Monday July 8th-Sunday July 14th MLB

[fredo0130]

11-9 yesterday, hit the big one on rangers, and Braves and Twins had nice comebacks to get some late wins. Funny to see clown trolls across the street still yapping and lying as usual. Yes, I do know the Dodgers 1st base coach, Clayton McCullough, Grew up with him in Chapel Hill NC and went to ECU with him. These clowns have nothing better to do than completely trash that other site with trolling. That's why they lose so much and spend time trolling and lying about winners.

1090-969 YTD/ (548-489 Top plays) Umpire Overs=104-74 Umpire Under=8-6

All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cleveland-135
⭐️Texas-1-128
⭐️Phillies-132
⭐️Tampa/NYY Over 7.5-115
⭐️Arizona+105
⭐️Seattle-126
⭐️Toronto/SF Over 7.5-112
⭐️Baltimore-143
⭐️Houston-1.5+100
⭐️Reds-1-112
⭐️Toronto Blow Jays+115
⭐️Twins-1-120
⭐️Brewers-1-108
Tampa Team Total Over 3.5-110
Cleveland-118 (F5/First 5 innings)
Texas-0.5-115 (F5)
Yanks-123
Houston-0.5-125 (F5)
Nats+122
Royals+105
Oakland+1.5-120 (RL)
Twins-140 (F5)
Milwaukee-139 (F5)
Cleveland/Detroit Over 8.5-115
Seattle/San Dog Over 7.5-115
Chicago/Baltimore Over 8.5-130
LA/Philly Over 8.5-125
Oakland/Boston over 9.5-115
Oakland+165

No umpire info yet, but watching totals of Arizona possible Under, Twins possible under, and royals for a possible Over. These were leans, waiting on umpire for each game to see if it sways anything on the total.

Good luck today Pirate. What does across the street mean

 

[piratealew]

^Thank you! Good luck to you too, amigo!

***1st Umpire Over is Tampa/NYY Over 7.5 with Adam Hamari, who is 12-7 Over on almost 10 runs per game, with a 2.7 SO/BB Ratio and 64% strikes. He has a bigger zone for hitters and this will be key with Rodon and Pepiot pitching, both with control issues. I expect quite a few walks and runs as in 3 prior starts before last he gave up 21 runs in 13 innings (3 starts), with 7 homers in those 3 games and 18 in the season leaves him 3rd in MLB. Pepiot is also a gas can, 0-3 over 5 ERA last 5 starts.

***2nd Umpire Over is LA/Philly Over 8.5 with Derek Thomas who is 9-6 over, on over 9 runs a game and a low 62% strikes and very low 2.11 SO/BB Ratio. He's earned a spot on the hitter friendly umpire list at 4.26 due to his low strike calls every year and most years he's avg 9-10 per game. Wheeler also hasnt been against the Dodgers, 4.72 ERA over 6 starts against the LAD. The last 6 games btw these 2 have gone over. Phillies pitching staff threw a 8.77 ERA and 1.77 WHIP last year in 6 games against the LAD. Dodgers pitchers have given up 5 or more in last 3 road games, and this is contributed to dodgers going over 8 of the last 9 and 3 straight on the road. This should be high scoring.

***3rd Umpire Over is Clev/Det Over 8.5 with Mike Muchlinski who is avg 10.8 runs a game on 64% strikes and a 2.6 SO/BB Ratio. Not sure if they will get this game in with the rain forecasted but Guardians are 7-3 over last 10, avg 4.5 runs per game before being shutout and tigers have been giving up 4.5 runs over last 10 and 5-4 to the over. Maeda is a gas can not worthy of triple A, I expect clev to pound Maeda much like Rangers did to Angels last night.

 

[piratealew]

Good luck today Pirate. What does across the street mean

another forum (Rx) that is a sister of this one but is being phased out, trolls allowed back and nonsense they dont allow here.

