What's with UCF being favored over Florida?

[quantumleap]

Looks like a trap to me. UCF got beat at home 48-21 by Colorado last weekend while Florida beat Miss State the week before 45-28. Florida is playing at home with a week's rest. Seems like a no-brainer to take the Gators.

Line started out Florida -1 and is now at -2 1/2 for UCF. Is someone out for Florida?

 

[ttwarrior1]

florida just plain sucks

 

[rdalert447]

Put a little RESPECT on it!

 

[Tanko]

I hate to be a dick but I liked Florida at -1... At +2.5 it looks very good.
Need to look at this more to see WTH I'm missing.

 

[quantumleap]

florida just plain sucks

They beat Mississippi State pretty badly. I think that's what a lot of squares are going to be looking at. Bettors oftentimes have short memories.

 

[Tanko]

They beat Mississippi State pretty badly. I think that's what a lot of squares are going to be looking at. Bettors oftentimes have short memories.

Mississippi St is pretty bad this year. Sure they should have gotten creamed by Texas but the loss to Toledo that bookended the Florida loss was bad as well.

I'm not saying Florida is good but I think they are better than UCF right now.
UCF's win over TCU was come from behind starting late in the 3Q. They were getting beat pretty bad through most of the game.

 

[quantumleap]

Mississippi St is pretty bad this year. Sure they should have gotten creamed by Texas but the loss to Toledo that bookended the Florida loss was bad as well.

I'm not saying Florida is good but I think they are better than UCF right now.
UCF's win over TCU was come from behind starting late in the 3Q. They were getting beat pretty bad through most of the game.

Looks to be like a case of a great running team (UCF) playing a team with a poor run defense and also a good passing team (Florida) playing a team with a poor pass defense.

UCF should run over Florida's defense while Florida's offense should pass easily against UCF's defense.

 

[Tanko]

Looks to be like a case of a great running team (UCF) playing a team with a poor run defense and also a good passing team (Florida) playing a team with a poor pass defense.

UCF should run over Florida's defense while Florida's offense should pass easily against UCF's defense.

That's how I read it too.
I usually bet on the passing teams in these situations. They can score quicker.

 

[Wagerallsports]

No way anyone should be betting in favor of Florida this season

Opposing team each time or no play

 

[jjgold]

Remember, they did lose to a top seven draft pick quarterback with Sanders

Colorado might be better than we think

 

[BigJay]

What’s with UCF being favored over Florida?

They know

 

[thefix]

No Eugene Wilson III

 

[jjgold]

Don’t try to outsmart the book maker. It usually doesn’t work out.

 

[BigJay]

Don’t try to outsmart the book maker. It usually doesn’t work out.

Sage advice from Coach

 

[patrickbateman]

UCF is the second best team in Florida.

 

[KingKolzig]

Ucf qb too busy at NASA back and forth no practice time

 

[renegade]

Don’t try to outsmart the book maker. It usually doesn’t work out.

100% agree. People think they have some formula/data that books dont have. No chance.

 

[Tanko]

Don’t try to outsmart the book maker. It usually doesn’t work out.

But the math is so simple on this JJ..

 

[quantumleap]

They know

You and I know that they know.

 

[JDS]

Not touching this game at all, both teams have no real identity tough to read week by week.