Unranked home favorites still doing well

[jjgold]

Vs ranked teams

The trend has been going on for years

 

[charliebrown]

The freshman from ga tech took down unc machine

 

[Pimike]

Villanova lost last night

 

[Tanko]

So the system is to take unranked home Favs when they play ranked opponents. Interesting....

Yesterday 2 games met this criteria... (small data set).
> Marq at Nova -1.5
> Oklahoma at Kansas st -2.5
Both Nova and Kansas St. lost.

Lets broaden the system a little and say... Take home teams ATS (when they are favs or dogs) when playing RANKED visitors. Yesterday this resulted in 2-3 record but typically hits ~58% longer-term.

Lets try to improve results. Take home teams ATS (favs or dogs) that are RANKED and playing against RANKED visitors. Typically ~68% ATS results long-term. Yesterday this system was 1-0.

I'm not advocating these system. I'm just indicating what I've read about and tracked for a few years.

 

[JDS]

Villanova lost last night

Mike, you’re becoming a real expert at telling us who wins after the fact.

 

[Tanko]

You've got two similar games tonight.
Home unranked DOGS facing ranked visitors.

#24 Alabama at Georgia +6
#18 Baylor at UCF +3

 

[JDS]

You've got two similar games tonight.
Home unranked DOGS facing ranked visitors.

#24 Alabama at Georgia +6
#18 Baylor at UCF +3

Who do you like better in those games ?

 

[carolinakid]

never bet unc before or after a upcoming duke game is gambling 101 here

 

[Tanko]

never bet unc before or after a upcoming duke game is gambling 101 here

What about Duke in those situations?

 

[carolinakid]

Both teams you need to stay clear of until this one game is out of their system, g tech would a auto bet last night

 

[Tanko]

Who do you like better in those games ?

Still pondering. Busy day. Haven't capped much yet.
First glance, I don't like Georgia w/ their guard (J. Hill) questionable.

 

[carolinakid]

take the dog against Drake tonite +21 or more

 

[JDS]

take the dog against Drake tonite +21 or more

What are you seeing as an edge in that game ck ?

 

[carolinakid]

about 5 pts too many to give imo

 

[pete0]

Strange. Yes. I posted. K. St. Last nite.
I wonder what the win% is on this in ncaab.

Can some 1 post ?? For below angle in NCAAB ?? Long term.

-----

I use this system. For NCAAF primarily.

"Play home unranked Team when FAV ATS
Playing ranked visitors. "

 

[RRsilver]

So the system is to take unranked home Favs when they play ranked opponents. Interesting....

Yesterday 2 games met this criteria... (small data set).
> Marq at Nova -1.5
> Oklahoma at Kansas st -2.5
Both Nova and Kansas St. lost.

Lets broaden the system a little and say... Take home teams ATS (when they are favs or dogs) when playing RANKED visitors. Yesterday this resulted in 2-3 record but typically hits ~58% longer-term.

Lets try to improve results. Take home teams ATS (favs or dogs) that are RANKED and playing against RANKED visitors. Typically ~68% ATS results long-term. Yesterday this system was 1-0.

I'm not advocating these system. I'm just indicating what I've read about and tracked for a few years.

Thanks for the breakdown! Very good information.

 

[Tanko]

Thanks for the breakdown! Very good information.

I think these "systems" may have sucked again tonight RR... Be careful.

 

[edawg]

Have a good friend who is damn sharp especially in the NFL. Asked if he follows any systems he said only one is to bet Lamar as a dog and fade him as a favorite.

 

[JDS]

I gave out two system winners in the in-game chat thread with a viable sample size of data.

 

[pete0]

I gave out two system winners in the in-game chat thread with a viable sample size of data.

what do u base it on ?