It looks like we’re heading for a depression

[KVB]

Atta boy Philly

Put him in his place

So I went back to read the post yoiu quoted here, and I'm not going to bother, if he doesn't get what I'm saying, so be it. Font dexterity is a prerequisite for my class and lack of font control will surely disqualified those eager to learn. It's a matter of respect and even a lack of maturation out of an attention seeking phase

Sadly the one way road around is closed as the quality of content hasn't been good enough in the past to make up for this.

So I just don't bother.

And make no mistake, it hurts me to pass up the teaching moment, as we teach, we also learn. But I've been there and done that with him already; so, again, I pass.

Maybe he can still try to follow along and eventually get caught up with the past coming before the future.

Or you can explain it to him.

For now, I'll pass.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

you have had some seriously deep losing soccer runs.

I take it this recent run were high probability high odds payout bets, like many runs in the past.

Seems to me you follow enough to where you should be getting close to at least break even.

I bet I could help you get there just showing you about the market structure. But I’ll admit soccer is funky because of the many different types of bets.

I think I remember you doing it a long time ago, but what about getting into the corner kick bets?

Have you noticed if your leagues come up in the LIVE markets? I apologize for not having even a sense of that with your bets, , I’ve been dialed in a bit with other things and don’t really know specifically what you’ve been betting lately. I’ve seen some threads, but I haven’t really checked in much.

Maybe time to break away from red/black… Over/under… And get into the first second or third 12 and first second or third column.

Maybe get it to where they need green to beat you and then you have the ability to hedge.

You’ve got a few grand at a time out there sometimes. With the right role of the dice you could make some coin doing that…. Maybe not tons, , but definitely enough to have your masseuse sit on your face and jiggle her bodacious breasticles.

need a break from gambling its so stupid some weird shit going on too goals are down

when im winning im fine focused when i start losing which is often im always chasing trying get back losses


here are prices my last 16 bets

+246 lose
+300 lose
-115 lose
+155 lose
+145 win
+289 lose
+160 lose
+107 lose
+205 lose
+131 lose
+100 lose
+185 lose
+270 lose
+137 lose
+165 lose
-110 lose

 

[KVB]

need a break from gambling its so stupid some weird shit going on too goals are down


here are prices my last 16 bets

+246 lose
+300 lose
-115 lose
+155 lose
+145 win
+289 lose
+160 lose
+107 lose
+205 lose
+131 lose
+100 lose
+185 lose
+270 lose
+137 lose
+165 lose
-110 lose

Are you narrowed down to a specific league, division, anything like that? Or are you just chasing streaks, like busting or riding UNDER streaks, etc (or even just making solid bets) all over the board?

 

[KVB]

Not trying to be a dick with philly, it's not personal, and there is no beef. It just is what it is. I've gone around that circle a few times and it goes nowhere, so I just skip the big bold font. Especially on topics like this. Facts can be more important than feelings when we're putting our money on the line.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Are you narrowed down to a specific league, division, anything like that? Or are you just chasing streaks, like busting or riding UNDER streaks, etc (or even just making solid bets) all over the board?

when im focused i bet certain leagues that i know well but when i lose a few in a row i lose my mind bet whatever is going bet leagues shityy for scoring trying make a square peg fit in round hole i cant stay discliplined its terrible im all in things are going good or bad

 

[KVB]

i cant stay discliplined its terrible im all in things are going good or bad

Yeah, things going bad isn't always worse, especially in sports betting.

Back in the day I used to give out plays to some groups and some of those guys wwould not listen to the money management lessons with the plays.

Sure we'd lose. But if I went on a run, I was far more in danger of tilting and breaking people.

These guys would get excited and bet big for my eventual and inevitable loser.

I would break more people with a win streak than I would with a losing struck back in those days. I am totally serious too.

 

[KVB]

Human behavior always a fascination to me. I studied psychology and psychobiology, as well as some philosophy in school.

Also had a focus for a bit on developmental psychology. Man have they advanced that field since then.

I always said the greatest sportsbettor in the world won't be a math major, it will be a psychology major with a minor in math.

I got there and figured out sports in school, learned how they set a line, or at least what it takes, how to use it, etc. etc. etc. but out of school went markets first. I wanted to know how they set a stock price with an IPO. I learned as I went from the old Prudential securites (gone now) and then with a boutique investment bank in Beverly HIlls/Century City, where we actually set those lines in rounds oif funding, and eventually Merrill Lynch.

The investment bank was great. I saw a lot and learned a lot. I managed retail brokerage operations, institutional investors, and even played on the other side of the wall as an investment banker.

I was like...

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Yeah, things going bad isn't always worse, especially in sports betting.

Back in the day I used to give out plays to some groups and some of those guys wwould not listen to the money management lessons with the plays.

