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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
11-4 Last 3 days (6-1 Top plays)....1-3 Wed, 1-1 Split top plays, Mets didnt show but we got the over, thank you LAD....One guy incorrectly said "you only play overs or faves." actually false, play quite a few unders.....but why would you play unders just to play them when Overs are cashing big in the playoffs? Or just play dogs to play them? Faves won again like dodgers last night (and i took the dog,and the fave won).....some people dont make sense..You cap the game and make picks based on the matchup and any perceived edge, the + or - doesnt matter as much as long as you find the value and winning play (Ex if - is too much juice, pick the -1, -1.5, or F5 etc)..If the play wins, that's all you should care about. I make picks based on the matchup/edge and worry about the + or - later.

⭐️Dodgers-130
⭐️Yankees-114
⭐️Doyers/Mutts Over 7-125
Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-120
Yanks/Guardians Over 7-120
Dodgers F5-131


Dodgers tearing the cover off the ball of late, while Yanks are starting to catch their stride offensively. As I said before last round, some teams/series are runs/overs producers like SD+LAD and Phils+Mets from last round. This dodgers/Mets series is shaping up to be just like the last round in NL. Yoda man shut down the hot padres last week in warm SoCal; I dont see the mets finding much success tonight in pitcher friendly weather and about 30 degrees+ cooler. Now let's see how wrong I am tonight...
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
Great night, thank you dodgers cashing the POD, even with the debacle with yanks blowing it twice on 2 out homers. 5-1 tonight as Bet365 up 5 auto win and cashed out the other bet on rivers for 99.9%.

⭐️Dodgers-130-W (auto win BET365 Up 5)
⭐️Yankees-114-L (blew it on a 2 out homer)
⭐️Doyers/Mutts Over 7-125-W
Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-120-W
Yanks/Guardians Over 7-120-W
Dodgers F5-131-W
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
5-1 last night, 16-5 Run last 4 days. Dout i can repeat again but we grind on...

⭐️Dodgers-126
⭐️Clev/NY Over 7.5-112
⭐️Dodgers/Mutts Over 7-135
⭐️Clev+1-120 (Yanks fan going against my team, expect a close game, insured if its a 1 run loss)
Dodgers-135 (F5)
Cleveland Team Total Over 3.5-105
Clev/NYY Over 4-115 (F5)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
Another winning day, thanks to all the overs, love riding overs when they are hot and tonight we have another great matchup and a favorable ump....kind of what i suspected the other day before clev got lucky, most of the guards team just isnt ready for the deep playoffs, they are cracking, like Clase. Yanks wrap this up, much better team over-all, and they want the rest advantage over the dodgers who have to play another game Sunday at least.

⭐️Yankees-116
⭐️Yankees/Guards Over 7-134 (Umpire Over-Visconti-19-11 Over/9.3 Runs)
Yanks Team Total Over 3.5-120
Yankees-111 (F5)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
Thank you Soto and yankees, clearly the better team who wanted it more. someone said to me, they thought yanks just wanted to win back in NY, i said they were crazy, yanks wanted to win this bad and get a day extra rest. What a game! GO Yanks! 22-9 MLB Run last 6 days
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
22-9 last 5 days.....hope the Luck continues our way...LA is just the better team and wants to wrap this up tonight. Mannea is good but dodgers can and will hit this guy, while he only surrendered 2 in 5 IP last time, i expect more production early from the Dodgers. Good hitters make adjustments, we've seen that already with the dodgers in this series and with the yankees. Dodgers make the adjustments and should hit him early trying to force the pen issue early. Dodgers can pound their pen and the Mets know that.

⭐️Dodgers-137
⭐️Dodgers/Mutts Over 8-120
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
I will continue to say it, Boone continues to cost the yankees more games than he wins them by his decisions. bringing in Cortez after almost 40 days off, then walking bases loaded was a bush league move that i said when he did it, was going to backfire big time and it did. At least the over cashed splitting the top plays and leaving yanks with a sour taste.

Still looking at a side for the game, another game almost a coin toss with a slight advantage to dodgers at home with Yamamota (going F5 with Dodgers), easily could be decided on last pitch or last inning...

⭐️Yankees/Dodgers Over 8.5-115
⭐️Dodgers-137 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-105
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
Fletcher was a reserve ump but something happened with fairchild so he is ump game 2. expect runs!

⭐️Yankees/Dodgers Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Fletcher-12 runs/25-8 Over/2nd best Runs&Overs ump in MLB)
1729921167736.png
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
I will continue to say it, Boone continues to cost the yankees more games than he wins them by his decisions. bringing in Cortez after almost 40 days off, then walking bases loaded was a bush league move that i said when he did it, was going to backfire big time and it did. At least the over cashed splitting the top plays and leaving yanks with a sour taste.

Still looking at a side for the game, another game almost a coin toss with a slight advantage to dodgers at home with Yamamota (going F5 with Dodgers), easily could be decided on last pitch or last inning...

⭐️Yankees/Dodgers Over 8.5-115
⭐️Dodgers-137 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-105

playing yanks for the game...expect a back and forth game, with yanks pulling it out at the end....

⭐️Yankees+1-130 (Full-game)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
The + money does look enticing with the Dodgers given how G1 and 2 went but digging in, Yanks have a much bigger advantage this game in pitching at home as Buehler has been a disaster on the road this year, with a 6.53 ERA and .293 batting average allowed. Yanks should be able to hit him tomorrow and capture at least 1 game, dodgers know they just really have to win 1 in the bronx. Ohtani cant be near 100% despite him playing, Yanks should jump on Dodgers early and try to gain the momentum. Regardless, Dodgers should score their runs and get above their average. 6 straight games they've scored more than 4 runs, i see this as a 7-5 type yankees win.

⭐️Yankees-135 (Full-game)
⭐️Yankees-137 (F5)
⭐️Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-125
Yanks/Dodgers Over 8-120
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
Yanks fell apart at the worst time, good news is Dodgers are starting a rookie. if yanks can't hit this rookie and force a game 5, this could carry into next year.

⭐️Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-125
⭐️Yankees-138 (F5)

Still weighing a play on full game side, yanks arent playing to their norm or statisical averages, nor close, maybe they get right for this one game. who knows.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
⭐️Yankees/Doyers over 8-127
LA Doyers+1-130 (Full-Game)

Last time Gil Pitched against the Dodgers it was 6-4 yankees, dodgers still get their 4+ runs , but keep it close in the end. Would love to see 1 yankees win but not holding my breath for much, however the first half of the game should be the time yankees see some production.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
There we go, this is what yanks shoulda done last night. at least 3 top plays cashed all before end of 5th. now i can relax

⭐️Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-125-W
⭐️Yankees-138 (F5)-W
⭐️Yankees/Doyers over 8-127-W
LA Doyers+1-130 (Full-Game)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,110
MLB =2376-2066 YTD/ (1189-1042 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=254-181 Umpire Under=23-19

3-1, crushing all 3 top plays

⭐️Yankees/Dodgers OVER 8-115 (Ump Over-Ripperger-22-11 Over, 9.79 Runs. 2.5 SO/BB ratio)
⭐️Yankees-136
⭐️Yankees-140 (F5)
Yankees/DodgersOver 4.5
 
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