Monday July 1-Sunday July 7 MLB

[piratealew]

Phillies+101 (F5)
Mets-129 (F5)

 

[piratealew]

Blow Jays+108

this is a top play.

 

[inzane]

The A's explode for 9 early.

Just took the Birds +8* -114...

 

[inzane]

The A's explode for 9 early.

Just took the Birds +8* -114...

Shoulda' knew better...

 

[piratealew]

The A's explode for 9 early.

Just took the Birds +8* -114...

Backwards day in MLB, even Houston got rocked with Brown who had held last 2 scoreless and game before just 1 run, Lynn got rocked by the nats, a team he usually owns. and of course the O's get rocked by the 2nd worst team A's.

San Diego ML above also a top play.
(HP Ump Bill Miller is also a homer, home faves tend to get favorable calls)

 

[piratealew]

⭐️Padres/Dbacks Over 3.5-130 (F5/First 5 innings)

 

[fireballs]

The A's explode for 9 early.

Just took the Birds +8* -114...

Reminds me of bye bye birdie

 

[piratealew]

Outside of the mets and the many overs, not as much went our way. And of course the Padres would lose in the 10th after the comeback. Sums up Saturday. Soccer was great until the Uruguay game.

1057-949 YTD/ (532-479 Top plays) Umpire Overs=99-71 Umpire Under=7-5

All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Texas-128
⭐️Braves-1-115
⭐️Tigers-133 (Full game)
⭐️Angels+130
⭐️Baltimore-1-140
⭐️Twins-119
⭐️Mets-125
⭐️Dodgers-1-105
⭐️Baltimore/Oakland Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over)
⭐️Mariners-1-102 (Full game-RL)
⭐️Nats+114
⭐️Padres-150
⭐️Red Sox+0.5-115 (F5)
⭐️Mets/Pirates Over 8.5-130 (Umpire over)
Twins/Astros Over 8.5-120
Cleveland-126
Royals-148
Dodgers-150 (F5)
Baltimore-0.5-112 (F5)
Atlanta-0.5-120 (F5)
White Sox+125
Blow Jays/Mariners Over 7-120 (Umpire Over)
Clev/San Fran Over 8.5-120
Angels/Cubs Over 9-115
Tigers-135 (F5)
Boston+1.5-146 (Full game)
Milwaukee/LAD Over 9-130
Nats/Cards OVER 8.5-130 (Umpire Over)
Atlanta/Philly UNDER 9-125 (Umpire Under)
Tampa/Texas UNDER 8-128 (Umpire Under)

***1st Umpire OVER Baltimore/Oakland OVER 7.5 with Mark Ripperger who is 12-8 over
on almost 10 runs a game and a 2.4 SO/BB ratio with 64% strikes. His last 4 years have seen an avg of about 9 runs or more each year with the 3 years prior hitting 10-11 runs per game. He has been rated as a hitter friendly ump in the medium category of 4.25 just below a run rainmaker Andy Fletcher. This game should fly past the over like yesterday with more production from Balty as they are leading MLB in slug, and have hit 142 homers this year. Spence holds a 4.15 ERA , and 61:17 K:BB over 73 innings so i would expect O's elite offense to get some today, as they are avg 7 runs per game and over 10 hits last 10 games.

***2nd Umpire OVER Is Mets/Pirates Over 8.5 with Nick Mahrley who is 11-5 Over this year on over 10 runs, a 2.5 SO/BB Ratio and 63% strikes. In L10 games Mets are 7-2-1 over, while Ortiz has a 6.75 ERA against NL East foes in 6 games as a reliever this year. The Pirates have gone over 5 of the last 7 against the Mets.

***3rd Umpire Over is Toronto/Seattle OVER 7 with Jordan Baker who is avg 9.53 runs and is 9-7 over on 63% strikes and a 2.6 SO/BB Ratio. Last year he was 18-8 over on almost 11 runs so he's been an overs ump for years.

***4th Umpire Over is Nats/Cards Over 8.5 with Clnt Vondrak who's 11-5 Over this year on a staggering 11 runs per game. He also has a high run impact of 1.6 runs per game. The over has cashed 7 of last 9 for cardinals and 10 of last 15 with the nats, but last 2 games have gone well over (Combining for 33 runs over 2 games) with plenty of fireworks which should continue today with the way the offenses are hitting. Vondrak will surely aid the humid sticky day in DC which will also help the ball fly out like yesterday.


****1st Umpire UNDER is Atlanta/Philly UNDER 9 with Mike Estabrook whose games are 10-6 under on a paltry 7.6 runs per game thanks to his high almost 67% strike call and 4.05 SO/BB Ratio. He's rated the 3rd most pitcher friendly ump tid with Miller and Eddings. The braves are an under team this year hitting 7 of their last 9 (and 14 of last 18) and with Lopez pitching at 6-2 with a 1.8 ERA i expect he and the pen to be able to hold Philly at bay.

