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leafyon62

leafyon62

Joined
Aug 28, 2024
Messages
65
Considering a couple of dogs today.

Know that goes against the method of dogs early in season...favs late, but I don't know.

Also, that guy (who looks like Frank Vincent. Former sportsbook operator) says "Bet favs early in day and dogs late."

I saw Wroby at +107 @ Pfaadt. I think there's an exception here, and this line moves the other way.

Maybe Cease has peaked out? I don't know, but lookin at Pepiot for tonite. Saw him at about +126.

Will see how these lines move.
 

leafyon62

leafyon62

Joined
Aug 28, 2024
Messages
65
Wow! Pepiot down from +126 to +105...Not gonna chase that.

As expected they bet Wroby early. From +107 to -102.

So much for bettin dogs late (think these moves are aberrant)

Gonna try Wroby at -102.

ROI = -100%
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,051
Wow! Pepiot down from +126 to +105...Not gonna chase that.

As expected they bet Wroby early. From +107 to -102.

So much for bettin dogs late (think these moves are aberrant)

Gonna try Wroby at -102.

ROI = -100%
MLB line movement confuses the shit out of me most days.
 

leafyon62

leafyon62

Joined
Aug 28, 2024
Messages
65
Ya ever get a game at, say, +130 and it's knocked down to +103?

Should be a good bet, right?

Those bets lose profusely for me.

Don't know about you guys, but I take no consolation in "beating the closing line", yet losing the bet.
 

leafyon62

leafyon62

Joined
Aug 28, 2024
Messages
65
Wroby got pummeled. Ouch.

They "steamed down" Pepiot. Glad I passed. For me, "steam" games never come in. Plus ya lose a lotta value.

Early peeks:

Bido +128 (this guy can pitch)

Wacha -106 (reasonable)

If they "steam" any of these I'm off em.

0-2 all sports (nice beginning) ROI = -100%
 
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BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
30,329
Wroby got pummeled. Ouch.

They "steamed down" Pepiot. Glad I passed. For me, "steam" games never come in. Plus ya lose a lotta value.

Early peeks:

Bido +128 (this guy can pitch)

Wacha -106 (reasonable)

If they "steam" any of these I'm off em.

0-2 all sports (nice beginning) ROI = -100%
You will get it today, Leafy. Good luck.
 
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