 

[fredo0130]

My sportsbook has Dodgers over 9 at -114. Is that still a good bet?

 

[piratealew]

My sportsbook has Dodgers over 9 at -114. Is that still a good bet?

Yeah i had it at 9 at most and bought to 8.5 only in case they 9 to avoid a push but I have them going over 10 so you should be fine. The umpire also makes it more favorable as there will be more balls and walks.

***1 Umpire UNDER is Minnesota/Chicago UNDER 8.5-115 with Rob Drake who is 10-6 UNDER on a tiny 7.6 runs per game with a near 65% strike call and just under 3 SO/BB Ratio its easy to see why he is rated a 4.19 in the pitcher friendly cat by EV Analytics and others. Most years he's btw 7-8 runsm with as low as 6.8 in 2020 in 14 games. Both pitchers have shutdown stuff with Ober having a good track record against CHI, holding a 4-1, 3.6 ERA in 11 starts. He is 3-0, 2.3 ERA his last 4, while Fedde K'd 11 Twinks batters last time.WS only hitting .225 this year so i expect a low scoring game with Drake giving pitchers more K's than avg.

 

[inzane]

Good luck today Pirate, and thanks for your posts and insight.

 

[piratealew]

***2nd Umpire Over is LA/Philly Over 8.5 with Derek Thomas who is 9-6 over, on over 9 runs a game and a low 62% strikes and very low 2.11 SO/BB Ratio. He's earned a spot on the hitter friendly umpire list at 4.26 due to his low strike calls every year and most years he's avg 9-10 per game. Wheeler also hasnt been against the Dodgers, 4.72 ERA over 6 starts against the LAD. The last 6 games btw these 2 have gone over. Phillies pitching staff threw a 8.77 ERA and 1.77 WHIP last year in 6 games against the LAD. Dodgers pitchers have given up 5 or more in last 3 road games, and this is contributed to dodgers going over 8 of the last 9 and 3 straight on the road. This should be high scoring.

^Dodgers/Phillies Over is a top play.

The umpires for these are more neutral.

⭐️Miami/Houston Over 8-115
Pittsburgh/Milwaukee Over 8-115

 

[piratealew]

***4th Umpire Over is Toronto/SF Over with Malachi Moore who is 8-7 over but avg nearly 10 runs per game, with a 63.9% strike call and 2.5 SO/BB Ratio. He's rated 4.24 in the medium hitter friendly category due to lower strike and more walks. Snell is a gas can, having taken ST off, i expected him to struggle and have been fading him all year as he has a ERA above 9 still. He has yet to make it to the 5th inning, and Blue jays should hit him then get into the pen which 21st in MLB. Past Kikuchi the Jays have the2nd to last Bullpen by ERA in MLB so giants should score enough.

 

[bn727]

Hey PA, GL with your plays as always!! I tail quite a few of them.

I saw the other day that you retired from IBM in Marketing and Sales. Although I'm sure I'm older than you, I too retired from IBM as did my Dad!! I was a Business Controls Mgr and Analyst at a branch of HQ in Bethesda, MD. I handled various regions around the country to help B/O's maintain their numbers. I was also chosen to head up the first Internatioanl Business Unit in the late 80's.

Just thought is was pretty cool seeing a fellow IBM'er in here!!

Take care and continued success!!

 

[piratealew]

^Thank you! Good luck to you too, amigo!

***1st Umpire Over is Tampa/NYY Over 7.5 with Adam Hamari, who is 12-7 Over on almost 10 runs per game, with a 2.7 SO/BB Ratio and 64% strikes. He has a bigger zone for hitters and this will be key with Rodon and Pepiot pitching, both with control issues. I expect quite a few walks and runs as in 3 prior starts before last he gave up 21 runs in 13 innings (3 starts), with 7 homers in those 3 games and 18 in the season leaves him 3rd in MLB. Pepiot is also a gas can, 0-3 over 5 ERA last 5 starts.

