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What you need to know for Friday's MLB Games

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biggins

biggins

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Jan 18, 2022
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  • Despite a lack of frontline pitching on Friday, the streaming options are rather slim. Instead of focusing on pitching, fantasy managers in deeper formats can look to fortify hitting in Florida, where Elieser Hernandez and the Miami Marlinsentertain Matt Brash and the Seattle Mariners. The visitors are leading the league in scoring over the past week, with leadoff man Adam Frazier (52% rostered in ESPN leagues) crossing the plate a dozen times in that span. The Marlins' lineup has been only average of late, but their strength is plate patience and they're facing a rookie with 11 walks in his first 15 major league innings. Joey Wendle (21%) is the top pickup with a homer and steal over the previous week. Even though they won't enjoy the platoon edge, Jesus Aguilar (34%) and Avisail Garcia(53%) are in play. Despite the strong chance both teams score runs, neither lineup is a great target to stack, although betting the over is a sneaky play.
  • One of the pitchers available for steaming in shallower leagues is Tanner Houck, who is set to take the hill in Camden Yards as the Boston Red Sox get their first look at the Baltimore Orioles' renovated venue. Houck will be well-rested after missing the four-game set in Toronto. While his early 2.57 ERA and 1.15 WHIP are both artificially low, there is strikeout upside against the Orioles as Houck is developing one of the better sweeping sliders in the league.
  • The other streaming candidate for 10- and 12-team leagues is Aaron Civale (52%), taking the hill in RingCentral Coliseum when the Cleveland Guardians open a three-game set against the host Oakland Athletics. After scoring some runs early, Oakland has now averaged the second-fewest runs per game over the last week, while the Guardians' offense should put up some runs facing rookie Adam Oller and his early 11.17 ERA. Civale is also off to slow start with a 9.58 ERA, though his ratios have been inflated by a bloated .382 BABIP and a low 41.7 % LOB mark.
    • One of the best examples of a drop in offense is the fly ball data emanating from the first 10 games in Coors Field. Compared to last season, average exit velocity on fly balls is down 2 mph, helping reduce the average fly ball distance by over 20 feet. The oddity is that the weather in Denver has offered some of the warmest game-day temperatures over the first month of the season. So, even though we typically support taking visiting bats in Colorado, be aware that the Cincinnati Reds lineup has been underproducing -- even when playing at home in The Great American Ballpark, another hitter's haven.
    • To be honest, there might not be a lot of avenues to exploit the St. Louis Cardinalsentertaining the Arizona Diamondbacks for fantasy or betting purposes, but a matchup spotlighting elder statesmen Madison Bumgarner and Adam Wainwright deserves a mention as the pair has combined for 4,448⅔ innings, 3,987 strikeouts and 313 wins. Furthermore, both Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina should be in the lineup with a left-hander on the hill. It's always fun to have a little juice on a compelling game, so even though the home Cardinals will be favored, backing them in a fun game to watch should only add to the enjoyment.
 

biggins

biggins

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3,924
DARVISH is 3-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.781.
His team's record is 5-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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THOMPSON is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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URQUIDY is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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KIKUCHI is 1-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 4-8 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-4. (+3.5 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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BUNDY is 5-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.47 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-10. (-8.2 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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KLUBER is 9-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 11-12 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-11. (-0.4 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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NOLA is 9-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.171.
His team's record is 12-9 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.4 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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MEGILL is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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SYNDERGAARD is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.819.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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GIOLITO is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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HENDRICKS is 10-7 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.124.
His team's record is 15-13 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 19-8. (+9.8 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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HOUSER is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.818.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-5. (-5.5 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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BUMGARNER is 5-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 8-8 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-3. (+10.1 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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WAINWRIGHT is 11-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 11-4 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-11. (-8.4 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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SANCHEZ is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
 

biggins

biggins

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WOOD is 6-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 9-5 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-10. (-6.9 units)
 
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