Sure we'd lose. But if I went on a run, I was far more in danger of tilting and breaking people.

These guys would get excited and bet big for my eventual and inevitable loser.

I would break more people with a win streak than I would with a losing struck back in those days. I am totally serious too.

just hit a nice play for +160 so the losing stresk is over got a +175 play 330 am if i csn win two in a row could start a win ing streak

ive always bet for entertainment not to make money but now that my mom passed away i need chill out maybe look into investing

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Human behavior always a fascination to me. I studied psychology and psychobiology, as well as some philosophy in school.

Also had a focus for a bit on developmental psychology. Man have they advanced that field since then.

I always said the greatest sportsbettor in the world won't be a math major, it will be a psychology major with a minor in math.

I got there and figured out sports in school, learned how they set a line, or at least what it takes, how to use it, etc. etc. etc. but out of school went markets first. I wanted to know how they set a stock price with an IPO. I learned as I went from the old Prudential securites (gone now) and then with a boutique investment bank in Beverly HIlls/Century City, where we actually set those lines in rounds oif funding, and eventually Merrill Lynch.

I was like...

crazy my dad was physciatrist my mom was a master economist

me just a degen gambler embarrassing

 

[KVB]

just hit a nice play for +160 so the losing stresk is over got a +175 play 330 am if i csn win two in a row could start a win ing streak

ive always bet for entertainment not to make money but now that my mom passed away i need chill out maybe look into investing

One thing that will help is to keep your risk the same.

No matter the odds you are playing into always bat that same 1 unit. That will help stabilize when that wild variance comes into play.

 

[KVB]

t maybe look into investing

me just a degen gambler embarrassing

We just need to focus our efforts.

Do you ever trade on one of your accounts? Do have a brokerage online that you log into?

I might set the camera behind at the market open and trade some technicals. Win lose or draw I think it's as good if not better probabilites than a lot of sports.

If we get this set up put a couple grand aside as a bet on the trades and we'll both learn and play it real time. I need to brush up on some things, but I can bring some real good experience to the table.

We'll just break up our rolls into pieces, like I sports, and make our plays. It would be fun too.

When it works, it works, and the wins are a lot of fun and make up for losses.

Never can we lose our whole roll in a day.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

One thing that will help is to keep your risk the same.

No matter the odds you are playing into always bat that same 1 unit. That will help stabilize when that wild variance comes into play.

i usually do opposite when im winning i bet smaller relaxed when i start losing i increase bet size try get back even i dont know why it is doesnt make any sense but its almost like a panic mode when losing i just wanna get back even its crazy

 

[KVB]

We just need to set up our stock screens, and I might add a screen in the office, then we watch screens, not unlike sports.

We'll be playing amongst the candlesticks and we will be the 1 in 10 that wins. I know what to do to win.

We'll be like...

 

[lekidecincinnati]

We just need to focus our efforts.

Do you ever trade on one of your accounts? Do have a brokerage online that you log into?

I might set the camera behind at the market open and trade some technicals. Win lose or draw I think it's as good if not better probabilites than a lot of sports.

If we get this set up put a couple grand aside as a bet on the trades and we'll both learn and play it real time. I need to brush up on some things, but I can bring some real good experience to the table.

We'll just break up our rolls into pieces, like I sports, and make our plays. It would be fun too.

When it works, it works, and the wins are a lot of fun and make up for losses.

Never can we lose our whole roll in a day.

a month ago bank people keot urging me invest with them fidelity told them i had bad feeling about markets wanted wait now its dropped gotta be a good time start buying i just dont know enough about investing sadly i csn tell u more about south korea second division than market

 

[KVB]

i usually do opposite when im winning i bet smaller relaxed when i start losing i increase bet size try get back even i dont know why it is doesnt make any sense but its almost like a panic mode when losing i just wanna get back even its crazy

Yeah, we've all chased and that's some classic chasing you're describing.

In both winning and losing situations, notice you have a tendency and desire to push towards your original risk. When winning you slow the progress, and when losing you get rushed to get back. There's a force that wants to keep you at stasis, but it uses emotion to act so you get the proigressive bet sizing during the chase.

Make it a practice to always bet the same amount, don't let your risk fly around. This will help realize the winnings you deserve when regressing from a losing streak and will help you temper your expectation of the winnigns you deserve when on a run.

But, when winning, it's not what you make, it's what you keep. So I see that desire to lower the bet after a win streak and can only say that how you rationally act on that is a function of how confident you are in your win expectation.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Yeah, we've all chased and that's some classic chasing you're describing.

In both winning and losing situations, notice you have a tendency and desire to push towards your original risk. When winning you slow the progress, and when losing you get rushed to get back. There's a force that wants to keep you at stasis, but it uses emotion to act so you get the proigressive bet sizing during the chase.

