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Umass -1.5 -103

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
47,486
Umass 6-1 & 5-2 ATS at home. KenPom has Duquesne ranked higher which I don’t agree with. Both teams 9-3 Umass features traditional frontliners which I love. 6’10” center transfer Josh Cohen (18 ppg) & 6’8” power forward Matt Cross (16.7 ppg) will provide scoring down low especially in front of their home crowd.

Duquesne mainly relays on guards Dae Dae Grant & Jimmy Clark III who combined take nearly half of the teams shots every night. I’m gonna go with the higher % style of offense in this game & take Umass on a very short number. I think it should -3.5 so in my eyes I have an 2 point advantage on “low juice”.

Take the Minutemen & lay the -1 good luck if you tail 🍀.
 
Last edited:

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,458
Umass 6-1 & 5-2 ATS at home. KenPom has Duquesne ranked higher which I don’t agree with. Both teams 9-3 Umass features traditional frontliners which I love. 6’10” center transfer Josh Cohen (18 ppg) & 6’8” power forward Matt Cross (16.7 ppg) will provide scoring down low especially in front of their home crowd.

Duquesne mainly relays on guards Dae Dae Grant & Jimmy Clark III who combined take nearly half of the teams shots every night. I’m gonna go with the higher % style of offense in this game & take Umass on a very short number. I think it should -3.5 so in my eyes I have an 2 point advantage on “low juice”.

Take the Minutemen & lay the -1 good luck if you tail 🍀.
Actual odds -1.5 vs EV odds -3.5.
That's about an 11% edge (54% vs 65% on ML equivalent). A pretty decent value I must say. :an_clap:

Hopefully, this works out for us both.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
47,486
Actual odds -1.5 vs EV odds -3.5.
That's about an 11% edge (54% vs 65% on ML equivalent). A pretty decent value I must say. :an_clap:

Hopefully, this works out for us both.
Yeah let's see Sammy, Tanko is on this one as well & he is 59% in his cbb thread sharp af so far.
 
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