Yankees @ Red Sox 7:10 ET

[Tanko]

NYY -167
Bos +154
Total 9

I think this will be a closer game than indicated by the line.

Starting Pitching:
Season: Cole (NYY) 2.99 ERA vs Winckowski (BOS) 3.12 ERA
Last 30 days: Cole (NYY) 3.45 ERA vs Winckowski (BOS) 1.96 ERA

Batting:
NYY 0.243 avg (season), 0.284 avg (last 7 days)
BOS 0.268 avg (season), 0.257 avg (last 7 days)
In his 5 starts Winckowski has given up 2 runs or less 4X. His 1st appearance of the season he gave up 4 runs.
Cole is just good. Everyone knows so I won't quote any more of his stats.

Relief Pitching:
NYY 2.35 ERA (3rd in MLB)
BOS 3.18 ERA (11th in MLB)
Relief pitching for both teams is very good.

I'm liking the under 9 in this one. The biggest concern is the 9 mph wind to left field. If not for that, I'd go 2X play.

NYY/BOS U9 -110

 

[carolinakid]

GL WITH THE UNDER tANKO

 

[Capitalist Pig]

As a fan I had to play the Yankees

 

[BobbyFK]

Good luck with the play! I like the under as well according to some trends
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.
Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings.

 

[carolinakid]

this might help the under a little too

​

07/07/22 01:03:56pm Pacific
MLB: Game 921-922	Injury	Status	AB	AVG	RBI	HR	SLG
New York Yankees	CF	Aaron Judge	Rest	Doubtful	303	.287	64	30	30.000
is not in the starting lineup Thursday vs Boston Red Sox

 

[Tanko]

this might help the under a little too

​

07/07/22 01:03:56pm Pacific
MLB: Game 921-922	Injury	Status	AB	AVG	RBI	HR	SLG
New York Yankees	CF	Aaron Judge	Rest	Doubtful	303	.287	64	30	30.000
is not in the starting lineup Thursday vs Boston Red Sox

That would be awesome....

 

[Tanko]

Wow the line dropped
NYY -167 --> -152
BOS +154 --> +140


Assuming the line move was only due to Judge news, that means the market feels like he contributes at least 3% more value to the team than his replacement for this game. Seems a little low.

-167 = ~63% implied probability
-152 = ~60% implied probability

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL with the under Tank

 

[Florida Fever]

I missed the ride.

 

[Tanko]

Damn. A 2 out grandslam by Yankees. SMH.

 

[Tanko]

Followed up by another Yankee home run.

 

[Enikk]

Yup, ticket killers. All with 2 outs. gL on other plays bud

 

[carolinakid]

seem like the 2outs runs is the normal thing this yr when the under is a play.Cole is a jinix to me, i stay off his games now