***2nd Umpire Over is LA/Philly Over 8.5 with Derek Thomas who is 9-6 over, on over 9 runs a game and a low 62% strikes and very low 2.11 SO/BB Ratio. He's earned a spot on the hitter friendly umpire list at 4.26 due to his low strike calls every year and most years he's avg 9-10 per game. Wheeler also hasnt been against the Dodgers, 4.72 ERA over 6 starts against the LAD. The last 6 games btw these 2 have gone over. Phillies pitching staff threw a 8.77 ERA and 1.77 WHIP last year in 6 games against the LAD. Dodgers pitchers have given up 5 or more in last 3 road games, and this is contributed to dodgers going over 8 of the last 9 and 3 straight on the road. This should be high scoring.

***3rd Umpire Over is Clev/Det Over 8.5 with Mike Muchlinski who is avg 10.8 runs a game on 64% strikes and a 2.6 SO/BB Ratio. Not sure if they will get this game in with the rain forecasted but Guardians are 7-3 over last 10, avg 4.5 runs per game before being shutout and tigers have been giving up 4.5 runs over last 10 and 5-4 to the over. Maeda is a gas can not worthy of triple A, I expect clev to pound Maeda much like Rangers did to Angels last night.

The bottom 2 were too easy as predicted. Yanks over just needs a few more. Looking like a real good day if Clev and Phils hang on. 5-0 So far, and 2-0 Euro this afternoon.

 

[piratealew]

Hey PA, GL with your plays as always!! I tail quite a few of them.

I saw the other day that you retired from IBM in Marketing and Sales. Although I'm sure I'm older than you, I too retired from IBM as did my Dad!! I was a Business Controls Mgr and Analyst at a branch of HQ in Bethesda, MD. I handled various regions around the country to help B/O's maintain their numbers. I was also chosen to head up the first Internatioanl Business Unit in the late 80's.

Just thought is was pretty cool seeing a fellow IBM'er in here!!

Take care and continued success!!

That's awesome! Glad to meet you. I actually joined a startup post IBM and briefly at Oracle and another data analytics firm before retiring last year. I was in FOPM/Financial Operations Performance Management and briefly a Bus Unit director while our dept shifted btw the Cognos team and Watson/AI. My team was the Mid-Atlantic but my travels took me all over to the various client offices. I learned a lot being a Big Blue guy and met a lot of great folks; the top gun school and advanced classes were top notch for sales.

 

[piratealew]

3-0 Umpire overs today with yankees total cashing. 1 more to go....Clev gives up a 6-0 lead now 7-7 in the 9th, they're set up to lose that one.

Believe this one goes over too. but i'll play the TT over.

Rangers Team total over 4.5-125

 

[piratealew]

^Thank you! Good luck to you too, amigo!

***1st Umpire Over is Tampa/NYY Over 7.5 with Adam Hamari, who is 12-7 Over on almost 10 runs per game, with a 2.7 SO/BB Ratio and 64% strikes. He has a bigger zone for hitters and this will be key with Rodon and Pepiot pitching, both with control issues. I expect quite a few walks and runs as in 3 prior starts before last he gave up 21 runs in 13 innings (3 starts), with 7 homers in those 3 games and 18 in the season leaves him 3rd in MLB. Pepiot is also a gas can, 0-3 over 5 ERA last 5 starts.

***2nd Umpire Over is LA/Philly Over 8.5 with Derek Thomas who is 9-6 over, on over 9 runs a game and a low 62% strikes and very low 2.11 SO/BB Ratio. He's earned a spot on the hitter friendly umpire list at 4.26 due to his low strike calls every year and most years he's avg 9-10 per game. Wheeler also hasnt been against the Dodgers, 4.72 ERA over 6 starts against the LAD. The last 6 games btw these 2 have gone over. Phillies pitching staff threw a 8.77 ERA and 1.77 WHIP last year in 6 games against the LAD. Dodgers pitchers have given up 5 or more in last 3 road games, and this is contributed to dodgers going over 8 of the last 9 and 3 straight on the road. This should be high scoring.

