40k ALL IN (Tiafoe risking 34k & 6k parlay to win 74k)

[BigJay]

2 more winners & Dougy’s a millionaire !!!

 

[BigJay]

Stats definitely favor Zverev late first set

Hopefully Joker will wilt eventually after these long rallies

Not suprised to wake up and see he retired. Joker just didn’t look good

one step closer Dougy.

 

[BigJay]

Really wanted to see the cash out amounts.

Still nothing??

 

[jjgold]

at least Doug has a shot now
NAIL THIS

 

[quantumleap]

He was defeated before the match. Kind of like Sinner. Did you see the match ? Sinner looks worn out. The German has the eye of the tiger like Rocky Balboa.

I didn't see the Sinner match. Hopefully we can get Keys to win and then Zev roll over a worn out Sinner.

 

[BigJay]

at least Doug has a shot now
NAIL THIS

I liked it better when you were being a prick

Seemed like Dougy did better

 

[quantumleap]

Waited till 3 am to get the score. Last update I got was going into that TB so could've saved myself a whole bunch of aggravation just waiting till it ended. (Partial 2k BB hedge to get back that I risked on this taking Novak if Keys wins tmrw. Him retiring worked out perfectly just reducing that hedge instead of losing it).
Still no cashout fellas..1.2M combined in payouts. Just give me Keys on Sat for the potential cashout which I'm assuming has to be available at that point. They can't risk the exposure is what I'm thinking. Asking Big Ben to topple top isn't even remotely realistic but stranger things have happened.

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I'm not seeing any cashout on my Zev/Keys parlay either. I got +9660 for mine.

As I mentioned before, I was looking to cash out because I don't think Keys has a chance against Saba. We'll have to wait and see I guess.

 

[quantumleap]

He was defeated before the match. Kind of like Sinner. Did you see the match ? Sinner looks worn out. The German has the eye of the tiger like Rocky Balboa.

It will be hard for Sinner to retire like Joker did seeing that this is the final. It will be interesting.

I would like to see Zev bully Sinner like he did Joker last night.

 

[flyingillini]

I'm not seeing any cashout on my Zev/Keys parlay either. I got +9660 for mine.

As I mentioned before, I was looking to cash out because I don't think Keys has a chance against Saba. We'll have to wait and see I guess.

What books have cashouts? I only use Pinnacle, Betnow and Betwwsg, they don't offer that.

 

[JDS]

What books have cashouts? I only use Pinnacle, Betnow and Betwwsg, they don't offer that.

Since all I really use is Bookmaker these days offshore, I will say they offer cashouts the moment you place the bet.

 

[sleepy_mario]

I'm not seeing any cashout on my Zev/Keys parlay either. I got +9660 for mine.

As I mentioned before, I was looking to cash out because I don't think Keys has a chance against Saba. We'll have to wait and see I guess.

If you're not offered cash out RN, dougy isn't either.

If I'm the bookie here, and Keys looks good early, I would be shitting my pants BUT would not offer anywhere near fair value cash out. I would try to rob the players, offering about 35k cashout (out of true value of 75-80k)...

....and 120-150k (out of true value of 280-300k) after Keys (hypothetically) wins the trophy, and before men start playing their final.

IF Zverev wins set #1 (it's only +150), and is then a slight underdog to win the match, I would probably offer 300k cashout - again trying to underpay at least 20-30% compared to market value of dougy's investment.

 

[sleepy_mario]

My guess is, the best way to get something back from this bet - which only becomes available after Keys wins a set or the match - is to deposit 50k to another account and bet Sinner -120 to +120 once he's behind 0-1 or 1-2 in sets.

But if dougy does that... that means having to follow that first set... That's a way to have a head full of grey hair.

Stay strong, man

 

[quantumleap]

What books have cashouts? I only use Pinnacle, Betnow and Betwwsg, they don't offer that.

Dougy's book does. I think it's DraftKings.

Quite a few books offer early cashouts on parlays depending upon how likely they are to hit. The book is trying to minimize its losses if a player holds what they believe to be a good parlay payout.