***2nd Umpire UNDER is Tampa/Texas UNDER 8 with Junior Valentine who is 11-5 UNDER on an abysmal 7.4 Runs per game with over 64% strikes and a near 3 SO/BB Ratio. Last year he was 18-15 under but 2022 was his avg year of 7.7 runs and 21-12 Under. 6 of the last 7 games btw these 2 have gone under. Tampa has struggled at the plate recently posting a season low .219 BA and slug only .316 last 7 games against rangers on the road. Rays rank 25th in slug and 22nd in OPS and scored 2 or less in 2 of last 3 games, meanwhile Littell has a 2.31 ERA in 11.2 innings against the rangers so i expect runs to be a premium on both sides.

 

[jjgold]

I think we’re gonna get to a point now. The balls are flying out more. It’s hotter outside.

 

[piratealew]

I think we’re gonna get to a point now. The balls are flying out more. It’s hotter outside.

agree the overs have been real good lately. Humidity is up as well which helps, although the humidor is supposed to even it out (i think someone jacks with the settings HA!)

***5th Umpire Over is Angels/Cubs Over 9 with Lance Barksdale who rates at 4.28, a hitter friendly ump tied with Porter and Carlson, just below Marquez and Moscoso due to his low strike call and higher walks as this year his games are 11-8 over on 9 runs but a very low 2.05 SO/BB Ratio, and 62% strikes so he's walking more, and striking out less which typically leads to more runs. Most years he's around 10 runs per year and a below 3 SO/BB Ratio. With 60%+ Humidity and a 5-10 mph wind out to Left, this should aid the total, as the cubs are 4-2 Over last 6 games and I see that on track today with Wisneski and his +4 ERA pitching-I see the angels racking up runs early (he gave up 5 last start and 3 each in 2 prior starts in 5 innings), While Soriano gave up 4 to the A's last start in 4IP.

 

[inzane]

Good luck today Pirate, time for a killer day!!!

 

[piratealew]

How is possible to make $ with 30 + game's? You must have a six figure bankroll to support this kind of action, especially with the season going south. Honest question how much would a person need in their account to start and bet like you? Another question if I had 10 outs would I need 10 times the starting bankroll to get the action down. Example would be if I had $20,000 in one book then I would need $200,000 to cover my other outs.

Welcome to BMR-You must be new. Thank you for your concern on my bankroll and accounts, I did ok for myself as a VP of sales and Managing director/Sales at IBM etc with a nice 6 figure++ salary (and commissions/bonuses, etc) over the years, retired early 40's to take care of wife after cancer (Thyroid and Lymph) came back a few months after giving birth to our daughter in January last year. I've been doing this and posting the games this way for over a year in 6 sports. I have a lot action but win more than I lose, most of the time. 26 years ago I started with 1K in college and built it to 10K by my sophomore year.

I was betting just about as much action but a lot less on each pick as I built my bankroll. Years later, i am still learning but Its all about balancing and timing, much like the stock market, I dont invest the same amount flat across all the bets, as it says at the top, the bets are ordered top to bottom with the very top being my largest bets.

Good luck to you and hope you win.

 

[piratealew]

So I will assume that right now between all your accounts you have at least a 6 figure number to support this action? Correct?

Do you work for the IRS?

 

[fireballs]

No. Just trying to figure it out. Do you have $100 units, or are they $5 dollar units? At $5 dollar units you could fund these 10 accounts easily. At $100 a unit that's when the 6 figure comes in play. Right?

 

[piratealew]

I use $100 units (I have acquaintances & friends from my years in Vegas who start with 1K units+, one you may have heard of Billy Walters) but many I know following have bankrolls that vary, some in the hundreds, some with thousands, over 100 in our telegram group all killing it this year as @JDS knows. We have all types of gamblers- Some chose to just play top plays, while others play them all or those they are interested in. You dont need a 100K or even 10K to start, like when I did years ago in my dorm room between summer football workouts and classes; build up the roll incrementally. Its a marathon, not a race, if you remember that every day and dont chase, you will see your roll gradually rise.

 

[piratealew]

Interesting tidbits about the total and why: Over is 12-3 last 15 for padres, and 10 straight at home while 5 of the last 5 for the Dbacks, and the last 5 between these 2 have gone over. Nelson (5.42 ERA) just got shelled for 6 runs across 3 last start and is terrible against Padres hitters. He was hit for 5 runs in 3IP last start in June against the Chaplains, and a combined 10 runs over 2 prior starts. Cease (4.24 era) doesnt fare much better, having given up 6 in 3 IP to Texas, and 4 in 4 IP against Brewers the start before last. Regardless of umpiring, this game should go over again. Also 75% humidity and a 10 MPH wind to center should help.

⭐️Padres/Dbacks Over 8-115

 

[piratealew]

Royals-0.5-114

 

[piratealew]

Royals-0.5-114

Should be F5.

 

[piratealew]

Boston/NY Yanks Over 8-130

 

[piratealew]

Great afternoon 10-1 early action with rangers up 11-2.