

LMAO almost spit out my coffee

In all seriousness though -- y'all will hate Eberflus a little after Halloween I think

lmao probably

 

[stormtrooper8]

a loaded defense that allowed 4 sacks in week1!!

i can see your point, i just hope you are wrong

Defenses don't allow sacks my dude

Are you on that ayahuasca?

 

[lemartinsports]

Defenses don't allow sacks my dude

Are you on that ayahuasca?

you know what i ripped

 

[lemartinsports]

my ass smh ignore me

 

[stormtrooper8]

my ass smh ignore me

lol god dammit

 

[stormtrooper8]

These don't count toward the official record as I don't have action on every game, but also going keep track of how I do ATS against the spread for every game this year. Using Wednesday evening Hilton-style contest lines

Last week was 8-8, though unfortunately I decided to place my money on the wrong games

Here is how I see the ATS goin



Also got more action coming up

 

[lemartinsports]

Chiefs dub, chargers cover - love to see it my guy hehe

 

[stormtrooper8]

Chiefs dub, chargers cover - love to see it my guy hehe

WE DID IT BABY