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KC -1 my playoff game of a lifetime over BILLS

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,579
Lots of Friday night Vegas drunks/tourists throwing money down next 9 hours

BE ALERT
----------------

I loved working FRI/SAT nights as a bookmaker in vegas.

It's Saturday, but nevermind that I think that's just a typo.

I came to say athat this^^ alert, while still very valid, is a day old. The real time to capitalize in volume has and is happening now...

It's the NFL Conference championship weekend. Do you know how much money, and dumb money at that, is coming into the markets? So much that it overflows and affects other sports, creating some of the best inefficiencies we will get in major sports over the entire year.

I'm talking about the Saturday college basketball rotation before the NFL Conference championships and even better, the Saturday before the Super Bowl.

Can you pick up what I'm putting down?
 

mralar16

mralar16

Joined
Sep 13, 2022
Messages
1,007
GL Fish.
I think its going to be close.
Took a teaser on Bills/Eagles +7.5/pk to try and play it safe.
KC hasn't done anything on offense as of late. It's been playground ball, Mahomes to Kelce (the unstoppable stuff, but not really scripted).

IMHO it's possible that Reid has some good plays cooked up, but not used yet, that he'll a) use if KC falls behind and b) won't use if KC is up 10-14 most of the game.

I don't like this Bills teaser. Mahomes with a lot of weapons against a defense than allows opponents to reach end zone on 40% of offensive drives (that's the BIlls) just hoping that said opponents turn the ball over. Is it likely Bills get even one turnover, let alone 3 that they needed to advance past Ravens?

Yes, the last time KC played BUF, Mahomes had 2 interceptions:
a) second play of the game, deep pass picked by a guy who's not playing tonight (Rapp)
b) last gasp attempt down 9 late in 4th quarter that was meaningless - throwing ball away made no sense in that situation

However, in 7 games after that, this Chiefs offense has 0 int, 0 fumbles lost. Obviously, I'm discounting the Wentz game where Andy Reid's mind was on cooking up plays for THIS game tonight, and on Hawkins House of Burgers.

Mahomes in those 7 games:
12 touchdowns, 0 INT, 17 sacks taken
 
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