Make it a practice to always bet the same amount, don't let your risk fly around. This will help realize the winnings you deserve when regressing from a losing streak and will help you temper your expectation of the winnigns you deserve when on a run.

But, when winning, it's not what you make, it's what you keep. So I see that desire to lower the bet after a win streak and can only say that how you rationally act on that is a function of how confident you are in your win expectation.

i wish my brain worked like urs did i wish i was smart with money its very frustrating to keep making same mistakes over and over again

 

[KVB]

a month ago bank people keot urging me invest with them fidelity told them i had bad feeling about markets wanted wait now its dropped gotta be a good time start buying i just dont know enough about investing sadly i csn tell u more about south korea second division than market

We might get so raw technical it doesn't matter what you know, it's what you learn.

I wonder if those guys a month ago would have put you in things that didn't get hury with teh market crash.

We were talking about defensive plays at BMR before the first big crash and rotation, weeks before this latest one.

We were talking about a potential recession that could last and picking up the international cigarette guys with heafty dividends was a good play.

People will still smoke, no matter the infaltion or recession, or even depression. Shit, the worse it gets, the more people might reach for big tobacco and start smoking anyway.

 

[KVB]

i wish my brain worked like urs did i wish i was smart with money its very frustrating to keep making same mistakes over and over again

Sometimes it just comes down to small behavior changes, even sublte ones.

Shit, you cold turkey'd soda, you can probably keep your bets the same amount.

lol

Speaking of health we were trying to sort out breakfasts in another thread last year. I've added some choices. Eggs, of course, sausage sometimes, then sugar/fat free yogurt, strawberries and blueberries with cheerios and multi grain cheerios or rice krispies. I've been starting the day with a couple of handfuls of almonds with some of those berries.

Have a banana almost every morning too. Sometimes some apple. I have these pretty healthy and dense fig bars too. I suppose any fig bars will do. They are a good way to start the day.

So I mix and match from basically those things now, sometimes I throw in a frozen waffle, and rarely we do gluten free pancakes and fresh waffles, but the stuff listed are my basics right now.

Anyway, thought I'd share it as we were talking about this before in anothe thread.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Sometimes it just comes down to small behavior changes, even sublte ones.

Shit, you cold turkey'd soda, you can probably keep your bets the same amount.

lol

Speaking of health we were trying to sort out breakfasts in another thread last year. I've added some choices. Eggs, of course, sausage sometimes, then sugar/fat free yogurt, strawberries and blueberries with cheerios and multi grain cheerios or rice krispies. I've been starting the day with a couple of handfuls of almonds with some of those berries.

Have a banana almost every morning too. Sometimes some apple. I have these pretty healthy and dense fig bars too. I suppose any fig bars will do. They are a good way to start the day.

So I mix and match from basically those things now, sometimes I throw in a frozen waffle, and rarely we do gluten free pancakes and fresh waffles, but the stuff listed are my basics right now.

Anyway, thought I'd share it as we were talking about this before in anothe thread.

yah that's another thing i wish i could get addicted to getting healthy, working out eating healthy getting in shape i'm either addicted to gambling or addicted to sex so very much want to get back under 200 pounds how i used to be in my 20's i know it's going to catch up to me one of these days all the junk food and soda being heavy we need a thread about healthy stuff

 

[phillyflyers]

Welp, needless to say these numbers weren't good.

Trump blamed Biden for inflation stemming from COVID. But the US, during the last admin, came out of that inflation better than any indistrialized economy.

Now Trump, by policy, is intentionally raising prices and stoking inflation fears.

Turns out the Fertilization and Crypto Bro President is also the Inflation President.

Did Trump know that would happen? Did his advisors know?

lol

1. Inflation Records Under Trump vs. Biden: During Trump's first term (2017–2021), inflation averaged 2.46% annually, with cumulative inflation of about 8% over four years—far lower than the 20% cumulative inflation during Biden's presidency13. While inflation has risen under Trump in 2025, it remains below the levels seen during Biden's tenure26.
2. Economic Contexts Differ: Inflation under Biden was driven by pandemic recovery spending, supply chain disruptions, and global crises like the Ukraine war37. Trump's policies in 2025, including tariffs and deregulation, may contribute to inflationary pressures but are aimed at boosting domestic production and reducing reliance on foreign imports8.
3. Recent Price Relief: Under Trump in 2025, Americans have seen the first consumer price declines in years, including drops in energy costs and improved real wages6. This suggests that his policies are beginning to stabilize inflation.
4. Policy Intentions: While tariffs may raise short-term costs, Trump's administration has argued they are designed to strengthen U.S. industries and reduce long-term dependence on foreign economies8. This contrasts with claims of intentional price hikes.

In summary, while inflation concerns exist under Trump, his record shows lower cumulative inflation compared to Biden's presidency, and recent trends indicate progress in controlling price increases.