My Daily Picks Entry

[Player Prop Savant]

18.8 rebounding percentage.
No Jakob Poetel for Spurs
Playing 30 minutes per game, playing vs McDermott tonight and 10.2 rebounds per game this season.
Pace up spot here.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

- Finisher here, 8 of 9 wins he has won inside the distance
- one of the losses by submission for beggars, much higher level of ground game for ode osbourne
- 4 subs on record 4 KOs for osbourne, see him having striking and grappling advantage.
- Length advantage for osbourne as well, should roll

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Love this spot for Dalvin. Just too low of a line.
⁃ Buy low line after last weeks game. Still 18 carries
⁃ Vegas lines at 2.5 catches and 17.5 juiced for carries
⁃ Last 2 years 13/15 he has hit this with 20 total touches. 46 percent run block advantage for Minnesota
⁃ 4.2 yards per carry allowed for ravens
⁃ First game last game where he had zero receptions in two years

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Great pace up spot two of the top 5 paced teams in the NBA. in the wins for Morant he has hit this number in all but one. nice total at 218 and Ja is coming off a blowout where he only played 29 minutes. Great bounce back spot here!

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Huge pace down spot here for Bama going up against a slower la tech team.
⁃ This only happened against them twice all season (LSU , MSU)
⁃ Lot of talent leaving. Added in lower possessions and tough defense, screams under but especially team total

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ 1/4 in last 4 games but by far the worst defensive team of the bunch. Denver top 3. Minnesota 16th Washington 9.
⁃ Charlotte here is second worst defensive efficiency team in NBA
⁃ Top 2 teams in league in pace and both bottom 3 in defensive efficiency
⁃ Tons of points. Averaging 13.3 shots per game

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Averaging 8.2 on season. Likely no butler
⁃ Bam dinged up prior to last night, close to 40 minutes last night
⁃ 211.5 total , at least 8 rebounds in 8 of the games this season
⁃ Absolutely insane amount of run. On the court over 33 minutes in every game
- Also huge pace down spot, love rebounds in slower paced games

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Jarrett Allen has been a rebounding machine, over 17 percent rebounding rate. Without Lauri M playing, he’s been getting 36 plus minutes. Going back to the well here vs Detroit who is going to be without Kelly Olynyk as well. Stewart being more of a post presence should allow Allen to be in paint more often as well.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Cleared in 4 of last 5, now facing a temple team who are in shambles.
⁃ Temple Allowed this in 3 of last 4
⁃ Tune has thrown 12/0 TD to INT ratio in last 4games and over 1200 yards
⁃ Going to be a blood bath, see this trend continuing

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Atlanta 46 percent run block advantage. -13 pass block. Means quick passes, dump downs
⁃ Still no Ridley last two games without him 11 targets.
⁃ Last 4 weeks 46 rushing attempts. Staying involved in the rushing game.
⁃ Take our week one when blown out by 25+, 5 catches in every game but one
⁃ 12.1 yards per reception. Cleared 100 in 4/6 games

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Getting tons of run, 10 plus rebounds in 3 of last 4 games
⁃ On season averaging 11.3 rebounds on season
⁃ Close spread, low total and bigs who stay down low, love this spot for Sabonis to get this at plus money

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Hit in 7/10. Elite rebounding guard 8.1 boards per game last 6 games.
⁃ Two of top 7 pace teams and getting34+ minutes in every game within 10 points this season.
⁃ 26 percent usage rate this season and averaging 18.4 and 7.8 per game. See a ceiling game from him tonight.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Last true centers vs thunder in non blowouts (Holmes 16/15 32 minutes) Jo Val 25/15 39 minutes. Eubanks 14/11 22 minutes Davis 29/18
⁃ James Robinson earl starting “center” Roby Muscala off bench
⁃ Buy low coming off blowouts. 2.5 point spread. Great center match up

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Love both teams pace, even on road I see the pace and talent of Wyoming being too much for Washington
⁃ Washington has had one of the worst schedules so far this season
⁃ Washington also barely winning over NAU and losing to Northern Illinois
⁃ Wyoming with hunter Maldanado have the best player on floor and have hit this total handedly in both games

 

[Player Prop Savant]

- Hit this in back to back games in competitive matchups
- Close spread here vs the Warriors without Curry and Green
- 33 plus minutes in last 3 games
- 26.3 percent usage rate this season

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Ohio state has Allowed this 4 times on season
Michigan state on season averaging 34.6 points per gameRivalry game, and two mediocre defenses, 69.5 total in game, don’t see Spartans getting blown out.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Now has best rushing advantage on slate 77 percent
⁃ 7 points spread . 4/0 to this number when the 9ers have won
⁃ Deebo Samuel - 18.1 yards per reception
⁃ Kittle 13 YPC, low volume passing game but big plays

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ 2-1-1 to this number so far this season
⁃ Running a top ten efficient offense this season according to ken Pom
⁃ Allowed 80 points to sag valley state and 90 to Michigan state, who runs at a slower pace and efficiency than Iowa
⁃ Iowa bench scoring over 40 percent of team points, so blowout won’t effect points
⁃ Keegan Murray averaging 26 points per game over last 3.
⁃ KC one of the slowest team in country, Iowa dropped 89 on them

 

[Player Prop Savant]

- No SGA, 25 percent usage rate in game without him
- Should have much more ball handling opportunities
- 3/7 games he’s hit 10 rebounds

 

[Player Prop Savant]

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