Now Is The Time To Bet The Eagles

[KVB]

Ok, here we go.

Line is going to rise.

We will see 5 so we "should" see 6, but 6 could trigger GB action.

 

[KVB]

Keep those radios on Philly.

Be our man on the ground here.

 

[Brock Landers]

The QB is clearly screwed up

Hasn't played in weeks and all of a sudden is going to practice days before the biggest game of the year and be 100%?

Bullshit

 

[buffalobillie]

erm no, they wont even win

 

[phillyflyers]

We got movement.

ML went from +194 to +198 on GB.

 

[fishhead]

Says who?

Nobody controls the narrative here. This is a civil discussion/debate.

Understand why you might think that, but KVB and myself are simply pointing out facts.

 

[KVB]

We got movement.

ML went from +194 to +198 on GB.

some 5s out there, but 5 isn't very signifacant, nor is coming off of it to 5.5 but coming off of 5.5 or 5 to 6 would be significant.

And likely trigger some GB bets.

 

[phillyflyers]

some 5s out there, but 5 isn't very signifacant, nor is coming off of it to 5.5 but coming off of 5.5 or 5 to 6 would be significant.

And likely trigger some GB bets.

Which is insane.

We know the Eagles are 5 points better on neutral ground.

They are likely double digits better playing at home.

5.5 or 6 triggering GB bets is going to make the books quite happy.

 

[KVB]

Which is insane.

We know the Eagles are 5 points better on neutral ground.

They are likely double digits better playing at home.

5.5 or 6 triggering GB bets is going to make the books quite happy.

That's why I mentioned that the market may be sending GB into contrarian territory.

If they are getting Philly pressure, but keeping that line low, that's not a good sign for Philly.

It likely means the books are taking a position.

Pinny still holding at 4.5 (-110) and that is evidence of what I'm saying.

Again, we, both Fish and I, expect pressure on Philly by Sunday, even though we are saying Hurts is built in.

That line should move and if it doesn't really shift and I can identify that pressure, then we are looking at a position being taken.

Right now, Philly is not on my radar at all, but GB is on several of them.

 

[phillyflyers]

That's why I mentioned that the market may be sending GB into contrarian territory.

If they are getting Philly pressure, but keeping that line low, that's not a good sign for Philly.

It likely means the books are taking a position.

Pinny still holding at 4.5 (-110) and that is evidence of what I'm saying.

Again, we, both Fish and I, expect pressure on Philly by Sunday, even though we are saying Hurts is built in.

That line should move and if it doesn't really shift and I can identify that pressure, then we are looking at a position being taken.

Right now, Philly is not on my radar at all, but GB is on several of them.

See I don't think the books are getting Philly pressure right now.

I think a lot of truly dumb mother fukkers are betting GB liking the 4.5

Why has the ML moved steadily up on GB but the spread not move?

 

[KVB]

Why has the ML moved steadily up on GB but the spread not move?

That has to do with the signifcance of the spread numbers. The difference between 4.5 , 5.5 and 6.

They are two different issues that only become related when stretched.

And often, during the playoffs and super bowls in the NFL, the favorite bettors by the moneyline while the dog bettors take the spread, stretching these ratios.

This is true especially for lines and numbers at these levels.

 

[fishhead]

Lots of Eagle fans betting PSU tonight

 

[phillyflyers]

Lots of Eagle fans betting PSU tonight

Fish, believe it or not, that's because Philly and very especially South Philly is PSU territory and always has been.

An average citizen not from PA, wouldn't have a clue that PSU is a Philly team.

 

[KVB]

Lots of Eagle fans betting PSU tonight

I'm on Penn State +1.5 and Penn St +118.

 

[phillyflyers]

I'm on Penn State +1.5 and Penn St +118.

Wow.

You believe in James Franklin tonight, huh?

 

[fishhead]

Fish, believe it or not, that's because Philly and very especially South Philly is PSU territory and always has been.

An average citizen not from PA, wouldn't have a clue that PSU is a Philly team.

Have many Philly friends

 

[KVB]

Wow.

You believe in James Franklin tonight, huh?

Not just me.

Penn State is now favored.

 

[KVB]

Also, @jjgold posted this...

Nd ML

 

[phillyflyers]

Have many Philly friends

Good for you, Fish.

Philly proud.

 

[fishhead]

Look for COOP to take one to the house Sunday!