***3rd Umpire Over is Clev/Det Over 8.5 with Mike Muchlinski who is avg 10.8 runs a game on 64% strikes and a 2.6 SO/BB Ratio. Not sure if they will get this game in with the rain forecasted but Guardians are 7-3 over last 10, avg 4.5 runs per game before being shutout and tigers have been giving up 4.5 runs over last 10 and 5-4 to the over. Maeda is a gas can not worthy of triple A, I expect clev to pound Maeda much like Rangers did to Angels last night.

Too easy tonight. If rangers hang on and win that's top 3 cashed easy again. 3 big MLB nights.

Funny i see the same low life haters still yapping, even woody paige over there (former steeler player) told them they're are little b%#$#$ and to just post their plays. but guess what folks? they dont have plays cause they cant Handicap so they spend hours hating on winners.

They are really going to hate the results tonight again. always waiting for one bad day to pop in. Pure comedy with their BS and lies across the street-but thats why that site is going downhill and losing traffic.

-Hope all the good people cashed in tonight. Totals were too easy again.

 

[fredo0130]

Too easy tonight. If rangers hang on and win that's top 3 cashed easy again. 3 big MLB nights.

Funny i see the same low life haters still yapping, even woody paige over there (former steeler player) told them they're are little b%#$#$ and to just post their plays. but guess what folks? they dont have plays cause they cant Handicap so they spend hours hating on winners.

They are really going to hate the results tonight again. always waiting for one bad day to pop in. Pure comedy with their BS and lies across the street-but thats why that site is going downhill and losing traffic.

-Hope all the good people cashed in tonight. Totals were too easy again.

What site

 

[fredo0130]

Nice cash on Guardians

 

[piratealew]

What site

Rx/ guy over there Jonnyvegas is really DocHoliday, he's talking to himself all day long. He was banned under his johnnyvegas, mrrecord and Doc aliases and has others but the new mod let him back with his multiple personality disorder, as @G-Man! and others who came over from there . He denies he was banned but all the mods know it including the former head mod. He accuses others of everything for which he is guilty. Typical sleezeball internet troll. He even came over here yesterday in my thread with 2 more ghost aliases and got banned, he did it Gman and another as well.

 

[piratealew]

Rx/ guy over there Jonnyvegas is really DocHoliday, he's talking to himself all day long. He was banned under his johnnyvegas, mrrecord and Doc aliases and has others but the new mod let him back with his multiple personality disorder, as @G-Man! and others who came over from there . He denies he was banned but all the mods know it including the former head mod. He accuses others of everything for which he is guilty. Typical sleezeball internet troll. He even came over here yesterday in my thread with 2 more ghost aliases and got banned, he did it Gman and another as well.

Best yet, they're now accusing that @grngbln1771 that asked me a question about players wear and tear, trying to say that alias is me asking myself a question. Too funny, from the same clown over there with 500 aliases talking to himself. I'm sure gmbln1771 will find that funny. everything they say is full of $hit.

 

[piratealew]

3-0 Umpire overs today with yankees total cashing. 1 more to go....Clev gives up a 6-0 lead now 7-7 in the 9th, they're set up to lose that one.

Believe this one goes over too. but i'll play the TT over.

Rangers Team total over 4.5-125

Finally woke back up in the 8th. knew the over was good one this one and the game, hope u guys cashed. totals got real hot again

 

[piratealew]

Awesome day yesterday cashing the top 3 plays with a push on rangers. 4-0 in soccer, EURO and COPA. 3-1 Umpire Overs with giants total missing by a run. 15-12 overall. Lets see how Doc and the trolls spin all this over in the trash across the blvd. @G-Man!

 

[inzane]

Keep cashing those tickets Pirate!!!