KC -1 my playoff game of a lifetime over BILLS

[sunshine11]

yes

I hate Buffalo. Easy KC

 

[sunshine11]

We just need to know the Lang pick

No worries. I will have it ASAP

 

[mralar16]

What I do like here, beside KC ML, is kicking points over for whoever kicks it for KC

Spencer Shrader scored 12 points vs Carolina (3/3 FG)
Matthew Wright scored 13 points vs LV (4/5 FG)
Matthew Wright scored 12 points vs LAC (4/4 FG)
Harrison Butker scored 3 points vs Cleveland (0/1 FG) - total ass kicking
Harrison Butker scored 9 points vs Houston (2/2 FG)
Harrison Butker scored 5 points vs Pittsburgh (1/1 FG) - total ass kicking
Harrison Butker scored 11 points vs Houston last week (3/3 FG)

This last game was very characteristic:
- first drive - ball on HOU 14, Butker 32 yard field goal is good
- second drive - ball on HOU 18, Butker 36 yard field goal is good

Out of 19 FG attempts above, 50% were 31-yarders or shorter. These are basically XPs for the vast majority of pro kickers not named Jake Elliott.

So... unless this game is a total ass kicking, KC kicker should have at least 3-4 chances for a FG, including ultra short ones, because Andy Reid won't go for it on 4th down and 5 on 20 yard line (like Kliff Kingsbury would) and will let Butker score 3 instead.

I highly recommend making your own line for kicking points, and then looking at what your book offers.

I would then highly recommend betting that over.

 

[fishhead]

WESTGATE

BUF +2 -105
KC -2 -105

 

[stormtrooper8]

What I do like here, beside KC ML, is kicking points over for whoever kicks it for KC

Spencer Shrader scored 12 points vs Carolina (3/3 FG)
Matthew Wright scored 13 points vs LV (4/5 FG)
Matthew Wright scored 12 points vs LAC (4/4 FG)
Harrison Butker scored 3 points vs Cleveland (0/1 FG) - total ass kicking
Harrison Butker scored 9 points vs Houston (2/2 FG)
Harrison Butker scored 5 points vs Pittsburgh (1/1 FG) - total ass kicking
Harrison Butker scored 11 points vs Houston last week (3/3 FG)

This last game was very characteristic:
- first drive - ball on HOU 14, Butker 32 yard field goal is good
- second drive - ball on HOU 18, Butker 36 yard field goal is good

Out of 19 FG attempts above, 50% were 31-yarders or shorter. These are basically XPs for the vast majority of pro kickers not named Jake Elliott.

So... unless this game is a total ass kicking, KC kicker should have at least 3-4 chances for a FG, including ultra short ones, because Andy Reid won't go for it on 4th down and 5 on 20 yard line (like Kliff Kingsbury would) and will let Butker score 3 instead.

I highly recommend making your own line for kicking points, and then looking at what your book offers.

I would then highly recommend betting that over.

Was thinking Butker most points as kicker just last night

Great analysis

 

[stormtrooper8]

WESTGATE

BUF +2 -105
KC -2 -105

Not into Pros vs Joes analysis in general

But if anything that’s a good sign for KC backers

 

[sunshine11]

Bye 10,000



The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Line: The current line is -2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 6:30 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Note: At this price you play as is. If this line should move to anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2, buy the half-point down on the

 

[Tanko]

Bye 10,000



The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Line: The current line is -2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 6:30 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Note: At this price you play as is. If this line should move to anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2, buy the half-point down on the

So this is supposedly Lang's pick?

 

[sunshine11]

It is.

 

[fishhead]

Bye 10,000



The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Line: The current line is -2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 6:30 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Note: At this price you play as is. If this line should move to anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2, buy the half-point down on the

Is this guy playing with half a deck?

 

[bigdaniil445]

I like -7.5 alt for the chiefs.

#threepeat

 

[stormtrooper8]

I like -7.5 alt for the chiefs.

#threepeat

I don’t have a lot of faith in it, but I did bet this as well. Worth it just for value’s sake

Have futures as well

Good luck

 

[Reload]

It is.

Yikes

 

[Reload]

Is this guy playing with half a deck?

The buying half point stuff makes no sense. If the line has moved that much, it’s got to be a pass!

 

[stormtrooper8]

Bye 10,000



The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Line: The current line is -2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 6:30 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Note: At this price you play as is. If this line should move to anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2, buy the half-point down on the

Oh shit

Congrats to the Bills

 

[fishhead]

THANK GOD YOURE WELL INSURED RELOADER

 

[stormtrooper8]

We have two mushing forces going head-to-head today

Something's gotta give

 

[qurious$]

Daniels playing 3rd down like 90% QBs play 2nd down. Unbelievable.

 

[qurious$]

5/8 for 28 yards

I did NOT bet enough on Over 21.5 completions at EVEN money

 

[KVB]

WESTGATE

BUF +2 -105
KC -2 -105

This line might close a pick em.