JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!
- Thread starter KVB
- Start date
Not liking what I'm seeing here. These Kansas contracts are increasingly more suspect.
That said, I do think Kansas will surge and I may get a chance to profit. The problem is that it takes quite a surge, or a closer game late, for the market to begin to doubt a team like Zona.
So, again, day after Super Bowl Saturday, can feel rough and you can see NCST/L'ville just trying to rub it in.
But we will not be deterred. I don't lose many on the exchanges and few losses of an entire position, but sometimes we have to take losses to get back to those wins.
Likely a tough market for a bit until we get into the run up to the conference tourneys, the confernece tourneys, and then the Madness.
Like Super Bowl Saturday, can't wait for the NCAAB post season.
That said, I do think Kansas will surge and I may get a chance to profit. The problem is that it takes quite a surge, or a closer game late, for the market to begin to doubt a team like Zona.
So, again, day after Super Bowl Saturday, can feel rough and you can see NCST/L'ville just trying to rub it in.
But we will not be deterred. I don't lose many on the exchanges and few losses of an entire position, but sometimes we have to take losses to get back to those wins.
Likely a tough market for a bit until we get into the run up to the conference tourneys, the confernece tourneys, and then the Madness.
Like Super Bowl Saturday, can't wait for the NCAAB post season.
Had orders in all day and finally filled with Kansas ML at .40 cents.
Late money on Zona, and do agree with it as the market is blinking seriously Still gaming out the Kansas surge but I really don't like how things are developing here. If it weren't a light Monday, I would be exiting the market and sitting on the sidelines.
But these amounts are worth it to stay engaged. Let's experience the natural pull back, if that's what this is.
Shit, oregon might win this game.
An Indiana surge and I'll get out. Good thing even the beginning of a move will get mad respect in the market and I should be able to get something good for the contracts.
Like I said earlier, if this were a higher volume day, as far as contracts, I'd likely already be on the sidelines and might not have even picked up some of these more aggressive positions.
An Indiana surge and I'll get out. Good thing even the beginning of a move will get mad respect in the market and I should be able to get something good for the contracts.
Like I said earlier, if this were a higher volume day, as far as contracts, I'd likely already be on the sidelines and might not have even picked up some of these more aggressive positions.
Yeah, all the sudden the tide is turning in the portfolio. Indiana surging and Kansas doing there thing at home.
Holding my Indiana spreads and Kansas spread and ml for now.
bigbill365
- Joined
- Oct 18, 2025
- Messages
- 250
Did you have any info on Peterson being out? That would have been nice to know beforehand.
Can sell the spread for .31 and ml for .27 at market.
Thinking of trimming the exposure and selling some or all of these.
I won't for now, but I get this feeling this was the moment to do it.
"I don't really want to move on feeling; intuition yes, but just a feeling, no. How do we know the difference? Sometimes we simply don't."
---KVB
Of course. He has the flu, or something like it.
A top ten matchup like this moved from -2.5 to -5.5 suddenly. Of course I knew why.
Everyone in the world knew he was out beforehand.
It really isn't relevant to this thread as it doesn't change my trading plan at all.
Be aware, I never really liked Kansas here to fruition. In fact not even sure I liked them at game start. I'm just looking for a surge and if the amounts were more, as I said, I would be out.
Yes, I am still holding.
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