What matters in selecting Baseball picks?

[Pimike]

Let’s discuss.

What about get away days? Meaning a home series ending before going on the road. Here do you think that should be taken into account for your selection process??

I say yes. Look at the lineups. A lot of times good hitters may sit. So this is important to me.

I am a guy who always looks at line up’s.

Now, I know many like to ride losing or winning streaks.

Is that the best method?

Not necessarily.

Here I am old school. I believe the next pitcher up is good could stop a losing streak.

However this being said. Baseball has changed a lot since I first starting betting baseball.

It is now more important to look at playing 1st 5 in some cases where in years past I never would.

imperative to know who will go 6 innings or more. Also look at that teams pen. A pen can kill a good starter.

Sometimes you need to think outside the box.

There are so many games. I don’t bet volume. It’s best in my thinking to pick and isolate games.

Let’s get other takes and discuss.

I may do a Skype before the season starts.
No promises however.

Discussion open.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Team hitting & non-hitting streaks

 

[RudyRuder]

Good post

Should change title to Q&A thread

Ckid can be next week

 

[Pimike]

The powers to be can change tile

 

[Pimike]

Team hitting & non-hitting streaks

Good

This is true. If a team is just not hitting they will slump for a while. However if the opposing team is starting a gas can can guy and that team has a weak pen, it may be time to take a slumping team.

Also a team in a slump and not hitting but have their ace going with a good pen??
Here the better play be taking the UNDER

 

[Tanko]

PiMike, Great thread for discussion. Novice MLB capper here. Only worked on it seriously last year.
I have maybe 162 questons but I don't want to steal the thread.

 

[Tanko]

I look at the following for pitchers when evaluating them: FIP and xFIP
I also check ERA but focus on FIP.

For batters, I look at lineup average of WRC+

Am I headed in right direction? I realize there are a number of other things to consider but these are some of the main criteria I consider when looking at a game.

 

[Tanko]

Do you cap games strictly on player stats or do you play certain trends/systems.

For example (a bad one);
Look at plays on home dogs in divisional games when odds are <+150....

Not exactly that but situational betting like that.

 

[Bubbles]

mike, would you agree with the statement that baseball is great due to it's strategy and unpredictability? how come others think it's a boring sport to bet?

 

[Tuesday]

I like the starting pitcher statistics from this website, if BMR could post this information daily would be awesome:

Logical Approach's 2021 Daily Major League Baseball Starting Pitcher Report

 

[Pimike]

mike, would you agree with the statement that baseball is great due to it's strategy and unpredictability? how come others think it's a boring sport to bet?

Nothing boring about it at all.

Those that say it’s boring, they couldn’t catch a fastball even if they wanted to. They couldn’t hit a fast ball either. Nor couldn’t dive and make a catch if they wanted to.

So no baseball is not boring. It takes skills and talent!!

I love it.

Now as for situational Betting absolutely

more so in football but yeah Baseball has it situational plays, but also football and football more so.

I do a lot of situational Betting.

 

[carolinakid]

what way the wind is blowing into home plate and the speed , for a major must to know

 

[Tuesday]

Favorite sports to watch are NHL MLB and CFL, when no girls beach volleyball that is.

 

[Enikk]

Live betting tip not just for baseball but is more noticeable in baseball since the pitcher is key or with individual sports like tennis and golf.

Take a Psych look at it. Assess the pitcher. Look for his "tells." Anxiety has symptoms. many pitchers will just start sweating like a pig that normally don't or get fidgety. Has he mentally checked out? More easily seen in tennis players but pitchers as well. Problem is you have a short window and need a good service where your feed isn't delayed too much.

 

[Pimike]

Umpires for totals

 

[Chip Williams]

How about some kind of Martingale system?

 

[Shortstop]

PiMike, what’s happening, my friend? Long time no chat. Let’s kill it this year! ⚾️

 

[Pimike]

PiMike, what’s happening, my friend? Long time no chat. Let’s kill it this year! ⚾️

Shorty!!

Oh my! Yes I hadn’t seen you in years!

glad to see you here bud!

Respect brother!

 

[Enikk]

How about some kind of Martingale system?

Chip, I am trying to get pointers so BMR can have their own system this season. I think it is doable.

https://forum.bookmakersreview.com/threads/bmrs-mlb-marty-system.30310/

 

[Shortstop]

I always watch the weather. Yeah, I’m Old School…

Starting Pitchers, Lineups, Injuries, Bullpens. Last game results from both teams… This is a secret.