Skip to content

Sports Betting Service Plays/Picks - Sunday 1/18/26

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
79,307

NFL divisional playoff betting trends​


Sunday

Texans at Patriots (-3, 41):
The teams met last season, when Houston won and covered at Gillette Stadium by a 41-21 count. The Texans have won and covered their past five games as underdogs this season. Houston has won 13 of 15 games while going 10-5 ATS since its 0-3 start. The Texans are 0-2 straight up and 1-1 ATS in the divisional round the past two seasons. Houston has a 12-6 under record this season. The Patriots are 14-1 straight up and 12-3 ATS since their 1-2 start. They were on a 5-0 over run before going under in last week’s 16-3 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. Edge: Slight to under and Patriots.

Rams (-4, 48) at Bears: The last meeting between these teams was Sept. 29, 2024, at Soldier Field, when the Bears (-3) won and covered by a 24-18 score. The Rams had covered three straight playoff games before falling short as 10½-point favorites in last week’s 34-31 win over the Carolina Panthers. Los Angeles is on a 9-4 ATS run overall but is 4-4 ATS in its past eight road games. The Rams are on a 7-0 over run. The Bears are on a 7-2 spread surge as underdogs, and they have won six of their past seven home games while going 5-2 ATS. Chicago is on a 6-2 under run at home. Edge: Bears and slight to over.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
79,307

PATRIOTS (-3) over Texans​


“It’s hard to find value with sharp playoff lines, but New England shows value in my model. They get the benefit of home cooking and field the possible MVP in quarterback Drake Maye,” said pro bettor Cris Zeniuk (@lasvegascris). “Experienced coaching will be a benefit versus the very capable Texans, who are faced with key injuries, not to mention some seriously poor play by quarterback C.J. Stroud last week.

“I also like a money line parlay of Seattle and New England for +105.”


Texans (+3½) over PATRIOTS​

“I bet Houston +3½ and still like it at +3 even,” said pro bettor Randy McKay (@RR39), who correctly called the Texans’ win and cover over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. “The Texans defense reminds me of the 2001 Baltimore Ravens. Hopefully quarterback C.J. Stroud doesn’t mess it up like he did versus the Steelers (with three turnovers).

“I believe their offensive line is better than the Patriots’ and will have the offensive success that the Los Angeles Chargers didn’t (in last week’s 16-3 wild-card loss). New England is still a young team, and Houston’s experience will win out.”
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
79,307
Scott Pritchard, PritchardsPicks.com, @pritchardwins

Texans (13-5) at Patriots (15-3)​


Time: Noon Sunday, ABC, ESPN
Line/total: Patriots -3, 41

Analysis: The lopsided matchup that should decide this game is the Patriots’ top-four scoring defense against the Texans’ below-average offense in yards gained. To make matters worse for Houston, it’s expected to be without No. 1 wide receiver Nico Collins (concussion). If Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has a comparable number of interceptions and fumbles (five) as he did in last week’s win in Pittsburgh, the pressure will be too much to bear even for Houston’s top-rated defense as it attempts to contain New England’s top-four passing offense and No. 5 scoring offense. This is the Texans’ third straight year in the divisional round of the playoffs, and it should also be their third straight loss, unless Patriots’ second-year quarterback Drake Maye’s playoff inexperience results in an uncharacteristic meltdown.

Pick: Patriots 27, Texans 17


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rams (13-5) at Bears (12-6)​


Time: 3:30 p.m. Sunday, NBC
Line/total: Rams -4, 48

Analysis: Expect painfully cold single-digit temperatures with the wind chill for this game. Snow in the forecast might be the only thing that can help a bottom-10 Bears defense slow down the NFL’s No. 1 passing and scoring offense. This is exactly the kind of defense Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford delights in facing as he airs it out to wide receivers Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Nacua broke the NFL record for fastest to 250 career receptions and led the league with 129 catches this season. Adams, not to be outdone, led the NFL with in receiving touchdown (14) and red zone touchdowns (12). The Rams’ top-10 scoring defense should provide just enough resistance to a talented Bears offense, which ranks third in rushing, to give Los Angeles an insurmountable lead.

Pick: Rams 34, Bears 17
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
79,307
Gianni the Greek

5% [NFL] (387) Houston Texans at (388) New England Patriots Time: 3:00 PM EST Houston Texans +3.5 (-115)
4% [NFL] (387) Houston Texans at (388) New England Patriots Time: 3:00 PM EST Over 40.5
3% [NFL] PROP PICKS Houston Texans at Patriots: Woody Marks Longest Rush Under 12.5 (-140

4% [NFL] Rams at (394) Chicago Bears: Total Under 49.0
4% [NFL] Los Angeles Rams -3.0
3% [NFL] PROP PICKS Rams - Bears Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Over 59.5 (-11

NFL Post season 5-9 aft Sat
Season NFL 5% picks 6-5
 
Top