All In Uconn Tonight Over St Johns

[pipe]

Let's go St Johns. Want this one. Sorry @jjgold

 

[KVB]

-148
Then have a nice roll for weekend
8 PM ET

Thank You

You know, I'm shorting Uconn and trading St. John's so we're sort of against each other, unless I decide to hold to fruition. Then we are really against each other. That is posted.

Not to mention, I have some books with St. John's.

So, just to be safe...

 

[pipe]

Over was a lock

I may hit under BIG at half.

 

[pipe]

I may hit under BIG at half.

Let's go under 146 1/2 LIVE man. Why wait.. St Johns up 3 points 32-29

 

[KingKolzig]

I may hit under BIG at half.

Right when i posted that they both went cold

 

[pipe]

St Johns up 3 -115 hmmm o

 

[pipe]

Right when i posted that they both went cold

I hear ya man. I'm after it

 

[pipe]

The foul fuckery .

 

[BigJay]

ran a 10k sims.​

​

Winner:​

Win Probability: 70.8%espn+1

---

Simulation Breakdown​

Ran 10,000 Monte Carlo sims factoring in:

• Current records, rankings, & efficiency metricskenpom+2
• Win streak momentum (UConn: 18 games, St. John's: 8 games)cbssports+1
• UConn's elite defense (#5 nationally, 63.8 PPG allowed)uconnhuskies+1
• St. John's home court at MSG (+3.5 pts)reddit+1
• UConn's perfect road record (7-0)[cbssports]
• St. John's 2nd-half dominance (+10.5 pts in 2H during streak)[redstormsports]
• No major injuries for either teamteamrankings+1

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Results​

Moneyline:

• UConn: 70.79% (7,079/10,000 wins)
• St. John's: 29.21% (2,921/10,000 wins)

Projected Score:

• UConn: 72.3
• St. John's: 66.7
• UConn by 5.8 pts (avg)

Game Flow:

• Close game (<5 pts): 32.4%
• UConn blowout: 34.3%
• St. John's upset: 29.2%

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The Edge​

UConn's suffocating defense (#5 KenPom, 91.7 efficiency) is the X-factor against St. John's offense-heavy approach (84.6 PPG). The Huskies' 18-game win streak & road dominance (7-0) outweighs St. John's home court advantage. Market moved from -1.5 to -2.5, sharp money backing UConn.sports.yahoo+4

ML Bet: UConn -154

 

[Reload]

A good gambler doesn’t even think of losing. It’s not an option tonight.

 

[Reload]

View attachment 85302

JJ would piss on the spark plug if it did any good

 

[pipe]

Let's go under 146 1/2 LIVE man. Why wait.. St Johns up 3 points 32-29

St Johns up 5 60-55 with 7:40 left totals down to 146 1/2-110 live

 

[pipe]

Kill that clock. No foul fuckery either

 

[pipe]

Foul Everytime up the court it seems. Gonna new a few bricks.

 

[KVB]

-148
Then have a nice roll for weekend
8 PM ET

Thank You

You know, I'm shorting Uconn and trading St. John's so we're sort of against each other, unless I decide to hold to fruition. Then we are really against each other. That is posted.

Not to mention, I have some books with St. John's.

So, just to be safe...

 

[bubblebuttluv]

-148
Then have a nice roll for weekend
8 PM ET

Thank You

Tough loss, Coach. You'll win next time.

 

[jjgold]

This is the fourth time in the new year I’ve went broke

 

[flyingillini]

This is the fourth time in the new year I’ve went broke

I went huge on this play. JJ told me it was 89% chance of a winner. Unreal.

 

[JDS]

This is the fourth time in the new year I’ve went broke

Sorry for your loss coach. Since you are a man who is incapable of change. I wish you luck on the next all in play.

 

[Reload]

This is the fourth time in the new year I’ve went broke

You will get it back, JJ! Time to hit BMRloans.com and make a big Super Bowl bet.