Serbia +14 vs US M Olympic BK

[canuckg]

Insurance sucker play theory

 

[stormtrooper8]

Incredible 40 year old LeBron the leader and best overall performer on this team

Durant is nice off the bench lol

 

[stormtrooper8]

Halliburton and Tatum never got on the court.
When you have guys like that who can't get to the court, it’s clearly a one sided tourny.

Roster construction is weird

Tatum kind of an odd man out because they have better options

Haliburton probably shouldn’t be on the team

 

[jjgold]

USA will not lose every game will be more than 10 points

 

[KVB]

USA will not lose every game will be more than 10 points

Yeah, originally I was hoping to see lines high enough to fade them as I felt they could be overrated against other teams with good NBA players, initially undermotivated taking their stacked team for granted, and even slow to gel under the FIBA rules.

But fukking around in the tune up games so LeBronda could step up and win them not only lends to them being properly rated (to the extent the market allows) or under rated in the spreads, but they've already checked themselves before wrecking themselves and it seems even grabbing first half or first quarter dog spread lines carries extra risk.

LIVE lines might show some value down the road, especially early in the first half, but don't expect much out of that.

Let's see if the recent blowout changes the dynamics here, especailly the lines. Hopefully the favorite backers will come stronger now.

For those books that might allow it, one way to approach these situations is to keep a parlay open and filling it with the USA women's and men's basketball juiced up moneylines. You limit your risk and increase your rewards this way.

Then, when the men lose to Canada because Jamal Murray, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and RJ Barrett somehow all go off at the same time, and Durant has a bad night or is injured, you'll know what you did.

But I think it's still a reasonable strategy at books that will allow it.

 

[lapenti]

Tatum hasn't even played

This should tell you why this team is -1000 already.

The 3-4th best player IN THE TOURNAMENT hasn't seen the floor, and Serbia can't get within 20

 

[lapenti]

Yeah, originally I was hoping to see lines high enough to fade them as I felt they could be overrated against other teams with good NBA players, initially undermotivated taking their stacked team for granted, and even slow to gel under the FIBA rules.

But fukking around in the tune up games so LeBronda could step up and win them not only lends to them being properly rated (to the extent the market allows) or under rated in the spreads, but they've already checked themselves before wrecking themselves and it seems even grabbing first half or first quarter dog spread lines carries extra risk.

LIVE lines might show some value down the road, especially early in the first half, but don't expect much out of that.

Let's see if the recent blowout changes the dynamics here, especailly the lines. Hopefully the favorite backers will come stronger now.

For those books that might allow it, one way to approach these situations is to keep a parlay open and filling it with the USA women's and men's basketball juiced up moneylines. You limit your risk and increase your rewards this way.

Then, when the men lose to Canada because Jamal Murray, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and RJ Barrett somehow all go off at the same time, and Durant has a bad night or is injured, you'll know what you did.

But I think it's still a reasonable strategy at books that will allow it.

Open parlay. I'm doing it. Canada is the only real threat, but so was Serbia just 48 hours ago. ON PAPER

 

[KVB]

Open parlay. I'm doing it. Canada is the only real threat, but so was Serbia just 48 hours ago. ON PAPER

Take em all the way to the Gold!!!

 

[lapenti]

Take em all the way to the Gold!!!

And another one.

What do you project U.S. vs Canada spread wise?

-12?

 

[jjgold]

The basketball is so boring both sides

 

[KVB]

And another one.

What do you project U.S. vs Canada spread wise?

-12?

Seems like somewhere betwen 12 and 18 are what the market can stand when a team might be competitive.

Too high or too low and the book gets one sided.

It's Canada, so could be on the lower end of that spread range.

All that said, I see -35.5 for US over Puerto Rico, but I don't think that tells us much.

 

[KVB]

US vs Puerto Rico going to be a tough moneyline to find with a 35.5 point spread.

 

[djefferis]

Canada is supposedly our toughest competition and barely held off a late Spain run today.

There likely is no one beating this team - or getting within 18. Still alot of points to give up on a team that was struggling to win just before the games.