See Mario's post for an example.

 

[samsncharge99]

My guess is, the best way to get something back from this bet - which only becomes available after Keys wins a set or the match - is to deposit 50k to another account and bet Sinner -120 to +120 once he's behind 0-1 or 1-2 in sets.

But if dougy does that... that means having to follow that first set... That's a way to have a head full of grey hair.

Stay strong, man

these matches dont start at the same time

womens match is tomorrow 330am and mens is sunday 330am

 

[JDS]

these matches dont start at the same time

womens match is tomorrow 330am and mens is sunday 330am

Damn gonna have to set my alarm I can’t miss this in real time. This is exciting stuff for our degen hero Doughy tryna hit a milly.

 

[dougtushyterror]

It will be hard for Sinner to retire like Joker did seeing that this is the final. It will be interesting.

I would like to see Zev bully Sinner like he did Joker last night.

Since all I really use is Bookmaker these days offshore, I will say they offer cashouts the moment you place the bet.

My guess is, the best way to get something back from this bet - which only becomes available after Keys wins a set or the match - is to deposit 50k to another account and bet Sinner -120 to +120 once he's behind 0-1 or 1-2 in sets.

But if dougy does that... that means having to follow that first set... That's a way to have a head full of grey hair.

Stay strong, man

I did end up checking the Sinner result & it was exactly as expected. Still no cashout so they're basically forcing me to hit this to see so much as a $1 out of them. Parlaying Sinner/Saba wouldn't work (even limited on that) since it could be a split so the only option I'm seeing isn't something I'm even remotely comfortable with. Going all in on Sinner at -295 if Keys wins
1)balance would be $45,692 after the BB win
2) would have to reload my entire savings $108.4 to get my balance to 154k & bet that on Sinner at -295 for a guaranteed 52.2k profit
3)2 problems with that: that reload would never hit my account in time since bank wires take 1 to 2 business days so the weekend is out. Even if it got there in time, & the original 1.2M wins I'd be worried they might void them for whatever reason to save themselves from paying out that amount & I'd have $0 to my name losing 154k on Sinner.

 

[JDS]

I did end up checking the Sinner result & it was exactly as expected. Still no cashout so they're basically forcing me hit this to see so much as a $1 out of them. Parlaying Sinner/Saba wouldn't work (even limited on that) since it could be a split so the only option I'm seeing isn't something I'm even remotely comfortable with. Going all in on Sinner at -295 if Keys wins
1)balance would be $45,692 after the BB win
2) would have to reload my entire savings $108.4 to get my balance to 154k & bet that on Sinner at -295 for a guaranteed 52.2k profit
3)2 problems with that: that reload would never hit my account in time since bank wires take 1 to 2 business days so the weekend is out. Even if it got there in time, & the original 1.2M wins I'd be worried they might void them for whatever reason to save themselves from paying out that amount & I'd have $0 to my name losing 154k on Sinner.

View attachment 52140

You can always go to the bank and travel heavy to the Sportsbook & place the bet on Sinner in person. it’s not like you have to report to any kind of job you have the time to hedge your future.

 

[JDS]

You can always go to the bank and travel heavy to the Sportsbook & place the bet on Sinner in person. it’s not like you have to report to any kind of job you have the time to hedge your future.

From my experience your online account is not associated with your brick & mortar account, but if you are worried about that I would place that large wager on Sinner at another Sportsbook in person if you have that option reasonably close by if you make it to that scenario.

 

[sleepy_mario]

Doug, isn't there a way for you to negotiate with DK directly? This type of payout warrants some special treatment. If Keys wins, you have them by the balls. They should be happy to 'manually' offer you a decent enough deal, or allow you to deposit 150k in some secret (superfast) way to blast it all on Sinner.

Remember, they charge vig on each of these transactions. Try asking!

 

[sleepy_mario]

P.S. I wonder if DK will have the BEST odds on Sabalenka winning, globally, just to draw in big money on the favorite to counterbalance dougy's position.